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The market data is provided by the HitBTC exchange.
Retail investors tend to run for cover when the market falls, whereas the professionals get their buy list ready to take advantage of the bargain prices. Though the trading volumes have been falling in the past few months, the merger and acquisition (M&A) activity is on an upswing.
Recently, Goldman Sachs and Mike Novogratz, CEO of Galaxy Digital, invested $15 million in the crypto custody service BitGo. Data from PitchBook, compiled by JMP Securities, shows that there are likely to be 145 crypto- and blockchain-related deals by the end of this year, well above the previous year’s count of 47.
Price-wise, some analysts believe that the calm in the markets is about to end. They expect Bitcoin to take a decisive direction within the next 1–2 weeks. Do the charts point to a potential breakout or a breakdown? Let’s find out.
Bitcoin has failed to break out of the overhead resistance at $6,831.99, resulting in a move down. Currently, the price is at the moving averages, which might act as a support. However, if the bears break this level, the digital currency can slide to the next lower support at $6,250.
A lack of follow-up buying after the surge on Oct. 15 is a bearish sign. It shows that the market participants are in a hurry to close their positions during every small rally. Both moving averages are flat and the RSI is close to the midpoint. This points to a consolidation in the near-term.
The BTC/USD pair can remain range bound between $5,900–$6,832 for the next few days. A breakout or breakdown of this range will start the next directional move.
On the upside, the bulls should watch the levels of $7,400 and $8,400. On the downside, a break of $5,900 will trigger panic selling among the participants, plunging the price to $5,450, and further to $5,000 in a short time.
We suggest traders close their long positions if the pair breaks the support at $5,900.
Ethereum remains weak. It might retest the bottom of the range of $192.5–$249.93. If the bears succeed in breaking down of the range, a retest of a Sept. 12 low of $167.32 is probable.
Any attempt to pull back will face a stiff resistance at the moving averages and above that at $249.93. The ETH/USD pair will show signs of strength if it sustains above the range.
The traders should wait for a breakout and close (UTC time frame) above $250 to initiate any long positions. Until then, it is best to remain on the sidelines.
Ripple has marginally dipped below the 20-day EMA, which shows profit booking at higher levels. Both moving averages remain flat and the RSI is close to the neutral territory. This points to a consolidation in the short-term.
The XRP/USD pair will become negative on a breakdown of the support at $0.37185. On the upside, it has a slew of resistances at $0.5, $0.55 and $0.625. It will resume its uptrend if it sustains above $0.625. We don’t find any reliable buy setups at the current levels; hence, we are not suggesting any trades on the pair.
A lack of buying has pushed Bitcoin Cash to the support line of the symmetrical triangle. A breakdown of the triangle will resume the downtrend and sink prices to $300 with a minor support at the Sept. 11 intraday low of $408.0182. Therefore, traders should protect their long positions with the stops at $400.
The 20-day EMA has started to turn down after remaining flat for the past few days. The RSI is also in the negative territory. This shows sellers have the upper hand. The BCH/USD pair will show signs of strength if the bulls break out of the triangle.
There is nothing much happening in EOS as it continues to trade close to the moving averages. It has been trading inside the range $4.4930–$6.8299 for the past two months. The flat moving averages and the RSI in the neutral territory suggest equilibrium between the buyers and the sellers.
The buyers will have an upper hand if they succeed in pushing the EOS/USD pair above the overhead resistance of $6.8299. A break down of the support zone at $3.8723–$4.49 will tilt the advantage in favor of the bears. Therefore, the traders holding long positions should keep a stop loss of $4.9.
Stellar broke out of the overhead resistance at $0.24987525 on Oct. 17 and 18. However, on both occasions, the bulls could not sustain the higher levels.
We remain positive on the XLM/USD pair because it continues to trade above both moving averages, which are starting to turn up. If the bulls break out and close above the overhead resistance, it will invalidate the bearish descending triangle, which is a bullish sign. Therefore, we retain our buy suggested in the previous analysis.
On the downside, the digital currency will find buying support at the moving averages. Any break of this support can retest the zone between $0.204 and $0.2148.
Litecoin continues to trade below both moving averages, which is a negative sign. A break below $52 can result in a drop to the bottom of the range at $49.466. This will be the fourth visit to the bottom of the $49.466–$69.279 range since Aug. 14.
If the bears break down and close below the range, a fall to the next lower support of $40 is probable.
The LTC/USD pair will signal a change in trend only after a breakout and close (UTC time frame) above the range. We believe the traders should wait for a break out of the range before initiating any long positions in it.
Cardano turned down from the 50-day SMA on Oct. 17. It is likely to find some support at $0.069, below which it can drop to the critical support at $0.060105.
Both moving averages are flat and the RSI is inching towards the neutral territory. This shows a balance between both the buyers and the sellers.
The ADA/USD pair will pick up momentum if it scales above the overhead resistance at $0.094256 and $0.111843. We don’t find any buy setups at the current levels; hence, we are not proposing any trades.
After failing to scale above the moving averages in the past few days, Monero has again dipped below the support of $107.8. It can now slide to the next support at $100, below which a drop to $81 is possible.
Both moving averages are flat and the RSI is in the negative territory. This shows the probability of a consolidation in the near-term.
The XMR/USD pair can move up to $128.65 if it scales above the moving averages. We shall wait for a new buy setup to form before suggesting any trades.
TRON has been holding above the 20-day EMA for the past four days, which is a positive sign. It will indicate a change in trend if the bulls break out and close (UTC time frame) above the overhead resistance at $0.02815521.
The traders can buy a close (UTC time frame) above $0.03 with a target objective of $0.41. The initial stop loss can be kept at $0.02, which can be raised later.
The TRX/USD pair will weaken and sink to $0.02 if it breaks below the moving averages. We don’t find any trade inside the $0.0183–$0.02815521 range.
Bitcoin Price Could Hit $25,000 Before 2020, Says Bullish Crypto Analyst
The millionaire cryptocurrency analyst and trader told The Independent that more investors are viewing bitcoin as a safe-haven asset in the wake of growing macroeconomic tensions. Isaacs referred to the ongoing trade conflicts between the U.S. and China that last month sent the global equity market on a downward trend. The negative sentiment prompted investors to hedge in cryptocurrencies. He stated:
“I believe bitcoin has the potential to hit $25,000 by the end of 2019 or early 2020. There are multiple drivers behind the recent resurgence. There are geopolitical, technological, and regulatory drivers. The net effect of the trade war between the U.S. and China has led to a sudden interest in bitcoin as a hedge on investments.”
The statement followed bitcoin’s dramatic correction in the recent market cycle. The cryptocurrency dropped by more than 18% after establishing its 2019 high near $9,090 on San Francisco-based exchange, Coinbase. Nevertheless, bitcoin remains in a positive trendfrom a broader outlook, with its year-to-date performance showing as much as 146% gains.
Isaacs noted that the bitcoin adoption rate is heading in the direction of the cryptocurrency’s price. He cited significant organization like Amazon, Starbucks, Whole Foods, and Microsoft that recently started accepting BTC payments, indicating that the cryptocurrency ecosystem has turned more positive since crashing more than 85% in 2018.
THE BEARISH TAKE ON BITCOIN
Meanwhile, other notably analysts believe bitcoin is due for a considerable drop. Willy Woo, the founder of Woobull.com, said the cryptocurrency has become overvalued following the latest upside movements. The analyst put bitcoin against his popular NVT metric, which represents the ratio of bitcoin’s market capitalization to the volume transmitted by its blockchain. He noted a considerable divergence between the current bitcoin price and the NVT Ratio (explained here), which is bearish:
Josh Rager, another prominent analyst, provided a less harsh bitcoin price outlook, stating that a sharp downside correction would attract more investors to purchase it at cheaper rates. He noted that the BTC-to-dollar exchange rate dropped by at least 30% after every significant bullish move on a broader timeframe, as shown in the graph below.
If Rager is correct, BTC could go as low as $6,000 before attempting a sharp pullback to reclaim the session top of $9,090.
Bitcoin’s Explosive Rally Targets $6,500 Next – Analyst Explains Why
By CCN: The bitcoin price could surge to $6,500 soon because it breached a key resistance level of $5,500 this week. That’s the assessment of Naeem Aslam, the Chief Market Analyst at ThinkMarkets, a forex and derivatives broker.
Indeed, bitcoin has roared to a six-month this week after flailing for much of 2018.
ASLAM: NASDAQ IS WARMING UP TO BITCOIN FUTURES
Analyst Naeem Aslam told CCN that there are several factors driving the rally, including optimism that Nasdaq is growing more confident about bitcoin futures.
Moreover, he says there’s a bullish trend forming with speculative bitcoin shorts that’s pushing the price higher.
“Technicals are fully supportive and the bulls are pushing the markets higher based on that. It’s likely that bitcoin’s price may move towards $6,000 or even touch $6,500.”
“We have Nasdaq, which is about to get serious about Bitcoin futures. Not to mention the speculative short positions, which are going to get squeezed out very soon (as per the CFTC data).”
Even the crypto bears at CNBC begrudgingly agree that bitcoin could climb to $6,000 soon.
Bitcoin [BTC] and Litecoin [LTC] Price Analysis: Coins find respite from the bear
Bitcoin has been the world’s premier cryptocurrency since its inception. However, in light of Litecoin’s upcoming halving [August 06, 2019], many people in the community are speculating that Litecoin might lead the bull rally.
Additionally, many believe that Litecoin already hit its bottom and is on a bull run since it surged by ~170% since 13 December, 2018.
Bitcoin 1-day chart
Bitcoin’s price, at press time, was $4,026, with the market cap at $71 billion. The 24-hour trading volume for Bitcoin was at $9.97 billion, slightly less than $10 billion.
Support 1: $3,189
Support 2: $3,860
Support 3: $3,681
Resistance 1: $4,111
Resistance 2: $6,094
Resistance 3: $6,648
The Aroon indicator showed a collapsing downtrend and an uptrend, indicating sideways movement for Bitcoin in the daily timeframe.
The Stochastic RSI had touched the oversold zone, which indicated a possible bullish buying opportunity.
The Chaikin Money Flow suggested that money was flowing into the Bitcoin markets.
Litecoin 1 day chart
At press time, Litecoin’s price was $62.80 and the market cap was $3.75 billion. The 24-hour trading volume for Litecoin was a few million short of $2 billion.
The Aroon indicator for Litecoin showed the same movement as Bitcoin, with both the uptrend and downtrend collapsing.
The Stochastic RSI dipped into the oversold zone, with a bullish crossover underway.
The Chaikin Money Flow indicated that there was plenty of money flowing into Litecoin markets.
The price of Bitcoin suggested consolidation, something indicated by the Aroon indicator. However, the Stochastic RSI and CMF indicated a bullish phase for Bitcoin. Litecoin’s price movement showed a similar scenario as Bitcoin, with the CMF and the Stochastic RSI indicating a bullish movement for Litecoin.