On December 15, the Bitcoin price dropped to a new yearly low at $3,122, following a two-week sell-off from mid-November.
The intense sell-off the cryptocurrency market occurred on January 10 has led the price of BTC to drop below the $3,600 mark, which may put an end to the corrective rally the market has been engaging in since December 17.
Analysts See New Bitcoin Lows on the Horizon
Prior to Bitcoin’s fall below the $3,600 mark, Alex Krüger, a cryptocurrency trader and global markets analyst, said that a potential fall below $3,600 could result in the price of BTC dropping to a low range between $3,000 and $3,500,
He said:What a majestic dump. BTC back to my buying area of 3500-3600. Below $3,300 exit and reassess. I’d like to see BTC ending the day above $3,700. Consolidation below $3,600 (bottom of prior area) would tilt the balance towards further downside.
A cryptocurrency trader with an online alias “The Crypto Dog” echoed the sentiment of Krüger, noting that new lows for Bitcoin are on the horizon and that investors should not be surprised to see the downward movement of BTC intensifying in the short-term.
“Not setting heavy bids but I would like to see BTC at $3,400 and ETH at $115. No reaction there and I think new lows are on the table. Nothing to stress about, all par for the course, cycles matter, long Bitcoin (without leverage) and continue shorting the banks they’re rekt,” the trader explained.
In the past 48 hours, the crypto market lost over $16 billion in valuation as the daily volume of crypto assets surged from $15 billion to $23 billion, primarily due to increasing sell volumes and sell pressure on low liquidity assets.
Cryptocurrencies with low market caps and low volumes have generally recorded substantially larger drops than Bitcoin and Ethereum throughout the past week.
Cardano (ADA), Stratis (STRAT), ICON (ICX), and Bitcoin Cash (BCH) have been the worst performing digital assets on the day, with Cardano recording a loss of over 19 percent against the U.S. dollar.
While Cardano and Bitcoin Cash have relatively high daily volumes in the range of $80 million to $350 million, tokens are currently showing a volume of less than $10 million on average, leaving them vulnerable to sell-offs in the short-term.
What’s in Store For Bitcoin?
Bitcoin could engage in a corrective rally following a large decline in price but it is evident that crypto winter is in full effect and crypto assets are demonstrating wild volatility in a low price range.
The dominant cryptocurrency showed virtually no signs of a major trend reversal throughout December and January, struggling to recover beyond the $4,000 region. As such. BTC is expected to remain volatile in the $3,000 to $4,000 range in the foreseeable future, as low market cap crypto assets struggle to deal with intensifying sell pressure.
India’s proposed crypto ban is ‘corrupt’ says Tim Draper
- India’s proposed bill is “pathetic and corrupt,” Tim Draper.
- Draper is known for his public support for Bitcoin and freedom to use cryptocurrencies.
Following a leaked bill from the India government proposed a blanket ban on cryptocurrency, Tim Draper, a Bitcoin support and investor in Tezos has come out to condemn the move. The outspoken investor has recently advocated Bitcoin to the government of Argentina. He refers to India’s proposed bill as being “pathetic and corrupt.”
He wrote on Twitter:
“People behaving badly! India’s government banned Bitcoin, a currency providing great hope for prosperity in a country that desperately needs it. Shame on India leadership.”
His comments have not been received well by the people on Twitter with some saying that Draper has not confirmed the developments and is acting on hearsay only. Draper is known for his public support for Bitcoin and freedom to use cryptocurrencies and does not support government involvement in terms of regulating the space.
As reported by FXStreet, a lawyer in India shared what he referred to as the evidence of a draft law that could be used to ban cryptocurrencies in India except for the ‘Digital Rupee,” a digital asset that will be issued and backed by the Reserve Bank of India.
More on India’s leaked draft bill: India’s battle with crypto ban continues: “Digital Rupee” to be only the digital currency
France’s Financial Watchdog Proposes ‘Voluntary’ Regulatory Framework for Crypto Firms
The Financial Markets Authority (AMF), France’s top financial organization, plans to release an experimental regulatory framework for crypto firms later this month, according to a Reuters report.
The rules will include capital requirements, tax mandates, and consumer protection protocols – which “crypto-related firms will voluntarily abide by” in exchange for regulatory approval, reports Reuters.
Anne Marechal, executive director for legal affairs at the AMF, called the experimental arrangement a “precursor” for international crypto-specific legislation, rather than the mismatched application of financial regulations written prior to the advent of the asset class.
This is not the first time France has unveiled a “tit for tat” regulatory scheme. In April, the AMF released a requirement for banks to open accounts for crypto firms that “opt in” to being regulated. Part of the PACTE law, crypto exchanges and custodians were also extended the “option” to attain an operating visa.
At the time, Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire suggested the European Union follow “the French experience” by using the PACTE guidance to set up a “single regulatory framework” for digital assets in the EU single market.
These relatively unrestrictive legal measures were taken to promote the growth of small and medium-size businesses. While some governments, organizations, or industry leaders call explicitly for self-regulation or no regulation, many believe clearer rules regarding the sale, distribution, trading of cryptocurrencies would stimulate, rather than hamper, the industry.
Frederic Montagnon, the co-founder of LGO, a crypto exchange looking to expand into France, told Reuters, “When you are an entrepreneur, the worst that can happen to you is to set up your business where there is no regulation, to see an adverse regulatory framework later imposed that jeopardizes your whole business.”
Marechal said “several” crypto exchanges, custodians, and hedge funds are in dialogue regarding the regulatory framework with the AMF, which is also set to approve “three or four” ICOs.
Specifics will arise when the watchdog publishes the regulatory guidance.
For each U.S dollar in BTC spent on the darknet, $800 is laundered, says report attacking Steven Mnuchin’s claims
Following the crypto-focused briefing by the U.S Treasury Secretary, many have drawn conclusions that best fit their financial interests. But, with Steven Mnuchin linking Bitcoin to enabling illegal activities, hardcore crypto-enthusiasts have taken the criticism personally. In an attempt to dispense of this notion, Messari.io published a detailed report to compare the top fiat’s contribution towards fraud, in comparison to the world’s leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin.
In the report titled, “Bitcoin in the grand scheme of things,” BTC’s contribution toward illegal activities was dwarfed by the strongest of fiat establishments. Through a combined analysis of data from Chainalysis and United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, the report claimed,
“For each $ (U.S. Dollar) in BTC spent on the darknet, at least $800 is laundered.”
While this revelation may come as a shocker to traditional financial giants, it is important to note that messari.io has considered the total volume of BTC spent on the darknet, which largely comprises of legitimate transfers.
Further, the one-on-one comparison also showed that global economies recorded an explosive increase in their stock of narrow money [M1] i.e. physical money and digital assets. With the European Union leading this race with 0.87 billion in supply, it’s currently 98% higher than BTC’s total supply expected to be recorded sometime in 2020 (considering BTC’s price to be $10,000).
The report also considered the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet from 2009, the year when BTC was launched. The report revealed that the Fed’s balance sheet showed a currency issuance rate of 13,664%, against BTC’s modest 12 billion.
This report was shared by, @fmoulin7, over a tweet directed towards Mnuchin, which read,
“Just a quick reminder… @stevenmnuchin1”
Most leaders within the cryptoverse expect the U.S. government to allow the use of crypto within the limits set by the nation’s ruling government. The remaining however, retain their optimism for a BTC-dominated future, with or without the support of the government.