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New SFOX Analyst Insights Say Volatility In the Crypto Space Could Continue Throughout 2019

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It seems that the volatility experienced by the crypto market during the last few weeks could continue during 2019. This is what SFOX, a recognized dealer for institutional crypto investors, believes that will happen.

In order to understand these results, the company pays close attention to four large-cap coins: Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Bitcoin Cash (BCH) and Litecoin (LTC). Using data from eight large exchanges and other information, the company aims at helping investors understand what can happen in the future.

During 2018, volatility in the crypto market fell. This was also related to the bear market that affected the whole industry and that started earlier in January 2018 for most of the altcoins. The last November, things completely changed. Before Bitcoin Cash’s hard fork on November 15, the market experienced a substantial drop in value, something that affected most of the cryptocurrencies in the space. Since that moment, volatility increased substantially.

Danny Kim, the Head of Growth at SFOX, explained that this volatility will continue to affect the crypto market in during 2019.

Mr. Kim commented as quoted by Forbes:

“The cryptocurrency community has been lacking the data that serious investors need to put market movements into context and make informed decisions. We hope that by breaking down the key drivers for 2018, and continuing to provide these analyses every month, we can contribute to the ongoing maturation of the crypto industry that we saw throughout 2018.”

The analysts at SFOX consider that there were three important periods of volatility in 2018. The first period mentioned is between January and February, when Facebook decided to ban crypto ads on its platform and Bitcoin was accused of being manipulated. The second period is between August and September, in which the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) decided to postpone the decision to launch an ETF.

Finally, as mentioned before, between November and December because of the Bitcoin Cash hard fork and the SEC taking enforcement actions against Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs).

According to Kim, Bitcoin was the least volatile digital asset compared to ETH, LTC, and BCH. These coins were also not strongly correlated with the S&P 500 and they were also negatively correlated with gold.

Kim said that as Bitcoin is in a path of maturation, the market will continue to move into lower volatility. However, there are many forces in play that could affect the market.

There are some things that could affect the price of Bitcoin and increase volatility during the coming months. The first thing to take into account is Bakkt and the launching of one of the first platforms for institutions to enter the market in a compliant and regulated way. This is expected to be launched as soon as February 2019.

On February 29, the SEC would have to make a decision on whether it will approve the Bitcoin ETF proposed by VanEck and SolidX or not. This is the last possibility for this ETF proposal to be approved. This could also help the price of Bitcoin and other digital assets to move abruptly.

Apparently, it is possible for the United States to experience a recession in the near future. Since digital assets are not correlated with the stock market, this could play an important role in increasing demand for digital assets, increasing Bitcoin’s price.

Bitcoin volatility could continue in 2019 due to different reasons. Just yesterday, Bitcoin and other digital assets dropped around 8%. At the time of writing, Bitcoin lost 4% of its value in the last 24 hours. Each coin can be purchased for $3,693 and it has a market capitalization of $64.55 billion. Ethereum fell 6.09%, Bitcoin Cash 6.13%, and Litecoin6.5%.

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BTC Could “Easily” Surpass Gold in 20 Years. Mike Novogratz Says

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Many people believe that cryptocurrencies represent a revolution of similar or superior importance to other significant events such as the appearance of the Internet. The introduction of Bitcoin (BTC) and its characteristics have enthused thousands of investors and influencers with increasing effusivity.

While some believe that cryptocurrencies will disappear due to their lack of intrinsic value, others like Mike Novogratz think that blockchain technologies, and especially Bitcoin, can surpass gold as the primary means of storing value in the world.

BTC MARKETCAP COULD EASILY HIT 8 TRILLION

In an interview with Anthony Pompliano, Mr. Novogratz explained that in a span of about 20 years, Bitcoin could “easily” increase its marketcap by 100x, if technological and legal developments continue to facilitate its adoption. This would imply that we would be talking about figures close to 8 Trillion dollars in total marketcap for Bitcoin alone in the next two decades:

Gold’s got an $8 trillion market cap, or a $7.5 trillion market cap. And so, we’re 100x off on that. We’re not going to get there in Bitcoin in the next year or two. But over a 20-year period, could that happen? Easily. Easily. And that’s giving zero optionality to all the other stuff. And so I think it seems like a pretty smart portfolio bet

Novogratz has always defended the idea that Bitcoin will start a new Bull run when governments develop more specific regulations that appeal to institutional investors. In this regard, he explains that it is only a matter of time before large capital investors enter the space:

“I know Goldman for instance is gearing up around securities tokens. They’re not doing anything yet, but they’re getting really ready and looking at all the questions on – where would you store them? Do you have to build your own custody, or can you use someone else’s custody? How to get them to work.

Listen, the regulatory framework isn’t there yet on security tokens. We’re working really hard on our security token business and we’ve got, I think, some cool things in the hopper.”

BOW DOWN AND THANK SATOSHI!

Finally, in the climax of the interview, Novogratz’s enthusiasm was such that he even said that people should bow down and thank Satoshi Nakamoto for creating Bitcoin (BTC).

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Bitcoin Price Consolidation Continues, Downside Break Looks Likely

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  • Bitcoin’s current trading range of $3,920–$4,055 could be breached to the downside, as last week’s doji candle created at the key 21- week moving average resistance is signaling bullish exhaustion.
  • A downside break of the trading range, if confirmed, could yield a sell-off toward the support levels lined up at $3,775 and $3,658.
  • On the higher side, a UTC close above $4,055 is needed to put the bulls back into the driver’s seat, although that looks unlikely at press time.

Chart signals of bullish exhaustion suggest bitcoin’s (BTC) narrowing trading range could soon be breached to the downside.

The leading cryptocurrency by market value is sidelined below $4,000 for the fourth straight day, and has been restricted to the narrow range of $3,920–$4,055 since March 17, according to Bitstamp data.

More importantly, prices clocked a high and low of $4,055 and $3,920, respectively, last week before closing Sunday (UTC) largely unchanged at $3,970. The price swing formed what’s termed a doji candle on the weekly chart, which is usually taken to represent indecision in the marketplace.

The candle, however, has appeared following a 20 percent rally from lows near $3,300 seen at the end of January. So, it could be argued that the indecision, as represented by the doji, is predominantly among the buyers.

As a result, the probability of BTC ending the ongoing consolidation with a convincing break below $3,920 appears high.

As of writing, BTC is trading at $3,970 on Bitstamp, largely changed on a 24-hour basis.

On the daily chart, the short-term MA studies are now biased toward the bears, with the 5-day MA having dropped below the 10-day MA. Further, with the price well below the March 21 high of $4,055, the bearish outside-reversal candle created on that day is still valid.

So, the sideways channel seen in the 4-hour chart could be breached to the downside in the next day or two.

A range breakdown if confirmed would open the doors for a deeper drop toward $3,658 (Feb. 27 low).

A UTC close well above $4,055 would revive the short-term bullish view and could yield a rally toward $4,200, although gains may be short-lived, as the 21-week MA is still trending south.

The leader in blockchain news, CoinDesk is a media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. CoinDesk is an independent operating subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, which invests in cryptocurrencies and blockchain startups.

This article is intended as a news item to inform our readers of various events and developments that affect, or that might in the future affect, the value of the cryptocurrency described above. The information contained herein is not intended to provide, and it does not provide, sufficient information to form the basis for an investment decision, and you should not rely on this information for that purpose. The information presented herein is accurate only as of its date, and it was not prepared by a research analyst or other investment professional. You should seek additional information regarding the merits and risks of investing in any cryptocurrency before deciding to purchase or sell any such instruments.

source:coindesk.

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What will it be for Bitcoin? $5,500 or $3,000?

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Although the world’s most popular cryptocurrency is still trading in its long-established range between $4,000 and $4,100, some analysts believe the moment of truth for Bitcoin is near. What will it be for Bitcoin? $5,500 or $3,000?

Bitcoin has been trading between the $4,000 and $4,100 range for the last 10 days, and today Bitcoin’s trading behaviour was no different. Bitcoin is currently trading at a price of $4,020 while showing a minor loss of -0.24%, according to coinmarketcap.com.

Most analysts are looking at the upper bound of BTC’s current trading range, the $4,200 price mark, which will most likely act as a level of serious resistance again.

However, a Switzerland-based cryptocurrency analyst, who goes by the Twitter handle, Crypto Krillin, recently took to Twitter to state that the moment of truth for Bitcoin is very near. According to the crypto trader, or BTC will fly straight towards the $5,500 price mark, or we will re-visit $3,000.

Read more: Bitcoin or Gold? Or both?

The Swiss cryptocurrency trader is not the only crypto analyst who seems to be convinced that Bitcoin’s upside target currently exists around the $5,500 price mark.

Just a few days ago, Chepicap reported that Galaxy, another popular cryptocurrency analyst on Twitter, explained to his nearly 50k followers that Bitcoin is pointing to a promising potential for the number one cryptocurrency, hinting to an imminent surge of 35% to $5500.

Despite many analysts reporting optimistic views on Bitcoin’s near-future upward breakout, another widely recognized cryptocurrency trader known to the Twitter community as ‘The Crypto Dog’, recently came forward stating that it is still possible for Bitcoin to drop to $3,500 in the short term, adding that the market conditions haven’t changed over the last several days.

Read more: Bitcoin can surge as high as $400,000

According to crypto technical analyst known as DonAlt, we can only conclude crypto winter is over until Bitcoin crosses the $4,600 threshold and moves towards $5,000 and $6,000.

‘Volume isn’t what will convince me that the bear market is over’, he said. ‘A bullish market structure along with a break of at least $4.6k is. It’s interesting that we’ve had so many altcoin pumps while the general market cap hasn’t really changed. That makes me think there is very little new money coming in.’

Source:chepicap

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