Days after Tether (USDT) gained a higher market cap than Monero and Dash, new research has reignited suspicions that the altcoin “manipulated” Bitcoin prices.
CRYPTOCURRENCY HIGHS FUELLED BY TETHER
The product of two researchers at the University of Texas, the paper — titled Is Bitcoin Really Un-Tethered? — claims to have identified potential evidence of direct price manipulation since November 2017. Bitcoin’s all-time highs around $20,000 one month later — and those of major altcoins — were also a result of Tether flooding the market with coins, they say.
The results came following transaction analysis of Tether creator and issuer cryptocurrency exchange Bitfinex.
The paper’s abstract explains:Using algorithms to analyze the blockchain data, we find that purchases with Tether are timed following market downturns and result in sizable increases in Bitcoin prices. Less than 1% of hours with such heavy Tether transactions are associated with 50% of the meteoric rise in Bitcoin and 64% of other top cryptocurrencies.
Both Tether and Bitfinex have regularly come under suspicion over price manipulation in recent months. In addition to cryptocurrency industry pressure, a US regulatory subpoena in January hastened the decline in prices which had begun in the run-up to Christmas.
According to transaction behavior, however, the manipulation is indeed very real, the researchers claim. The paper’s abstract adds:The flow clusters below round prices, induces asymmetric autocorrelations in Bitcoin, and suggests incomplete Tether backing before month-ends. These patterns cannot be explained by investor demand proxies but are most consistent with the supply-based hypothesis where Tether is used to provide price support and manipulate cryptocurrency prices.
While mainstream media outlets seized on the publication, cryptocurrency industry entities also initially seemed to agree. Chainalysis, a research firm which last week produced its own overview of Bitcoin money supply trends, told The New York Times that the Tether theory “seems credible.”
Roubini on BitMex: “95 percent of all bitcoin transactions are fake”
Anti-crypto personality Nouriel Roubini has lashed out at BitMex exchange following the recent announcement that the exchange had achieved US$1 Billion open interest on the Bitcoin perpetual swap contract, for the first time.
Roubini, who always has a lot of negative things to say about the cryptocurrency industry, took to Twitter to express his discontent about the recent record set by BitMex.
BitMex announced that the exchange had achieved US$1 Billion open interest on the Bitcoin perpetual swap contract, for the first time. Roubini commented saying “How can one believe ANY of these figures when 95 percent of all bitcoin transactions on a typical exchange are fake? Fake-coins, shit-coins, fake-transactions, fake-pricing. The only true thing in crypto space is manipulation, pump n dump, front-running, wash trading, etc…”
The two will be meeting in Taipei on July 3 at the Asia Blockchain Summit 2019, where they will have an open debate.View image on Twitter
ErisX goes all hands on deck to launch a Bitcoin Futures market
ErisX’s CSO, Matt Trudeau, detailed the company’s four important plans for the future, which includes launching a spot market, to secure a Bit License, DCO, and to launch a futures market.
ErisX currently has a DCM contract, which is a Derivative Contract Market that allows ErisX to run a CFTC-regulated futures exchange. However, ErisX aims to get a DCO [Derivatives Organization], which will effectively allow it to run a CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. A clearinghouse would mean that ErisX can take control of the custody of the assets and clear and settled trades.
The CSO explained the benefit of this, stating,
“There is some efficiency for firms like producers [like mining companies]; if they need to hedge their inventory or need liquidity on a spot market, they could do that conveniently on a single platform. “
Trudeau added that from the “post-trade standpoint” and “the collateral management standpoint,” ErisX would have cash, crypto, and the futures, all stored in their clearinghouse. This would boost efficiency since it would be available for all customers under a single platform. The CSO added,
“… so there is some efficiency in terms of managing collateral, if you don’t have assets on multiple platforms, it can all be in our clearinghouse.”
Apart from the aforementioned plans, Trudeau added that the crypto-industry needs to mature more and that ErisX plans to make a significant contribution to that. He added,
“The market is professionalizing and we think that in terms of what institutions are expecting from a trading/custody experience, we will bring some of the solutions to the market and that’s really the foundational pieces that they are looking in order to build their businesses on top of us.”
Apart from ErisX, LedgerX has also received a go-sign from the CFTC to settle Bitcoin Futures in Bitcoins. Other exchanges include Intercontinental Exchange’s Bakkt and Seed CX.
Bitcoin’s fantastic run contributes to a new milestone for BitMEX
The cryptocurrency market has been rife with news about Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency, and its massive bullish movement. In a matter of just 3 months, Bitcoin has recovered from the bearish zone near the $4000 market, to currently trade near the $12,000 zone.
This price rise has prompted popular figures in the cryptocurrency industry to voice their opinions about the king coin and where it could go from its current market situation. Alex Kruger, a popular economist and analyst, is one of them and he tweeted,
“The hourly bar that marked tonight’s bitcoin $12,972 top had the highest hourly volume in Bitmex’s history. When such high volume prints come after an extended run, they often mark a local top. One could appreciate an intra-day blow-off top on the 5 minute as well.”
Kruger’s tweet comes in the wake of information that suggests that Bitcoin’s trading volume on the popular cryptocurrency exchange had skyrocketed over the course of the past few months. It was spotted in January of this year, when the trading volume found it difficult to breach the $1 billion mark. However, the present price hike has contributed to the volume spiking by a factor of 9 to amass a trading volume of more than $9 billion.
Kruger’s tweet also had comments from other Bitcoin enthusiasts, with @rufus666, saying,
“Gonna wait for Friday when these CME shorters gonna dump the corns they had to buy on spot after weekend rallies to hedge their positions.”
BitMEX had touched another milestone recently after the exchange clocked in a trading volume of a whopping $10 billion. This feat was also marked with requests from the community, asking BitMEX to include margin trading to its fold like the Changpeng Zhao-led Binance.
At press time, Bitcoin was trading at $12,595, on the back of a significant 11.19 percent growth over 24 hours. The cryptocurrency held a market cap of $223.96 billion, and a 24 hour trading volume of 32.23 billion.