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Heavy unwind continues across cryptocurrencies

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Cryptocurrency markets dived following the South Korean currency exchange hack, which has revived concerns on security. BTC/USDT dived below 6500 and the MACD turned negative indicating that the downside move could gain further momentum. Key mid-term support is eyed at 6000, if broken should increase the bears’ appetite for a further decline toward 5000. Resistance is eyed at 7375/7450 area, including the 38.2% retracement on May – June decline, the 200-dma and last week’s resistance.

ETH/USDT slipped below the 500-support on the back of the broad-based sell-off in cryptocurrency markets. Decent sell orders are sitting at 500, adding an additional downside pressure to the market. Recovery attempts remain weak; buyers are no where to be found below 550 (weekly pivot).

Despite poor sentiment, Ether is doing well from a fundamental point of view. Ether’s market volume is expanding steadily. Lately, the number of Ethers in circulation surpassed 100 million coins.

Bitcoin Cash has also been hit by a wave of sell-off, after the S. Korean crypto-exchange hack weigh on the sector-appetite. BCH/USDT slipped below the 1000 level. The fading positive momentum hints at a building case for a further decline toward the 800 level. The key resistance to the actual bearish trend stands at 1190 , the 38.2% retracement on May – June decline and the 50-dma. Intermediate resistance is eyed at 1005, weekly pivot.

Fundamentally, Bitcoin Cash’s larger capacity crunch is expected to bring the network close to Visa and MasterCard scale, according to developer Amaury Séchet. Bitcoin Cash holds ground near the 200-dma against Bitcoin.

LTC/USDT trades with limited enthusiasm, with 100-support out of the way following the broad-based sell-off across the crypto-markets. The weekly pivot has retreated from 113 to 110. Relatively low volatility has prevented Litecoin from breaking important technical levels over the weekend, but the breach of the 100-support could increase the volatility in the coming days.

Does Swiss Sovereign Money initiative weigh on the sentiment?

The Swiss initiative to give the Swiss National Bank (SNB) the authority to be the sole money creator has been rejected with 75% on Sunday.

Although the Swiss vote did not target the cryptocurrencies, there are speculations that the sharp rejection of the Sovereign Money initiative may have explained a part of the debasement across the cryptomarkets during the weekend, as there is one important parallel between the sovereign money initiative and the creation of central bank cryptocurrencies: the reserve ratio.

In fact, the early examination of the possibility for using the blockchain technology for national cryptocurrencies showed that the latter would probably lead to a 100% reserve system, where every unit of cryptocurrency would be backed by the central bank reserves.

The rationale behind the 100% reserve requirement is that, assuming that the cryptocurrency holdings are remunerated with the same rate than the central bank reserves, users would be tempted to hold risk-free, interest-rate-bearing central bank coins instead of deposits with the commercial banks.

Consequently, in a monetary system including a national cryptocurrency, the central bank reserves would represent the entire monetary volume available in the market. This would make the central bank the sole creator of sovereign money, as opposition to the actual system where commercial banks create money by lending most of the available volume to other institutions and users, while keeping only the minimum reserve ratio on their balance sheets.

So, the fact that Switzerland, which has a long banking history and has been home to many innovations in cryptocurrencies, is not ready to change its monetary system in favour of a configuration that could eventually be compatible with the use of official cryptocurrencies, may have deteriorated the sentiment across the market.

Bitcoin traded below 6800 versus the US dollar, while Ethereum tested the $500-support.

Dont be confused: Switzerland hasn’t voted against cryptocurrencies

Although the markets settled parallels between the Swiss initiative and the cryptocurrencies, Swiss citizens have not rejected the idea of using cryptocurrencies. They rejected the idea of a system, where 100% of the monetary volume would be backed by the central bank reserves, because it would have put too much pressure on the central bank, compromise the independency between the monetary and fiscal policies and lead the country to a period of economic uncertainty by adopting a model which is not in line with the rest of the world.

We also remind that there are important differences in terms of functionalities between hypothetical national cryptocurrencies and the existing cryptocurrencies.

It is important to highlight that trading of non-sovereign cryptocurrencies do not interfere with the monetary policy mechanism. At least, not more than the traditional asset classes. In this sense, the cryptocurrencies should be considered as traditional financial instruments such as stocks, and not be confounded with the sovereign money.

Hence, the result of the Swiss vote should not be perceived as a direct negative reaction to the use of cryptocurrencies.

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Cardano [ADA/USD] Technical Analysis: Interim bullish push imminent; bears yet to show mercy on long haul

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Cardano [ADA] seems to be getting a bullish push in the short-term, even as the bearish trend in the medium to long-term seems to not fade away. There seems to be no respite from the bear attack in the long-term as the downward trend in price is still going strong.

ADA, the ninth largest cryptocurrency in the world, is currently trading at $0.0759, after going down at -1.19% over the last day. It has a market cap of $1.97 billion, with a 24-hour trade volume of $18.02 million.

1-hour:

Source: Trading View

Source: Trading View

On the one-hour graph, a strong downtrend can be seen from $0.0827 to $0.0806, and then further to $0.0788 between October 15 to October 21, 2018. Another downward movement can be seen from $0.0786 to $0.0774 on October 22, 2018.

An upward drift in prices can be seen from October 16 to October 22, 2018, from $0.0749 to $0.0787. A short-term upward trend was seen on October 22, 2018, from $0.0770 to $0.0773.

The Awesome Oscillator chart shows green bars emerging after a string of red bars. This is a clear indicator of a bullish market.

The Parabolic SAR chart shows the dots aligned under the candlesticks, indicating a bullish market.

The RSI chart shows the token recovering from an oversold position slowly, with the buying and selling pressure evening each other out.

1-day:

Source: Trading View

Source: Trading View

According to the one-day graph, the strong downtrend in the long-term seems to be robust between June 4 to October 22, 2018, from $0.226 to $0.181, further to $0.078.

An upward trend is seen from September 18 to October 7, 2018, from $0.063 to $0.081, and between October 15 to October 22, 2018, from $0.071 to $0.077.

The Fisher Transform chart shows the Fisher line moving uphill, crossing the trigger line. This indicates a bullish trend.

The MACD chart shows the moving average line on a downward drift, crossing the trigger line. This indicates a bearish market.

The Chaikin Money Flow chart shows the current value at -0.118. This indicates that money is flowing out of the market. This is a clear indicator of a bearish market.

However, an upwards drift seems to be emerging, pointing at a temporary bullish trend.

Conclusion:

In the short-term, if the prices are to move up as indicated by Parabolic SAR and Awesome Oscillator, the immediate resistance will be $0.078. If it is broken, the next resistance will be at $0.0806.

If the prices move down as predicted by RSI, the supports will be at $0.0767 and $0.0759.

In the long-term, if the prices are to go down as predicted by MACD and Chaikin Money Flow, the supports will be at $0.070 and $0.063.

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Litecoin [LTC/USD] Technical Analysis: The bear continues to plunder the market

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Litecoin [LTC], the 7th largest cryptocurrency that was created by Charlie Lee to provide compatibility and support to Bitcoin has not been doing well in the market, of late. The coin was booming earlier this year but has now slumped lower than ever to move sideways.

At the time of writing, LTC dumped by 1.77% in the cryptocurrency market. It is trading at $52.34 with a market cap of over $3 billion and a 24-hour trading volume of $267.4 million.

1-hour:

LTCUSD 1-hour candlesticks | Source: tradingview

LTCUSD 1-hour candlesticks | Source: tradingview

In the timeframe of 1-hour LTC candlesticks, the support is set at $53.02. The downtrend line from $60.7 to $53.9 is likely to form a descending triangle with the support. Hence, the market for Litecoin appears to be downwards.

The MA line in the MACD indicator touched the signal for a bullish crossover but strung back down to run underneath it. This is suggestive of a slump in the LTC price trend.

Next, the RSI is also betting on a bear market for the cryptocurrency, currently taking a downhill walk to flash warning for a drop in price.

The Klinger Oscillator made a bullish crossover a while back but is currently crashing, suggesting a bad price trend for Litecoin.

1-day:

LTCUSD 1-day candlesticks | Source: tradingview

LTCUSD 1-day candlesticks | Source: tradingview

In the 1-day scenario, the candlesticks appear to be experiencing a downward trend in the Litecoin market. Since May, the coin has broken multiple supports, including one at $53.3 and another at $51.7. Currently, the support is set at $53.2 and might act as the baseline for the descending triangle likely to be formed by the resistance line ranging from $179.1 to $54.3.

The Parabolic SAR is bullish on the LTC market wherein the dots are currently dancing below the candlesticks, uplifting the price trend of the coin.

The Chaikin Money Flow was in a balanced space for a while but is currently below the 0-line, crashing further down.

The Awesome Oscillator is also in the red-zone, flashing a danger sign for the cryptocurrency.

Conclusion:

The technical analysis can be concluded by assuming a bearish trend for the Litecoin market since most of the indicators are evident in siding with a negative prediction. However, the Parabolic SAR in the 1-day timeframe looks positive of the situation, against all odds.

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Bitcoin [BTC] can disrupt centralized banking and financial institutions, says Andreas M Antonopoulos

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During a Q&A session, Andreas M Antonopoulos, the Author of Mastering Bitcoin and a well-known Bitcoin influencer, spoke about whether Bitcoin [BTC]’s price plays a significant role in its adoption. He also spoke about whether Bitcoin can disrupt the governments, financial system and reduce corruption if the cryptocurrency’s value does not greatly increase in value relative to goods and services including fiat currencies.

Antonopoulos stated that cryptocurrencies can disrupt centralized banking and financial institutions. This is because of the “mere fact” that cryptocurrencies exist as an exit system, a “safety vault” and as a “safe haven”, he said. Moreover, he said that the increase in Bitcoin’s price is not going to be the prominent player in bringing about the change. Whereas, Bitcoin being used by people in order to escape from oppressive governments who are stealing their citizen’s money will be a catalyst to bring about the change.

The author said:

“…it’s not values that makes it useful it’s utility that makes it valuable. So it’s the other way around so Bitcoin will increase in value if it’s useful and it doesn’t need to increase in value in order to be useful that’s confusing cause and effect”

Antonopoulos further spoke about Bitcoin’s real-world use-case for the unbanked. The author was questioned about why there were only 4 billion people using banks around the globe; whether it was due to improper identity proof, people’s lack of trust in the current financial system or if it was cost-effective for banks to not have branched in rural areas.

The Bitcoin influencer stated it was because of all the 3 above-mentioned reasons – lack of identity proof, access to banking facilities and distrust in the financial system. He further added that the total number of people around the world who do not have the ability to open a bank account was quite “shocking”. He went on to say that even if these people had access to the financial systems they would end up facing several restrictions, including the withdrawal and deposit limit.

Antonopoulos said:

“So even though the numbers are somewhere between two and a half billion and four billion people who have zero access to banking so cash based entirely, there’s also another two billion people who have access to banking but that access is severely restricted so they have access to perhaps one currency with very few choices they can’t change currencies…”

He further added:

“so it’s not really their money so all of this great sum of people who are either unbanked completely or under banked is one of the things that I think we may be able to solve with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in the long run”

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