- Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple suffer another major sell-off, extending their falls.
- The three cryptocurrencies have very different technical pictures.
- The Confluence Detector shows clusters of technical levels according to their importance.
BTC/USD has strong support at $6,381
The price of Bitcoin has support at $6,381. This is the convergence of the Bolinger Band one-hour Lower, the Pivot Point one month Support 1, the Pivot Point one-day Support 1 and the 1h-low.
If BTC/USD holds onto this critical level, it could target $6,637 which is the confluence of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day, the 4h-high, the Simple Moving Average 100-15m, and the Bolinger Band 15m-Upper.
The next level above is $7047 which is the one-month low.
And what happens if Bitcoin loses $6,381? Things could get ugly with some support at $6,200 and $5,950.
This is how it looks:
ETH/USD has more room to fall, but support awaits
The Ethereum Price does not have immediate support. ETH/USD may fall to a weak support line of $451 which is the Pivot Point one-day Support 2. Yet stronger support is at $442 which is the Pivot Point one-month Support 1.
Recovering will not be so easy. The $476 level is the convergence of the Pivot Point one-day Support 1 and the Simple Moving Average 5-15m. Stronger resistance is at $485 which is the meeting point of the 1d-high and the Simple moving Average 5-1h.
Further above, the $500 area is the congestion of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day, the Bolinger Band 1h-Middle, the SMA 5-4h, and the one-month low. It is closely followed by $507 which is the congestion of the Simple Moving Average 100-15m, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day, the Bolinger Band 15m-Upper, and the Bollinger Band one-day Lower.
Here is how it looks:
XRP/USD can fall and fall
The price of Ripple.is in a precarious state. It has lost critical support at $0.545 which is the confluence of the one-day high, the one-month low, the Bolinger Band one-day Lower, the Simple Moving Average 10-15m, the SMA 5-1h and more.
Looking down, there is some support around $0.5134 which is the Pivot Point one-day Support 2. Another notable line is 0.4800 which is the Pivot Point one-day Support 1.
On the upside, if XRP/USD recovers above $0.545, the next level to watch is $0.566 which is the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day, the Pivot Point one-week Support 3, and the Bolinger Band 15m-Upper.
This is how it looks:
The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.
This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence adjacents price levels. These weightings mean that one price level without any indicator or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.
Bitcoin (BTC), Litecoin (LTC), And Ripple (XRP) Analysis: Market Recovers After Overnight Drop
From last Tuesday when the price of Bitcoin came down to $9833 at its lowest point we have seen an increase of 30% measured to the highest point the price has been today which is at $12814. The price is currently being traded at $12348 and even spiked further down to $12119 at its lowest point today.
Looking at the hourly chart you can see that the price of Bitcoin came up above the ascending trendline zone which served as resistance on the way up and has retested it on today’s spike to the downside and found support there which indicates that the trendline zone is still serving as a significant pivot point. The price came down last Tuesday in a three-wave manner after which a five-wave increase has been seen forming a lower high with the price going below the ascending range and the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
As the price found support around the descending resistance level it started increasing again. I believed that the price is going to retest the upper ascending level before continuing to move to the downside again as the descending channel which started forming form 28th of June looked like it could be the 2nd wave out of the higher degree correction. But as the price increased with strong bullish momentum above the ascending range we could be seeing another ABC correction to the upside which would be the wave X out of the mentioned higher degree correction.
Another possibility would be that the ABC to the downside which ended last Tuesday was the end of the correction with the 30% increase seen after being the start of the next impulsive move to the upside, but I don’t believe that’s likely because according to my count the 5th wave of the Minor count ended on the yearly high at $13740.
As the price is in an upward trajectory in the upcoming period I would be expecting an interaction with the 0.618 Fib level or a retest of the yearly high before another downfall potentially below the 0.382 Fib or slightly above it, to around the vicinity of the last Tuesday’s low.
Bitcoin Price Could Hit $25,000 Before 2020, Says Bullish Crypto Analyst
The millionaire cryptocurrency analyst and trader told The Independent that more investors are viewing bitcoin as a safe-haven asset in the wake of growing macroeconomic tensions. Isaacs referred to the ongoing trade conflicts between the U.S. and China that last month sent the global equity market on a downward trend. The negative sentiment prompted investors to hedge in cryptocurrencies. He stated:
“I believe bitcoin has the potential to hit $25,000 by the end of 2019 or early 2020. There are multiple drivers behind the recent resurgence. There are geopolitical, technological, and regulatory drivers. The net effect of the trade war between the U.S. and China has led to a sudden interest in bitcoin as a hedge on investments.”
The statement followed bitcoin’s dramatic correction in the recent market cycle. The cryptocurrency dropped by more than 18% after establishing its 2019 high near $9,090 on San Francisco-based exchange, Coinbase. Nevertheless, bitcoin remains in a positive trendfrom a broader outlook, with its year-to-date performance showing as much as 146% gains.
Isaacs noted that the bitcoin adoption rate is heading in the direction of the cryptocurrency’s price. He cited significant organization like Amazon, Starbucks, Whole Foods, and Microsoft that recently started accepting BTC payments, indicating that the cryptocurrency ecosystem has turned more positive since crashing more than 85% in 2018.
THE BEARISH TAKE ON BITCOIN
Meanwhile, other notably analysts believe bitcoin is due for a considerable drop. Willy Woo, the founder of Woobull.com, said the cryptocurrency has become overvalued following the latest upside movements. The analyst put bitcoin against his popular NVT metric, which represents the ratio of bitcoin’s market capitalization to the volume transmitted by its blockchain. He noted a considerable divergence between the current bitcoin price and the NVT Ratio (explained here), which is bearish:
Josh Rager, another prominent analyst, provided a less harsh bitcoin price outlook, stating that a sharp downside correction would attract more investors to purchase it at cheaper rates. He noted that the BTC-to-dollar exchange rate dropped by at least 30% after every significant bullish move on a broader timeframe, as shown in the graph below.
If Rager is correct, BTC could go as low as $6,000 before attempting a sharp pullback to reclaim the session top of $9,090.
Bitcoin’s Explosive Rally Targets $6,500 Next – Analyst Explains Why
By CCN: The bitcoin price could surge to $6,500 soon because it breached a key resistance level of $5,500 this week. That’s the assessment of Naeem Aslam, the Chief Market Analyst at ThinkMarkets, a forex and derivatives broker.
Indeed, bitcoin has roared to a six-month this week after flailing for much of 2018.
ASLAM: NASDAQ IS WARMING UP TO BITCOIN FUTURES
Analyst Naeem Aslam told CCN that there are several factors driving the rally, including optimism that Nasdaq is growing more confident about bitcoin futures.
Moreover, he says there’s a bullish trend forming with speculative bitcoin shorts that’s pushing the price higher.
“Technicals are fully supportive and the bulls are pushing the markets higher based on that. It’s likely that bitcoin’s price may move towards $6,000 or even touch $6,500.”
“We have Nasdaq, which is about to get serious about Bitcoin futures. Not to mention the speculative short positions, which are going to get squeezed out very soon (as per the CFTC data).”
Even the crypto bears at CNBC begrudgingly agree that bitcoin could climb to $6,000 soon.