Here’s What The Experts Think Will Happen To Ethereum This Year…
As most of our readers probably already know by now, Ethereum is an open-source platform that has been devised to help developers create smart contracts and dApps that are free from the interference of third party entities. Also, the platform comes prebuilt with its very own currency, Ether, that is based on blockchain technology and makes use of a distributed ledger system.
Ethereum’s Rocky Financial Journey
Over the course of the past few years, Ethereum has transformed into a legitimate ‘store of value’ — so much so that the premier altcoin was able to scale up to an amazing price point of $1,400 during December 2017.
With that being said, owing to a host of different economic factors, predicting the price of Ethereum has never been easy— especially since its role has been considerably different from that of Bitcoin (another crypto asset that has experienced massive economic turmoil over the past year or so).
(i) Matt De Silva: Matthew is a crypto analyst who has been critical of Ethereum and Vitalik Buterin from the very start.
For example, he had predicted that the asset would drop to around the $180 mark last September, following which, it would continue its descent into the abyss.
Additionally, Silva has also stated in the past that Buterin’s Ethereum platform was launched prematurely as a result of which the system “lacked an equitable distribution model”. If that wasn’t enough, he also believes that Ethereum has not been able to have a major impact on the market at large — expect for the fact that it was a major contributor to the crypto bubble of 2017.
— Matthew De Silva (@matthewde_silva) September 12, 2018
(ii) Aayush Jindal: According to analyst Aayush Jindal, Ether is all set to witness more economic stagnancy as we move into the future. In his opinion, if the premier cryptocoin is not able to rise above the $515 mark, it will continue to slide and maybe even drop below its current levels.
In a recent interview with Express.co.uk, Jindal was quoted as saying:
“The current technical structure will remain negative as long as the price is below $515, but a successful 2-hour close above this level may perhaps decrease the current bearish pressure and open the doors for a fresh upward wave. On the flip side, the recent low of $477.31 may act as decent support, the next buy zone being around $450. Overall Ether could consolidate in the short term, but it remains at risk of more losses until there is a break above $515.”
(iii) Joseph Raczynski: According to Raczynski’s recent posts on Twitter, the crypto analyst firmly believes that Ethereum still has the potential to scale up to the $1000 mark sometime this year.
Also, in an interview with Finder.com, Raczynski went on record to state that he would not be surprised if Ethereum witnessed a massive economic surge in the near future, and rose to a price point of $1200 by the end of Q1 2019.
He based his bold predictions on the following analyses:
- ETH’s Proof-of-Concept protocol has been gaining more and more traction amongst leading institutional investors.
- Ethereum currently boasts one of the largest and most active developer pools in the world.
(iv) Clem Chambers: The ADVFN topman is of the opinion that Ether will most likely scale back to it’s all-time-high value of $1400 by the end of this year. This, in Chambers’ opinion, will happen because of rising consumer interest and overall demand for crypto assets.
In this regard, while speaking with Forbes recently, Chambers went on to state the following:“The past doesn’t predict the future blah blah blah…. But you would be a fool not to watch for Ethereum and Litecoin to start rallying as a potential signal for the crypto market bottom we are all waiting for and last year it gave plenty of advanced warning, so will likely do so again after the ‘Bitcoin is Dead’ headlines hit the mainstream press.”
(v) Nigel Green: The deVere Group Boss believes that Ethereum has the potential to scale up to around the $2,500 mark by the end of the year. This, in his opinion, will happen because of the following reasons:
- The number of use cases associated with ETH (in relation to other platforms) has been on the rise over the past 6-12 months.
- More and more companies are starting to see the benefits of using smart contracts — digital tools that can be easily employed within the Ether ecosystem.
- Nigel believes that the “decentralization of cloud computing” will help drive the price of Ether much higher as we move into the future.
(vi) Steven Nerayoff: Mr Nerayoff believes that by the end of December, Ethereum will close in on the $3,000 mark. This is because the currency’s ecosystem is currently being used by a number of firms who have pumped in billions of dollars into the digital asset.
With that being said, it is also worth noting that Steven had previously predicted that Ether would be sitting at a comfortable price-point of $1,000 by the start of January 2019— a forecast that has not yet come to fruition.
(vii) Olaf Carlson-Wee : Polychain Capital CEO and well-known crypto analyst Carlson-Wee believes that 2019 will see Ether scale up to a value of at least $7,000. Carlson’s prediction is based on the fact that Ether’s native programming language is devised in a way that will help the asset grow as we move into the future.
However, as things stand, ETH’s overall market cap still lags behind XRP’s.
Additionally, in an interview with a respected media outlet during late-2018, Olaf went on record to say:“In Ethereum, this programming language is much more expressive and its higher level…so what we’ve seen in Ethereum is a much richer, organic developer ecosystem develop very, very quickly, which has what driven Ethereum’s price growth, which has been much more aggressive than Bitcoin…so maybe by the end of 2018.”
(viii) Jeff Reed: While most analysts claim that Ethereum will touch/hover around it’s ATH value by the end of 2019, Reed is of the opinion that the asset will become “more valuable than Bitcoin” in the coming few months.
In Jeff’s opinion, the Ethereum ecosystem not only has more technical capabilities than BTC but also comes with other dev-oriented tools that could very easily see the price of Ether soar above Bitcoin by the end of this year.
However, at the time of writing this article, Ethereum is sitting at a meager price point of around $115.
(ix) Brian Schuster: Even though Ether is struggling to stay above the $100 mark right now, Brian Schuster believes that the currency is destined to reach a price-point of at least $100,000 by the end of this year.
According to Schuster, the head of Founder Solutions, ETH will be able to achieve this feat because of its amazing SoV capabilities.
If that wasn’t enough, Schuster also believes that Ethereum can possess a market capitalization of $10 trillion within a few years time.
Last but not least, the crypto bull was also quoted as saying:“What if you believe that Ethereum is less like one individual business and more like a store of value, like gold? This gives us a potential market capitalization of roughly $10 trillion, leading us to believe that the price of Ethereum might rise as high as $100,000 per coin. We might even go one step further and say that Ethereum is not like one asset, but an asset to replace all currency that exists.”
In rounding off this article, it is also worth mentioning that some independent analysts such as Mycotoxin and Keops (TradingView.com) are also of the opinion that Ether is destined to start rising within the coming few weeks and months.
It now remains to be seen how the future of this premier cryptocoin plays out from here on out.
Ethereum’s Bearish Wave Count Outlined by Cryptocurrency Analyst
Ethereum is the second-largest cryptocurrency when ranked by its market capitalization. It made headlines on Monday when its co-founder was spotted in the company of several Chinese investors and internet moguls. This could have been the reason for a nearly 10 percent increase in the price of the altcoin.
However, despite this price spike, Ethereum has been on a downward trend for the prior 110 days.
According to him, the price is ready to make a downward move towards $170.
While the short-term wave count seems correct, we want to look at the longer-term price action to decide the Ethereum price outlook and find a target for the end of the downward move.
Ethereum Wave Count
Looking at the price movement since Ethereum reached a low of $83 on December 7, 2018, we believe the ETH price has finished a five-wave upward move when it reached a high of $363 on June 26, 2019.
Since then, the Ethereum price has been trading inside of a descending wedge. The descending wedge is a bullish pattern, making a price breakout more likely. While inside its confines, ETH has either finished the final corrective C-wave or is very close to doing so.
However, it is also right at the resistance line of the pattern. Therefore, even though the wedge is a bullish pattern, we could definitely see an extension of the downward leg towards the support area if the price does not break out immediately.
When we look at the daily moving averages (MAs), the possibility of a breakout is greatly reduced.
The 100- and 200-day MAs have just made a bearish cross and are providing close resistance to the price.
A bullish cross between the two MAs occurred in May and preceded an increase of more than 100 percent.
The current bearish cross could very well be a precursor to a similar decrease. However, due to the support area outlined near $160 and the projected end of the wedge, we do not believe this decrease will have the same magnitude.
What Will Happen?
Looking at the four-hour chart to which @smartcontracter alluded to, we can see a short-term ascending support line. Combining it with the descending resistance line from the wedge, we get a symmetrical triangle which is projected to end in two days.
A decisive move should occur by that time.
Based on our long-term analysis, we agree with the statement made by @smartcontracter that the price is likely to initiate a downward move.
Ethereum’s price may be hit by a breach of the ascending channel
Ethereum noted a fall of 9.40% in the month of September, pulling the value of the coin from $204.80 to $185.54. However, October provided some relief after the price noted a rise of 9.82%, taking the price from $172.16 to $189.14. The second largest coin in the cryptocurrency market currently stands priced at $184.82, with a market cap of $19.98 billion.
However, the long-term chart has predicted that the rise could only be momentary and that the coin might note a fall.
Daily ETH chart
Source: ETH/USD on TradingView
The daily chart for Ethereum suggested the formation of an ascending channel. This channel, characterized by two upward sloping lines, marked the higher highs at $177.12, $183.85, and $200.98 and higher lows at $152.04, $168.56, and $176.51. According to the nature of the formed pattern, a breakout towards the downside may take place with its breach.
The moving average 50 lay under the moving average 100 for the 62nd consecutive day. The averages rested above the candlesticks, indicating a highly bearish market. Even though the MACD indicator suggests a bullish market, the reduced momentum implies that a reversal of trend could be possible.
The long-term chart for Ethereum points at a devaluation in the value of the coin, as it breaches out of the ascending channel.
Ethereum (ETH) Breaks Range Resistance But Bitcoin Still Struggling
- Ethereum price climbed above the key $185 resistance area against the US Dollar.
- Bitcoin price is still struggling to recover and is facing a strong resistance near $8,400.
- There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near $183 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
- The pair is currently consolidating above $185 and it could rise towards $192 or $195.
Ethereum price is showing positive signs versus the US Dollar and bitcoin. ETH price must stay above $185 to continue higher in the near term.
Ethereum Price Analysis
Yesterday, we saw range moves in Ethereum above the $175 and $178 supports against the US Dollar. Finally, the price formed a support base above $180 and later managed to climb higher. It surpassed the $185 resistance area to start the current recovery. Moreover, there was a close above the $185 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
During the rise, there was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near $183 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The pair tested the $188 area and it is currently correcting gains. At the moment, the price is trading below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the $180 swing low to $188 high. On the downside, there is a strong support forming near the $185 level (the previous resistance).
Moreover, the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the $180 swing low to $188 high is also positioned near the $185 level. The next key support is near the $184 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If there is a downside break and close below the $184 support area, Ethereum price could move back into a bearish zone. In the mentioned case, the price is likely to revisit the $178 support.
On the upside, the $188 level is an initial hurdle for the bulls. A successful break above the $188 level could push the price towards the $192 resistance. Any further upsides may perhaps call for a push towards the $195 resistance area.
Looking at the chart, Ethereum price is showing positive signs above the $185 level, while bitcoin is still facing a strong resistance near $8,400. As long as ETH is above $184, there are chances of more gains in the near term. The bulls are likely to target $192 or $195. Conversely, the price could revisit $178 if it breaks $184.
ETH Technical Indicators
Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is slowly moving into the bearish zone.
Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is currently correcting lower towards the 50 level.
Major Support Level – $184
Major Resistance Level – $192