Connect with us

Bitcoin

Bitcoin [BTC]: Next 48 hours will decide the course of action Bitcoin’s price chooses to take

Published

on

Bitcoin’s price took a huge leap on 2 April, 2019 after it jumped from $4,173 to $4,800 in an hour, and from $4,641 to $5,121, in the succeeding price candle. This surge in price caused a buying frenzy, a FOMO that raised the market cap of the cryptospace by billions over the next few days.

However, the lingering question is if this rally will stop and correct, or rest and proceed higher. The technicals indicate that the rally has more to it and will continue to go higher before it corrects itself. Since technicals are up to interpretations, there are two scenarios that are likely to happen. The price will proceed to create higher highs with another breakout or correct the price after its recent surge.

The first scenario is based on the understanding that the pattern formed by the price is a “Rising/Ascending Triangle,” while the second pattern can be interpreted as a “Rising Wedge.” The former is bullish, while the latter is bearish.

Scenario 1 

The price of Bitcoin has formed an ascending triangle pattern, which is a type of continuation pattern. Ascending triangle patterns are usually formed in uptrends and indicate a bullish bias. The pattern also indicates an accumulation phase. The upper trend line for the ascending triangle shows three reaction points and the lower trend line has three reaction points as well.

Source: TradingView

Further, the volume has declined since its pump and is perfectly primed for the price to breakout. If the price decides to breakout, it will happen to the upside and the extent of the breakout will be 8-12%, which will push the price to the $5,500 – $5800 range. This range also provides a resistance that was formed in November 2018. According to the technicals, the pattern formed will breakout in the next 48 hours and the price will see a bullish rise.

Additionally, the RSI indicator shows clear resistance at the 51-line, which was already tested. The RSI indicator further confirms the movement of the price to the upside.

Scenario 2

The formation of a rising wedge pattern, which is the second interpretation of the pattern formed by the prices, is a bearish reversal pattern. Since the pattern is a rising wedge, the probability of a breakout to the downside is extremely high.

Source: Trading View

For the second scenario, there is a possibility of the price moving a little higher after the breakout and then correcting itself to the downside. Suggesting a move to the downside is Bitcoin’s weekly chart, which shows that bullish momentum is about to come to an end as indicated by the Stochastic indicator and Stochastic RSI.

Source: Trading View

Further, the 50-weekly moving average is acting as resistance, further restricting the rise in price. Both of the aforementioned indicators show an oversold position for the price of Bitcoin. The indicators have no more room to rise and the natural course for these indicators is to the downside.

Conclusion

The breakout to the upside, as indicated by scenario 1 seems more likely, as opposed to the bearish rising wedge scenario. However, scenario 1 can be confirmed in the next 48 hours, while the rising wedge pattern still has more room for the price to move.

Source.ambcrypto

Advertisement
Click to comment

Bitcoin

Survey Says Sell? Just 43% Believe ‘Golden Cross’ is Bullish for Bitcoin Price

Published

on

By CCN: Not everyone is convinced that Bitcoin’s highly-touted “golden cross” is a bullish signal for the world’s largest cryptocurrency.

ALMOST 25% OF CRYPTO INVESTORS BELIEVE GOLDEN CROSS IS BEARISH FOR BITCOIN

According to a Twitter survey conducted by crypto bull Thomas Lee, 24% of Crypto Twitter inhabitants believe that the signal, which typically hints at a bull run ahead, is a trap and that it is time to unload some Bitcoin. A golden cross occurs when a 50-day moving average crosses the 200-day moving average from under on the daily chart.

Being a typically-bullish signal, it did not come as a surprise for the largest number of respondents to say it is a good time to buy. However, it was not by a convincing margin. Only 43% of the respondents said the golden cross was a green light to purchase in anticipation of a imminent Bitcoin price rally.

MAJORITY OF BTC, XRP, AND ETH TRADERS ARE NET-LONG

Despite the survey, the formation of Bitcoin’s first golden cross since October 2015 has been greeted with excitement. Based on precedent, a bull run could be in the works. After the last golden cross, the bull run lasted until early 2018.

Sentiment has also turned bullish, and this is supported by factors other than technical analysis. Data compiled by forex exchange firm DailyFX also revealed that 81% of retail traders are now net-long bitcoin.

With altcoins, the percentage of retail traders who are net-long is even higher. About 97.7% of retail traders are net-long Ripple (XRP) while 92.2% are net-long Litecoin. Around 92.1% are net-long Ethereum.

BITCOIN PRICE DEFENDS $5,350 – CONFIRMATION OF A BULLISH TREND?

EToro Senior Market Analyst Mati Greenspan opines that a bull run has been confirmed. This is based on the fact that Bitcoin has broken the $5,350 resistance level, turning it into a new support area:

“Some people will want to wait until today’s close for confirmation but in my mind, this box is ticked. Following the extraordinary surge on April 2nd, many people were looking for some sort of continuation and now that we’ve broken the interim resistance of $5,350 it seems we have one.”

In some quarters though, the formation of the golden cross has been greeted with skepticism. Even in Lee’s survey, 19% indicated that they had no faith in technical analysis, calling it “voodoo.”

Source.ccn

Continue Reading

Bitcoin

Altseason Already Over? Analysts Suggest Bitcoin (BTC) Will Outperform In Short-Term

Published

on

All eyes may be on Bitcoin (BTC), but other crypto assets have seen their fair share of gains since the start of 2019, sparking calls that what is known as “altseason” is here. This would seemingly be the case. Binance Coin recently surpassed its all-time high, in a brutal bear market no less, as Litecoin has rallied by over 200% since December’s low. Cardano, Ethereum, Tezos, and Basic Attention Token are among other prominent cryptocurrencies that have also seen jaw-dropping gains in the past 90 days.

And as Fundstrat’s Tom Lee explains, one of the “pre-conditions” for historical altcoin rallies has recently come to life in the current cycle. This precursor, for those unaware, is a drop in the correlation between the crypto asset class at large and Bitcoin itself.

Per Lee’s chart (seen below), which cites data from Bloomberg, CoinMarketCap, and his own firm, a drop in the rolling 90-day correlation between the two subsets has preceded three altseasons — Mar 2016, early-2017, and late-2017/early-2018. An altseason, as defined by Fundstrat, is when a large percentage of altcoins in the “liquid universe” rally by over 200% in a short period of time.

Funnily enough, however, the (pre-)altseason might already be over. On Wednesday, Bitcoin dominance hit 54.4%, the highest this figure has read since mid-December, when BTC was in the midst of the capitulation to the low $3,000s. This resurgence in Bitcoin’s market share came as a result of BTC’s ability to outperform smaller digital assets over the past week. For instance, BTC has lost 1.5% in the past 24 hours, but XRP, EOS, Stellar Lumens (XLM), and Tezos (XTZ) have all lost more than 5% of their value in the same time frame. And analysts expect for Bitcoin to outperform in the near future.

Bitcoin May Soon Outperform

Inmortal Technique, an industry commentator and trader, recently suggested that Bitcoin’s market dominance has broken past a declining trendline, all while altcoins’ market dominance has remained trap under a key resistance, indicating that BTC currently has the upper hand.

Speaking to Forbes, Mati Greenspan, the crypto-friendly markets analyst at eToro, has also suggested that BTC could continue to outperform. He simply stated that “Altseason is over,” meaning that Bitcoin could soon see an influx of buying pressure from investors looking to liquidate their altcoin positions. Jeff Dorman, the chief investment officer of Arca, echoed this:

“If you look back to early April, when BTC rose 25% in a day, every other digital asset rose as well. But, since that day, BTC has remained well bid while every other asset has slowly begun to decline due to a rotation out of ‘altcoins’ and into BTC.”

And according to AskMeHowToShort, a well-followed yet controversial analyst, this rotation out of altcoins might just be “bullish for Bitcoin.”

Source:ethereumworldnews

Continue Reading

Bitcoin

Breaking: NY AG Alleges Bitcoin Exchange Misused Tether to Hide $850M

Published

on

By CCN: The office of New York Attorney General Letitia James has officially obtained a court order to request iFinex Inc, the operator of bitcoin exchange Bitfinex and Tether, to cease operations in New York.

The Attorney General’s office found that Bitfinex allegedly handed over $850 million in co-mingled client and corporate funds to Crypto Capital Corp, a company based in Panama.

Bitfinex is said to have never received the funds from the Panamanian firm, leading to the loss of more than $850 million.

The Attorney General’s office alleged Bitfinex granted itself access to Tether’s treasury and mismanaged $900 million of the stablecoin’s cash reserves to “hide” the loss of $850 million.

Attorney General James said:

“Our investigation has determined that the operators of the ‘Bitfinex’ trading platform, who also control the ‘Tether’ virtual currency, have engaged in a cover-up to hide the apparent loss of $850 million dollars of co-mingled client and corporate funds. New York state has led the way in requiring virtual currency businesses to operate according to the law. And we will continue to stand-up for investors and seek justice on their behalf when misled or cheated by any of these companies.”

HOW DID IT HAPPEN?

The core problem with Tether is that it does not issue public audits like strictly regulated stablecoins such as Gemini Dollar and Circle’s USDC. As a result, investors are unaware of what the potential “receivables” could be and the dealings of Tether.

A public audit would have forced Tether to disclose the alleged $900 million transactions initiated by Bitfinex had it been recorded on the financials of Tether Limited.

LACK OF PUBLIC AUDITS HAS ALWAYS BEEN A PROBLEM FOR TETHER

Since its creation in 2014, for more than five years, Tether has been a subject to consistent criticism from both investors and experts in the cryptocurrency sector for its lack of public audits.

Last month, CCN spoke to iFinex, the company that oversees Tether, about its new Terms of Service which read that every USDT is backed by cash and other receivables, but not 100% in cash.

“Every tether is always 100% backed by our reserves, which include traditional currency and cash equivalents and, from time to time, may include other assets and receivables from loans made by Tether to third parties, which may include affiliated entities (collectively, “reserves”),” the altered Terms of Service read.

Kasper Rasmussen, the director of marketing at iFinex, told CCN that Tether is still 100% backed even though it may include other assets.

“Tethers remain completely stable and 100% backed, so Tether’s reserves always equal or exceed the number of issued Tethers. The only change is that the composition of the assets that provide that backing includes a combination of cash, cash equivalents, and may also include other assets or receivables from loans issued by Tether,” Rasmussen said.

HOW DOES AFFECT BITCOIN?

Immediately after the release of the New York Attorney General’s report, the bitcoin price fell below $5,400, indicating a dip in the confidence of the crypto market.

Source.ccn

Continue Reading
Advertisement
Advertisement
Open

Close