Amid a series of warnings issued by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and finance ministry against the growing interest in bitcoins, the cryptocurrency operators continue to stay upbeat about the bitcoin’s future in India. There are several experts who called the bitcoin rally a ‘bubble set to burst’. European Central Bank (ECB) vice president Vitor Constancio even went to the extent of comparing it with ‘Tulip mania’ while Nobel prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz suggested that the bitcoins be outlawed. On December 29, finance ministry even stated that investing in cryptocurrencies is like Ponzi schemes and the union finance minister Arun Jaitley announced in Rajya Sabha that bitcoin is not a legal tender.
But the investors take heart in the fact that despite the warnings, the agencies have not taken any firm stand against bitcoins so far, or outlawed them, thus keeping their current status on tenterhooks.
No wonder then that the bitcoin exchange operators in India are not as circumspect as are the wise people in academia and regulating agencies. Zebpay’s co-founder Sandeep Goenka, says that the nations’ future will soon rely on whether they adopt this technology or not.
“We believe the future of nations will depend on adopting this technology. Just like no nation can afford not to adopt the Internet, we shall realize that every nation will strongly benefit from the adoption of this technology. This technology can make India a global fintech hub, be an instrument of financial inclusion and save India billions of dollars in remittance fees paid to non-Indian companies.”
On being asked about the bitcoin rally being called a bubble, Goenka said, “Depends the time period you define for a bubble. In the short to medium term, it’s very difficult to comment. We are believers of this technology in the long term.”
Representative of Unocoin, another bitcoin wallet in India, pitches for self-regulations by the bitcoin companies instead of diktats issued by RBI and government. He also seemed upbeat about the proliferation of interest in bitcoins among Indian investors.
Sharan Nair, vice president, marketing of Unocoin, said, “All prominent bitcoin companies are self-regulatory and do proper and stringent KYC (know your customer) and AML (anti-money laundering) documentation of its users. Without a doubt, I can say that there has been a tremendous amount of interest amongst the Indian masses about cryptocurrencies and this is evident from the surge in number of user registrations across exchanges in India.”
Bitcoin prices jumped nearly 14 times in 2017, while they once even smashed past $19,500 on December 17. On January 6, bitcoin trades around $16,400 on Luxembourg-based BitStamp and around Rs. 11.10 lakh on Zebpay (around 7% higher than the international price).
About the massive rise of bitcoin prices, Nair said, “Bitcoin prices are determined basically on the demand and supply. As more people understand about Bitcoins and its functioning, they would want to hold some bitcoin and this leads to an increase in the demand for bitcoin and hence its price gets affected. I wouldn’t deny that there have been a lot of people buying bitcoin without understanding the consequences but how much of it contributes to the price rally is debatable.”
Bitcoin price prediction: BTC/USD confluence detector shows lack of resistance and support levels
- The daily confluence detector shows one healthy support level at $10,075.
- BTC/USD has gone down from $10,110 to $10,092.
The hourly BTC/USD price chart shows us that the price dropped from $10,130 to $9,815 this Thursday. The bulls then gathered momentum before it picked up to $10,190, meeting resistance. Since then, BTC/USD has been on a continuous downtrend and is currently trending around $10,092.
BTC/USD daily confluence detector
The daily confluence detector shows only one prominent resistance and support level. The $10,500 resistance level has the 5-day simple moving average (SMA 5) curve. The $10,075 support level has the 1-month 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, SMA 10, 1-hour Bollinger band middle curve and 4-hour previous low.
Bloomberg Says Bitcoin Could be Finding Support at $10,000 as Altcoins Rebound
Yesterday, Bitcoin (BTC) suddenly slipped. After tapping $11,000 just days earlier, the cryptocurrency cratered, falling under $10,000 as bulls failed to step in.
This move was so dramatic that according to the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index, this sudden reversal has resulted in a reading of five — the index’s lowest value in its history. This is crazy, especially considering that BTC is trading over 300% higher than its bottom price of $3,150.
While the index’s reading may seem entirely arbitrary — just look at the bullish momentum Bitcoin has experienced in the first half of 2019 — the index is backed by data.
The website that hosts the index claims it analyses a fair mix of volatility, market momentum and volume, social media trends, surveys, dominance, and Google Trends to get the gist of how cryptocurrency investors are faring.
Bitcoin Bounces Back
But, the Bitcoin price has managed to bounce back. After remaining under $10,000 for a number of hours, the cryptocurrency managed to reclaim five digits.
Per Bloomberg, the cryptocurrency “appears to be gaining momentum for a push higher”. The analyst recently claimed that as BTC recently dropped “below the lower limit of its GTI Vera Band Indicator, which measures up and down trends”, a spike to the upside may be ahead. The last four times the bottom band was breached, “it managed to quickly rally back into the range”.
According to Mike McGlone, an analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, Bitcoin is currently setting itself up for a recovery. He explained in a note that its “unique attributes” (likely a reference to its classification as a digital store of value/digital version of gold) and tumult on the macroeconomic stage could help boost the value of Bitcoin. Indeed, many say that if trade wars continue to rage and if central banks continue to enlist unorthodox monetary policy, the need for a form of money that is decentralized, scarce, borderless, and public will only swell.
While McGlone is bullish for the medium term, he told Bloomberg TV in a recent interview that his short and long-term prospects on the cryptocurrency are mixed.
Per previous reports from Ethereum World News, McGlone argued that with there being key support at $8,000 and heavy resistance at $20,000, the cryptocurrency could be stuck in that range “endlessly”. He added that on-chain fundamentals — active addresses, number of daily transactions, fees, and so on and so forth — have begun to taper off like they did to trigger 2018’s bear market.
Altcoins Finally Gain Some Steam
Interestingly, throughout this short-term recovery, altcoins have bounced, actually outperforming Bitcoin for once.
According to CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin dominance has fallen to 68.5% from nearly 70%. Ethereum is up 3.5% on the day, while BTC is up a relatively mere 0.2%. It’s a similar story across the cryptocurrency rankings.
Bitcoin Vs. Ripple: Amidst the Bearish Trend, The Coins Gave Some Brief Moment of Trading
There is a close link between the movement of Bitcoin and Ripple. Both of them are strong coins with a dedicated community of users. At present, they are facing some negative sentiments, but this will wash off soon.
Current Statistics (On August 22 at UTC 08:38):
|Parameters||Ripple (XRP)||Bitcoin (BTC)|
|Market Cap||11,339,553,299 USD||178,409,831,940 USD|
|24-Hour Volume||1,033,612,299 USD||18,408,249,735 USD|
|Circulating Supply||42,890,708,341 XRP||17,890,087 BTC|
|Price in BTC||0.00002654||NA|
BTC Vs. XRP Price Analysis:
Both Bitcoin and Ripple started on a declining note. In the first hours of the day, Bitcoin price has declined by 6.15% and fell to the level of 10,125.86 USD. Similarly, Ripple declined by 4.15% and landed at $0.2628. After that, the declining trend has slowed a bit, and coins kept fluctuating up and down in the range of around 2%. However, during the early minutes of the second half, on the other day, came yet another dip where BTC price declined by 2.21% and Ethereum by 0.96%.
After the second intraday breakdown, the digital coins have shown some strengthening for the next couple of hours. In that period, BTC hiked by 1.75% and XRP by 1.5%. The next plunge that came in around midnight dragged Bitcoin price by 2.91% and took it below $10k mark again. Similarly, XRP declined by 2.02% and landed at the level of 0.26 USD. Lately, the cryptos have been hovering at those levels and showed some bounce back, which helped then to move toward their current position.
BTC vs XRP Prediction & Conclusion:
Making any prediction in this swinging market is a rigorous task. However, for now, Ripple faces immediate resistance at $0.274454 and support at $0.259335. For Bitcoin, the immediate resistance is at 10,636.95 USD and support level at $9,800.93.
The Ripple team has done a recent assessment of the blockchain and assured that they will work toward the narrowing of the skill gap. Further, they added that in order to address the issue, the team would seek the help of experts including academia, governments, and private organizations.