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Bitcoin Price ‘Bull Cross’ Points to Positive Market Shift

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  • Bitcoin’s three-day chart is showing a bullish crossover of the 5- and 10-day exponential moving averages for the first time since July. The crossover looks decisive as both EMAs are now trending north, validating the bearish-to-bullish trend change signaled by the high-volume triangle breakout seen on the 3-day chart.
  • The cryptocurrency could test December highs above $4,200 in the near term.
  • A minor pullback to $3,800 may be seen in the next 24 hours, as signs of bullish exhaustion have emerged on the hourly and 4-hour charts.
  • The bullish case would weaken if BTC finds acceptance below $3,614 (the low of the previous three-day candle), but that currently looks unlikely.

A much-followed bitcoin (BTC) price indicator has turned bullish for the first time in seven months, indicating a trend change in the market.

On the three-day chart, the 5-candle exponential moving average (EMA) has crossed the 10-candle EMA from below – the first decisive bullish crossover since July 17, 2018.

Back then, BTC was trading above $7,300 and the crossover was followed by a rally to highs above $8,400 on July 24.

Moving average crossovers help identify shifts in momentum. A bearish-to-bullish trend change is confirmed when a short-term moving average crosses through a long-term average from below.

Many would argue that EMA crossovers are lagging indicators. While that is true, crossovers between the short duration averages help traders distinguish between bullish and bearish scenarios. The long-term MA crossovers like the “golden cross” (bullish crossover of the 50-and 200-day MAs) often work as contrary indicators.

The latest positive crossover seen in the three-day chart validates the bullish break above $3,800 witnessed earlier this week. As a result, December highs above $4,200 could soon be put to the test.

As of writing, BTC is trading at $3,894 on Bitstamp, having clocked a high of $3,990 earlier today.

3-day chart

As seen above (left), the 5- and 10-day EMAs have produced a decisive bullish crossover, i.e. the averages are trending north following the bull cross. The chart to the right shows July’s bullish cross. After a brief rally following the cross, the averages became flat-lined in the three months up to Nov. 14, offering little directional bias.

In the current scenario, BTC’s last three-day candle closed at $3,936, confirming a triangle breakout, which also indicates a bearish-to-bullish trend change. Further, the candle closed well above $3,711, validating the bullish outside reversal created in the three days to Feb. 15.

Even so, December highs above $4,200 may not come into play immediately, as the short duration charts have turned bearish.

4-hour and hourly chart

The long upper shadows attached to multiple candles on the 4-hour chart signal bullish exhaustion near $4,000.

The relative strength index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart has also rolled over from the overbought territory and is pointing southwards. Meanwhile, the RSI on the hourly chart has turned bearish below 50.00.

As a result, BTC could revisit $3,800, before resuming the rally toward $4,236 (Dec. 24 high), as suggested by the three-day chart.

The stacking order of the 50-hour MA, above the 100-hour MA, above the 200-hour MA, also indicates that any dip to $3,800 could be short-lived.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

 

Source:coindesk.

 

 

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Hash Rate alcanza 102 quintillones en el hito histórico de la red

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Bitcoin’s (BTC) network hash rate has passed a record 102 quintillion hashes for the first time in history in a historic milestone for the cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin adds another zero to hash rate

As data from monitoring resource Blockchain confirmed on Sept. 18, hash rate, ultimately a function of how secure the Bitcoin network is, has reached a high of 102.8 quintillion hashes.

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Bitcoin network hash rate. Source: Blockchain

The achievement follows a string of records for the metric this year, Cointelegraph reporting on various stages of its expansion over the past few months. 

Hash rate refers to the amount of computing power involved in processing Bitcoin transactions. The higher the number of hashes, the more implied competition there is among miners to obtain the block reward. 

Since December 2018, the hash rate has progressed from its recent low of 31 quintillion hashes per second, equating to the progress of 230%.

Bitcoin proponents eye price implications

Current growth has excited commentators, despite coming in tandem with a moderate decline in Bitcoin price. 

As many noted, new upward action for hash rate tends may hint at future price growth. Hash rate began growing in January after several months of decline, with price then following in April. 

Commenting on the current rate of growth, Lightning Torch organizer Hodlonaut said the figures spoke to underlying confidence among miners.

“Last readjustment period (2016 blocks, or around 2 weeks) increased 10.38%. We are about half way through the current readjustment period, and on track for another 11.85% increase,” he forecast.

Others have already given more bullish predictions. Max Keiser, a firm believer in Bitcoin’s prowess over altcoins, has frequently doubled down on his depiction of giant surges in both hash rate and price in the near future.

Source fxstreet

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Bitcoin needs to be ‘better regulated’ before it is traded on major exchanges

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Speaking at a conference today hosted by CNBC and Institutional Investor, Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Jay Clayton said that bitcoin would need better regulation before being listed for trading on major traditional exchanges like NYSE or Nasdaq.

“If [investors] think there’s the same rigor around that price discovery as there is on the Nasdaq or New York Stock Exchange … they are sorely mistaken,” said Clayton. “We have to get to a place where we can be confident that trading is better regulated.”

Clayton’s comments come a few days after VanEck and SolidX’s decision to withdraw their bitcoin ETF proposal. Earlier this month, Clayton also said that while “progress is being made” on the bitcoin ETF, bitcoin businesses still need to address some of the SEC’s lingering concerns, citing crypto custody and the threat of price manipulation on unregulated exchanges.

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Bitcoin (BTC) Crashes Below $10,000 Days Ahead Of Bakkt Futures Launch

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Bitcoin (BTC) has declined well below $10,000 just before the most anticipated Bakkt futures launch. This has unnerved a lot of the bulls that were hoping for a rally to the moon by Monday. However, when everyone starts thinking the same way, it is best to think the opposite. Remember, Bakkt is “scheduled” to be launched on Sep 23, 2019.

It was “scheduled” to be launched on December 12, 2018 as well and if you had been hoping in November 2018 that $6,000 was going to hold just because Bakkt was going to be launched then you would have made quite a loss as the price nosedived to $3,130 from there in a matter of weeks. So, what does this recent crash mean in light of what has happened in the past?

The market makers were waiting for investors to enter margined longs. They gave them plenty of time to do that as the price consolidating and doing nothing much. So, they kind of forced traders into making the decision now instead of waiting to enter a trade after the breakout because these past few days traders have been made to be comfortable buying into sideways action in anticipation of a pump as we saw in the case of Ethereum (ETH) and other altcoins. Most of them entered leveraged longs on BTC/USD in the hopes of profiting off a potential Bakkt rally. Those that had their stops just below the symmetrical triangle were shaken out but there are a lot more stops to be run just yet. The market makers might want to give investors another chance to long these dips so they can trap them again.

Bullish or bearish doesn’t matter from the market makers’ perspective. They are in the business of shaking out the traders hoping for easy money in this market. As I have said before this is not legal and if someone were to do this in the stock market they would find the SEC knocking on their door. However, anything is possible in this market in the absence of regulation. If we look at the 1H chart for Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D), we can see that it broke out of a falling wedge and is now primed for further upside.

Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) rises when either Bitcoin (BTC) is planning on outpacing the market at a certain point or we are primed for further downside and Bitcoin (BTC) is expected to hold its ground better than other coins. In both cases, this rising dominance in Bitcoin (BTC) does not bode well for the altcoin market which has yet to experience serious pain. There are a lot of useless projects in the altcoin market and it is only a matter of time before we see a strong downtrend that shakes out most of such projects. The fact that Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) just broke out of a falling wedge and has now begun an uptrend is a testament to the fact that recent hopes of an altcoin season were just orchestrated attempts by the big players to lure retail investors into buying their altcoin bags before the next crash. 

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