2018 was the year of the bear run and the stablecoin. So what does 2019 hold for the crypto world? While it is impossible to tell what exactly will happen in 2019, one can make a good guess. Here are the five likely scenarios that will play out in 2019 for crypto:
Tether Will Lose Traction
For years, there have been issues raised about how legit Tether is. Despite this, it has remained a popular stablecoin in the crypto world.
However, rival stablecoins such as Coinbase, Circle, and Gemini could offer a challenge. This will erode the monopoly that it has enjoyed in the past. Even if Tether does not shutter as Basis did at the end of 2018, it will most likely not be as dominant.
Facebook Will Mint The WhatsApp Crypto
Facebook has been interested in creating a payments platform for years. The effort started in 2014 when it poached David Marcus of PayPal.
Marcus became the head of messaging products at the company. However, he was picked to head the company’s blockchain project in 2018, which is still shrouded in mystery. Recent reports indicate that he might launch a WhatsApp-based remittance service in India. After a rough period in 2018, the company could use a win in 2019.
The Regulators Will Go After Big Fish
The SEC will take on the major players in crypto in 2019. For instance, it might decide that XRP is unregistered security.
If that happens, Ripple could be hit with huge fines. It might also decide to shut down an exchange for not adhering to anti-money laundering laws. Besides that, celebrities who have used their star power to pump ICs might be in trouble.
The Bitcoin ETF Gets Approved
As the crypto world evolves, it could help the stage for a BTC traded fund also called an ETF. After the bubble burst, investors that are more reasonable are joining the crypto world.
Right now, a firm called Bakkt, created by those behind the NYSE wants to launch a BTC futures market. This could help to improve liquidity in the crypto world. Thus far, it is known that an SEC commission is seeking to have the BTC ETF approved. Before that, a VanEck might or might not be approved next month. It is worth noting how that works out.
The Bear Run Persists
The crypto world has been in a bear run since they reached a high in 2017. Right now, various factors such as volatility in the equity market, a possible economic recession, and global geopolitics might reduce appetite for crypto assets for now.
However, there is a bit of disagreement on this. Some experts believe that prices might bounce back soon. Others believe that crypto prices have not hit their low yet.
There is a lot of agreement and disagreement over whether these predictions will happen. However, there is quite good evidence to support them if you look at the crypto world right now. It is also worth noting that this is a young industry and anything is possible.
Bitcoin will drop to $3,500 before we see a major bull run, says trader
While Bitcoin has managed to hold above $4,000 according to Coinmarketcap, one trader believes that BTC will drop to $3,500 before the next bull run.
Speaking to CCN, crypto trader known as The Crypto Dog in the community said that it’s still possible Bitcoin sinks to $3,500 in the short term, adding that market conditions haven’t changed over the last several days.
“I think we could still see $35XX,” the trader said, adding, it [Bitcoin] hasn’t changed much. It wasn’t a particularly significant move. It bounced at a clear support, but there’s been no positive reaction yet. If this support holds, I expect a sweep of the highs near $4,100-$4,140.
“Decent chance we just saw that ‘one more leg up.’ I greatly reduced exposure up here above $4,000. Waiting for $3,5XX for long entries. I’d love an opportunity to short $4,1XX, but not sure if we’ll see it,” he said.
Bitcoin’s struggle to maintain momentum is likely the reason for cautious optimism shown by traders and analysts.
Recently, technical analyst knew as DonAlt explained that we can’t safely conclude the bear market is over until Bitcoin breaks out above $4,600.
Bitcoin SV [BSV] Price Analysis: Bears dominate market as token’s downtrend continues
Bitcoin SV [BSV] continued its bearish run on the back of the collective market dropping below the $140 billion mark. After two successive bullish waves in the past week, the coin market turned red.
At press time, the BCH hardfork fell against the US dollar by 1.26 percent, and was trading at $65.88. The market cap of the coin stood at $1.16 billion, trailing Cardano [ADA] by over $220 million.
Bitforex took the top spots with respect to BSV trade volume, via the trading pairs BSV/USDT and BSV/BTC. The pairs accounted for 12.28 and 12.17 percent, respectively. Other notable exchanges on the list were HitBTC, IDAX, and IDCM.
The one-hour BSV chart showed a massive downtrend stretching from $68.71 to $66.32, with the coin dropping further below. The sole uptrend was prior to this drop when the coin rose from $67.71 to $68.71.
Bitcoin SV found immediate support at $64.55, which the coin was hovering above. The immediate resistance level stood at $68.77.
The Bollinger Bands pointed to a massive increase in volatility as the price declined. The Moving Average line indicated a bearish swing.
The Chaikin Money Flow tool showed a decrease in the money inflow to BSV tokens as the CMF line was below 0.
The Awesome Oscillator showed a significant decrease in short term market momentum, but the concluding bars being green indicated an imminent bullish change.
Bitcoin SV saw two downtrends, with the first downtrend shaving the price from $75.71 to $67.15. The second downtrend pulled the price down from $70.39 to $67.65.
The coin found immediate support at $61.72, which the coin touched in February. Bitcoin SV’s immediate resistance level stood at $75.65.
The Parabolic SAR indicated a bearish market, as the dotted lines were above the coin’s trend line.
The Relative Strength Index showed a notable decrease in investor interest as the RSI dropped down from 55.65 to 46.38, at press time.
The MACD continued projecting bearish signs as the MACD line pushed below the Signal line.
Bitcoin SV failed to hold on to the bulls as the coin’s price declined below the $70 mark. In the short term, the coin’s volatility was high, while the money inflow dropped. Short-term momentum was negative, further pointing to the resoluteness of the bears. In the long-term, the MACD and the Parabolic SAR indicated a bearish market.
Bitcoin Price Drops Back Below $4K But Bull Outlook Still Intact
- Bitcoin failed to capitalize on a bull breakout above $4,040 yesterday, but the short-term outlook remains bullish as the higher-lows pattern is still intact.
- A convincing break above the three-day chart resistance of $4,040 still looks likely and could be followed by a rally toward the recent high of $4,190.
- The immediate outlook would turn bearish if prices find acceptance below $3,920 (previous day’s low). A bearish close, if confirmed, could yield a drop to $3,700–$3,658 (Feb. 27 low).
Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped back from levels over $4,000, but the short-term outlook will remain bullish as long as prices are holding above key support at $3,920.
The crypto market leader jumped to a 25-day high of $4,055 yesterday, having secured a bullish UTC close above the psychological hurdle of $4,000 on Wednesday, going by Bitstamp data. The breakout above the crucial three-day chart resistance of $4,040, however, was short-lived with prices falling back to a five-day low of $3,920 before closing the day at $3,974.
Notably, the negative price action engulfed the trading range seen in the previous four days, which is widely considered an early sign of bull exhaustion.
That said, the path of least resistance is still to the higher side, as the bounce from lows near $3,920 has left the bullish higher lows pattern intact along the trendline connecting the Feb. 8 and Mar.4 lows.
For the immediate outlook to turn bearish, the engulfing price action seen yesterday needs a strong follow through in the form of a convincing break below $3,920.
As of writing, BTC is trading at $3,980, representing a 1.28 percent drop on a 24-hour basis.
On the daily chart, BTC created a bearish outside reversal candle yesterday as trading began on an optimistic note but ended with pessimism.
A bullish-to-bearish trend change, however, would be confirmed only if prices close below $3,920 (low of the bearish candle) today. A move below $3,920 would confirm a downside break of the ascending trendline and shift risk in favor of a deeper drop toward the Feb. 27 low of $3,658.
On the higher side, a break above $4,055 would reinforce the short-term bullish setup and could fuel a rally toward the recent high of $4,190.
The odds of a rally toward $4,235 (inverse head-and-shoulders neckline) would strengthen if the current three-day candle closes (today) above $4,040, validating the bullish engulfing candle created in three days to March 16.
Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.