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CNBC’s Ran NeuNer asks Peter Brandt why Bitcoin crashed

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The host of CNBC’s Crypto Trader show, Ran NeuNer, has a chat with the experienced commodities broker, Peter Brandt, who became best known as being one of the first who accurately predicted the end of the bull run in December 2017.

The 71-year-old veteran trader, Peter Brandt, predicted that the December 2017 speculation bubble around Bitcoins price was too large and would soon burst, causing the asset to lose more than 80% of its value.

When the bull run was at its all-time-high Peter Brandt tweeted this to his almost 250K twitter followers:

‘General TA rule — a violation of parabolic advance leads to 80%+ decline in value. If general rule is followed, BTC should retrace to <$4,000. Note: This Tweet does not make me a hater’

‘I’ve seen that sort of thing take place so many times in the past and they always end the same, prices always fall 80% to 90%’, he said.

Brandt turned out to be spot on with his predictions, both at the end of January and ever since.

Not only did he call the bear market for Bitcoin, he was as well correct in calling Ethereum to $120, while everyone else thought this was impossible.

NeuNer asks Peter Brandt how he feels about the TA crypto charts that appear all over social media.

Well, he says, it is mainly fairydust, it is not real technical analysis, it is ‘make-believe’.

‘What I see are a bunch of charts that are posted that in no way reflect the old, tried and true principles of TA. People are reinventing TA, just to fit their own personalities and their own bets and pre-assumptions’

‘They frankly look like maps to an outer galaxy. They look like Star Wars maps’

Brandt says that technical analysis historically deals with what the market is telling us right now, relative to what happens next. These charts on social media are not based on anything Brandt would consider to be classical charting principles.

‘I look at these charts and ask myself, where do these people get this stuff? It is based on people’s hopes and dreams and that’s about it’

Read more: Peter Brandt on Bitcoin: ‘I know for a fact strong hands are buying’

NeuNer goes on to ask Brandt how come he had such a series of correct predictions on crypto Twitter last year, and what he is doing that others aren’t.

Brandt replies by saying that he thinks he is standing in the ‘here and now’.

‘You don’t do technical analysis based on presuppositions. You do it based on what the market is offering you as facts.’

‘Where is the bloodtrail leading you? You follow the bloodtrail in the snow.’

Brandt claims he tries to stay in the present and stay grounded in what the market is telling him now.

Read more: Will Bitcoin replace fiat money?

He further explains that predicting the end of the bull run in December 2017 was an easy one.

‘I look at Bitcoin, and Bitcoin has been through a series of historical phases. The last one being of course the parabolic advance that we had in 2016-2017.’

Brandt says that it is rare for a market to have a parabolic advance.

‘So when that parabolic advance was broken, it was an easy call to say Bitcoin is going down 80%.

In December 2018 Brandt predicted that there will be another massive drop. This new low will be a major test both for the industry.

Mr. Brandt expects this drop to stabilize at around the 1200 price range, undoubtedly testing the resolve of even the most committed of crypto fans.

‘Crypto won’t have any friends at that point. Even the crypto die-hards might start to think they are done with it’, he said.

Source. chepicap

 

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Russian Official: BRICS Countries Continue Unified Payments Systems Developing, No Plans for Bitcoin in Near Future

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Last week, the news that Russia is considering investing huge amount of money into Bitcoin as a means to invade US sanctions spread like fire.

Given the fact that Russia has been working on de-dollarization plans for a long time now while looking for an alternative reserve currency further put force behind this news. This got the crypto enthusiasts excited as this would have meant huge investment into the crypto market and that too directly from the government.

However, this might not be happening at least, any time soon, as the Russian news channel, Forklog, published an article quoting Elina Sidorenko, the chairperson of an interdepartmental working group of the State Duma for managing risks of cryptocurrency turnover, as saying,

“Under this statement, there is not a bit of common sense, much less ideas that would be considered in government circles. The Russian Federation, like any other country in the world, is simply not ready today to somehow combine its traditional financial system with cryptocurrencies. And to say that in Russia this idea can be implemented in the next at least 30 years is unlikely to be possible.”

She further pointed out that given the fact that there is lack of any legislative regulation of cryptocurrencies in the territory of the Russian Federation makes what Vladislav Ginko, a teacher at the Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation, said sound absurd.

“Even if Russia wants to place its cryptocurrency assets now, it simply cannot do this, due to the fact that we do not have any mechanisms that would allow us to introduce a system, where these assets would be stored, which authorities would be responsible for it, which would be responsible for abuses and stuff. Such a model under the current criminal, financial and civil legislation, in general, does not fit. All over the world, a cryptocurrency is considered as a high-risk asset and a similar model, naturally, would not suit anyone.”

However, Sidorenko does note a different way to solve this issue which she states is the only way to use digital assets at the state level.

She says an interstate cryptocurrency can be created that would then become a unified system of payments between countries.

“A similar idea is already being considered within the framework of the EAEU, but the BRICS countries have moved closer to it. If a cryptocurrency unit had been invented, which allowed making payments only for energy, in fact, the Russian Federation could have made a long and long-term advance in the economy.”

Just recently, Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev talked about cryptocurrencies and their volatility being a cause for concern while acknowledging the fact that it has its own benefits that can’t be cast aside.

“But this, of course, is not a reason to bury them [cryptocurrencies]. Here […] there are both light sides and dark sides, as in any social phenomenon, in any economic institute. And we should just watch closely what happens to them.”
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This Just In, Europe is Bullish on Bitcoin According to Binance Seeing Massive Registrations in EU

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Binance has launched its European services only a day ago and the wave of registrations are already massive. With its new platform in Jersey and offering the British Pound (GBP) and Euro (EUR) trading pairs with Bitcoin (BTC), Binance has just seized a huge market. In less than 24 hours, the exchange’s European division is already full of new clients.

Changpeng “CZ” Zhao, the founder of Binance, has affirmed that the company is “overwhelmed” with so many people registering and that there is a backlog of Know Your Customer verifications that have to be made before whitelisting so many people.

He affirmed that they underestimated the market and did not believe that so many people would want to register so quickly, so the systems are running slightly slow for the moment.

Despite Bitcoin dropping around 80% in price in the last months, a lot of people are still interested in it and this is the ultimate proof of that. The efforts of companies like Binance which are in the process of continuous expansion, are actually paying off and are facilitating mainstream adoption little by little.

What is sure is that Binance will have a stiff competition in Europe. Many key players are already in the country, so it will be hard to carve out some space in this new market, but it looks like things are going smoothly, at least in the first 24 hours. Coinbase and Bitstampare two of the most important competitors that CZ will have to face in order to establish Binance in Europe as a winner.

According to the CFO of Binance, Wei Zhou, though, Binance’s expansion into Europe is good for the whole industry. He says that fiat to crypto “ramps” are critical for people to enter the market as new users will not buy crypto with crypto.

Because of this, Zhou believes that this will provide new important opportunities for both the company and the whole market as well and that they want to create a real channel for people in Europe to enter the crypto world just like a lot of people are doing in the U.S. and in Asia.

It is also important to notice that Binance really needs to up its game if it wants to be relevant in 2019. In 2018, Binance was the king of the market and companies like Coinbase had to watch it, but 2019 will be the year in which companies like Bakkt, the crypto exchange and liquidity provider created by the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) will be in the field.

With large corporations from Wall Street entering the game to win, Binance has to evolve and grow or it may lose its place in the market and be left behind.

What To Expect From Europe?

While Europe already had a Bitcoin market way before Bitcoin exploded into the mainstream, its growth is somewhat slow when compared to Asian markets, for instance. According to data which was taken from CryptoCompare, the whole daily volume of Bitcoin in Europe is less than 4% of the world volume and the whole Europe ranks behind both the U. S. and Japan.

If Europe’s market will grow, 2019 is probably the year for it. During most of the year, the country had regulation problems and has seen a slow improvement in its crypto economy. Now, however, Binance is eyeing this market, so we may see some significant growth this year.

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Cryptocurrency Investors in India Are Fighting Back in the Name of Having Their Bank Accounts Closed

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India, the land of one of the oldest civilizations, has existed for thousands of years. To survive for so long, one needs great tenacity and a certain acceptance of fate. There is also an ability that is colloquially known as ‘jugaad,’ the closest English equivalent is a hack. So when Banks in India started to close the accounts of customers thought to be involved in crypto trading, people found simple jugaads to bypass the scrutiny.

Banks Caught In A Bind

While the Supreme court of India has yet again postponed the hearing of its case pertaining to Cryptos, Banks have gone ahead and implemented the central banks, the Reserve bank of India, directive. Compliance to the circular requires the banks to effect bans and deny services to customers or businesses that are found to be dealing in digital assets.

Thus banks are required to close accounts that might have made crypto related transactions. This means they are expected to carry massive sweeps on their customer base and check on how people are spending their own money.

To make things worse most people savvy with these things, have already found ways to circumvent the banks screening and workarounds to avoid account closures.

How Do The Users Avoid Account Closures?

According to Instashift, a local cryptocurrency exchange, banks are closing accounts based on a simple search of any cryptocurrency-related words in the transaction remarks. This means that when a customer’s bank account is being scrutinized by a banking official, they are looking for keywords such as crypto or bitcoin in the remarks. If found the account is most likely to be closed off.

As one would imagine, the solution is to just not leave such notations. As Nischal Shetty, the CEO of Wazirx explained,

“Majority of the people understand not to enter such terms in the remarks. So simply avoiding entering anything related to crypto in the payment remarks is more than enough to avoid any problems from banks.”

He went on to suggest that the banking system has no verifiable method to confirm if a P2P transaction was used for crypto or non-crypto purposes.

Echoing the exact sentiment many Indian twitteratis are posting similar suggestions. A user, Cryptomanic has suggested

“Use P2P without writing anything related to crypto in remarks. And don’t do heavy transactions.”

Another one, Vivekmacha, concurs and advised for making use of P2P, as it cant be tracked. He further repeated the importance of making sure no crypto- related terms are noted in the remarks, for any reason.

More Than Enough Options On Offer

A solution that has been gaining in popularity recently is P2P, exchange-escrowed peer-to-peer style of trading. The popularity is unsurprising, ever since the central bank initiated the ban on digital assets and more and more crypto exchanges in India are gravitating towards offering this type of trading.

Another simple solution offered is to open another account. An Instashift spokesperson suggested that if crypto users have their accounts closed, they can simply start “a fresh account in another bank.” With the new account, they merely need to be more cautious and ensure that if they are trading, they do so without using any crypto terms that might draw attention.

Since all bank accounts are created using a Permanent Account Number, Indias water-downed version of the US social security number, the same person opined

“It’s easy to open a new account for a person in India & banks also welcome people to open accounts.”

Rigorous Action By Multiple Banks

The closing of accounts is, unfortunately, not an isolated instance, with many people reporting problems with banks, big and small, closing accounts which shows any crypto activity. Kotak Mahindra Bank, the banking branch of a major Indian industrial family and Digibank, a bank backed by the powerful Asian financial group, DBS, recently made the news. They have been sending letters to their customers advising them of impending account closures. One person affected by this took to Twitter.

Indiancryptogirl posted letters she says were sent to her. The letter simply stated that it had found some transactions with brokers who dealt in virtual currencies. As India did not consider such transactions legal the bank was

“constrained to place a credit freeze in your account. Further as per the extant guidelines, we are required to exit such relationships where transactions with brokers/traders, dealing in virtual currencies are observed.”

The letter ended with the notification that

“Hence 30 days from the date of this communication your account will be closed by the bank.”

This is not an isolated incident of some bank targetting customers with an affiliation for cryptos, numerous such cases have come to light in the recent past. Telling a similar story is Pushpendra Singh, who banks with the smaller UCO bank, but claims that this same modus operandi was followed there as well. A similar complaint reverberated in the words of Bluecrypto on Twitter who said,

“the same happened to me and my HDFC account got closed.”

Not only that, but most Banks now also follow a similar policy like Standard Chartered bank which explicitly requires, those who are looking to open an account in India to specifically agree to not engage in any sort of dealings in digital assets.

The issue of banks deciding for their customers how they can spend their money is in the front and center of this story. However, as Yatharth Vashishth pointed out, that banks are not the sole bearers of this burden as they are only following RBI’s order.

“Bank is acting as per regulations by the RBI. All banks are instructed to shut accounts of all entities dealing in crypto. ”

It does appear that banks are hapless and forced to toe the line, set by the central banks and, many suspect, a government not trusting the technology. While one can hope that the nations notoriously lethargic judicial systems come to the rescue, it is already clear that the second most populated country on the planet is working on hacks to join the crypto marketand blockchain revolution.

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