The most anticipated event of the week which was the BTC/USD weekly close is now over. The price has just closed below both its 50 Week EMA as well as the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. This means that the ongoing weekly candle now has a higher probability of being red and could at least fall towards the 200 Week EMA if not lower. The Stochastic RSI on the weekly time frame shows that Bitcoin (BTC) has not been this overbought since the beginning of the bear market. Even when the price topped in late 2017, the Stochastic RSI was much lower than it currently is. This means that there should be no doubt that the price is poised for a sharp decline, the only question is when.
Bitcoin (BTC)’s close below the 50 Week EMA and the 61.8% Fib retracement level should have been a confidence booster for the bears but the exact opposite has happened. The number of margined shorts has declined around 20% and could continue to decline if BTC/USD trades sideways. Bitcoin (BTC) may be quite close to its true bottom but the fact remains that it is more overbought than it was when the bear market started. Perhaps, the sentiment is also a lot more bullish than it was back then. When the price topped around December, 2017 and the rally slowed down, a lot of people were concerned that BTC/USD had a parabolic run and will not have to come down. This time however, a few pumps to the upside has convinced majority of the bulls that the bear market is over regardless of what the technicals say.
If the rise in BTC/USD was gradual and sustainable with higher highs and higher lows, it would be a bit hard to deny it can’t keep going up even if the price had been overbought short term. However, that is now what has happened. We have seen a clear lack of bullish momentum in the price action. There is too much friction and the price is too weak to break past resistance levels smoothly, but then we see a pump to the upside and the bulls are excited again. However, every time the bulls push after a pump, the whales dump on them. So far, they have allowed the price to rally to trap in as many bulls as possible with their high leveraged positions.
The weekly chart for BTCUSD Shorts shows what is going on. The number of margined shorts has declined to its trend line support as the bulls confidently expect a rally towards $6,000 or higher. The retail bears have been affected by this sudden sentiment shift in favor of the bulls which is why the shorts have declined so heavily. The weekly chart shows that BTCUSDShorts is now long overdue for a strong trend reversal which would see the number of shorts rise again. This means that Bitcoin (BTC) is far from being out of the woods just yet and could see significant downside in the months ahead.
More Bitcoin ATMs are being introduced by LibertyX as interest grows
- The company behind first launching Bitcoin ATMs in the United States, LibertyX to introduce more.
- LibertyX have announced they will add another 90 ATMs to its network.
LibertyX, the firm that launched the first Bitcoin (BTC) automated teller machine (ATM), in the United States, will be adding 90 new machines to its network.
The Boston-based firm will be partnering with independent ATM operator DesertATM, as part of the network expansion, as detailed within a report by global ATM market publication ATMmarketplace on July 18.
DesertATM will be uploading LibertyX on 90 of its Genmega ATMs to facilitate Bitcoin operations. In terms of the new Bitcoin ATM locations, these will be placed at; gas stations such as AMPM, ARCO & Chevron, as well as Family Dollar retail stores, as per the press release notes.
Bitcoin not yet banned in India, regulations around the corner
- The Minister of State to the Ministry of Finance told the upper house of the Indian Parliament, cryptos are not banned yet.
- The Minister, Anurag Singh Thakur, also stressed the need of creating a solution that caters to global regulators.
As per Anurag Singh Thakur, the Minister of State to the Ministry of Finance, holding or trading cryptocurrencies is not banned in India. During an address to the upper house of the Indian Parliament, Thakur stated that the Reserve Bank of India and the Ministry of Finance have issued notices regarding the use of Bitcoin and other similar coins:
“Presently, there is no separate law for dealing with issues relating to cryptocurrencies. Hence, all concerned Departments and law enforcement agencies, such as RBI, Enforcement Directorate and Income Tax authorities, etc. take action as per the relevant existing laws.”
The Minister’s response followed a recent report regarding an alleged crypto blanket ban draft which stated that the government would sentence crypto traders with a ten-year imprisonment.
In a separate letter addressed to the Ministry of Corporate Affairs, Thakur stated that an interministerial committee needs to create a solution that caters to global regulators:
“It is difficult to state a specific timeline to come up with clear recommendations. The Inter-Ministerial Committee (IMC) under the Chairmanship of Secretary, Department of Economic Affairs is examining all issues, including the pros and cons of the introduction of an official digital currency in India. No decision on licensing and authorizing any entity or company to operate such schemes or deal with Bitcoins or any virtual currency has been made as yet.”
Bitcoin price prediction: BTC/USD faces two healthy resistance levels on path back to $11,000
- BTC/USD is currently trading around $10,545.
- The two resistance levels are at $10,575 and $10,700.
BTC/USD had a bearish Friday where the price fell from $10,660 to $10,540. Bitcoin managed to have a bullish start to this Saturday and is currently trading for $10,545. The daily confluence detector shows two moderate-strong resistance levels at $10,575 and $10,700. On the downside, there are two support levels of note at $10,500 and $10,375.
BTC/USD daily confluence detector
The $10,575 resistance level has the 1-week Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level, while the $10,700 has the most substantial resistance level but no confluences has been detected. On the downside, the $10,500 support level has the 100-day simple moving average (SMA 100) and the 1-hour previous low. The $10,375 level possesses the 1-day Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level.