A notable cryptocurrency analyst has projected double-growth for Ethereum in the second half of 2019.
Jacob Canfield, the co-founder of SignalProfits.com, predicted Ether at circa $546 based on the asset’s historical price moves dating back to 2017. The analyst noted that the Ether price is trending inside a Rising Channel that looked strikingly similar to a channel that formed between June 2017 and early December 2017. The ETH/USD rate in 2017 posted 186.58 percent gains inside the Rising Channel. The pair later broke out and settled its all-time high of $1,419.48 on US-based exchange Coinbase, as shown in the chart below.
The [Expected] ETH Price Action
Canfield speculated that the Ether price would repeat the scenario; it would trend inside the new Rising Channel until mid-June before attempting a breakout towards $308.39. The rate would then undergo a correction towards the apex of the Rising Channel, which would serve as a secure accumulation area for bulls. As a result, the Ether price would go through a sharp reversal to claim $545.87 as its 2019 high.
“I [recommended] to load up at $160 with a target of $308 on 4/22/2019,” said Canfield. “Very similar pattern from back in 2017 that I remember trading into.”
Very heavy in $ETH.
I gave the recommendation to load up at $160 with a target of $308 on 4/22/2019.
Very similar pattern from back in 2017 that I remember trading into. pic.twitter.com/5dJUwuKjYt
— Jacob Canfield (@JacobCanfield) May 15, 2019
There is, of course, the potential for Ether to reclaim its all-time high. Canfield’s analysis somewhat projected $545.87 as a prime target in a potentially significant upside wave. The last breakout above the old Rising Channel exhausted after surging 183.38 percent. The same logic explained that the ether price was due for a bull run towards $591.27 upon closing above the new Ascending Channel.
Not only technical indicators, but strong fundamentals also served Canfield’s $545-target for Ethereum.
The blockchain project has entered partnerships with the likes of Microsoft and JPMorgan to integrate its digital ledger solutions into their services. In the financial world, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission is reportedly looking forward to launching Ethereum-backed derivatives, which would serve as a gateway to institutional investments.
Mike Novogratz, the billionaire chief executive of US-based Galaxy Digital, favored Ethereum for its technical capabilities as a public blockchain network. He even held Ethereum higher than its peers, stating that it was “way ahead of bitcoin” while speaking at the recent 2019 Ethereal Summit. Excerpts:
“There’s good news and bad news…the good news is that Ethereum is way ahead. Ethereum, by a long shot, has the most people in the room. Bitcoin is really establishing itself as a store of value. The debate is over. We won. I see the on-ramps for institutions who now believe its a store of value who are coming in Bitcoin is going to stay for a while because that’s where the institutions are going to start.”
The combination of both technical and fundamental factors strengthened Ethereum’s bull case in the long run. The ETH/USD instrument was trading at $280 at the time of this writing.
Ethereum (ETH) Might Retest $280 But Long Term Outlook Remains Bearish
Although quite unlikely, it is possible that ETH/USD might test the $280 level again and even rally towards $300 before beginning its next decline. That being said, it is not a good idea to take that trade as the risk/reward is definitely not worth it. The 4H chart for ETH/USD shows that the price is trading within a descending channel and an ascending triangle at the same time. The perfect scenario for the whales if they can pull it off would be to pump the price above the ascending triangle first to trap in retail bulls and hunt the bears. Then they would pull it back into the descending channel to trap the bulls. At every trading setup, the market maker is looking for ways to take advantage of retail traders especially around turning points.
This is why most traders believe in going with the flow although going with the flow in this market could mean being a dead fish at certain times. The ideal play here would be to wait for a break out and see if price enters the descending channel. There is no doubt whatsoever that ETH/USD is long overdue for a sharp retracement and at some point that will happen. However that move is more likely to come at a point when both the bulls and the bears least expect it just like the recent rally. A lot of bulls feel very euphoric at the moment but most of them did not see the current rally coming. A lot of people on both sides were taken by surprise when Ethereum (ETH) pumped in that manner. Now, instead of being worried, most of them just got onboard and forget about their opinions before that pump. Some ‘reputed’ traders even took a 180 degrees turn like nothing had happened.
Ethereum (ETH) shorts are still struggling as retail bears fear a rally to $300. Considering what they have seen in the past few weeks, it is reasonable to see that most of them are too scared to take a trade at this point even if the risk/reward is worth it. ETHUSDShorts has been struggling to break past the 50 day moving average but it has yet to succeed. The number of margined shorts could rise towards the top of the channel as early as next month as sell pressure on ETH/USD mounts. The market is not short of catalysts that could trigger Ethereum (ETH)’s next decline at this point.
As mentioned in our last analysis on ETH/USD, there is a strong bearish divergence on the weekly time frame that points to massive downside ahead. One thing to note here is that traders that are patient always see the price coming to them instead of them chasing the price. When BTC/USD fell to $6,000 a lot of people FOMO’ed into the market thinking this was it, but that was not it. Not as many people FOMO’ed in the $3,000s but they did soon afterwards. Either way, this is not the bottom. When ETH/USD bottoms, we will see more of “Ethereum (ETH) is a scam” and “Ethereum is going to zero”. At that point most of these overly excited retail bulls would want nothing to do with Ethereum (ETH) or any other cryptocurrencies.
Ethereum Foundation announces how its spending $30 mln to develop network
The Ethereum Foundation announced in a recent blogpost on May 21, their plan for spending $30 million to develop the Ethereum network further over the next year.
The $30 million being spent is going to be allocated for three different categories. $19 million is set to be spent on future projects, $8 million is set to be spent on current projects, and $3 million is set to be spent on developer support.
The bulk of the $30 million, which is set to be spent on future projects, is set to include various projects to scale the network. These projects have been dubbed Ethereum 2.0 projects and include client teams, research, documentation and communication, and layer 2 projects like Plasma.
Plasma is set to enable “the blockchain to be able to represent a significant amount of decentralized financial applications worldwide,“ according to the blogpost. The first mention of Plasma was proposed by Vitalik Buterin and Joseph Poon in 2017.
The blogpost also laid out the main reason to scale the platform over the next year in the blogpost:
“Ethereum is used in production today to secure billions of dollars of assets and as a base layer for many hundreds of live applications. We believe that it is vital to continue supporting these efforts to ensure that “Ethereum 1.0” continues to be the world’s dominant smart-contract platform.”
Ethereum transactions have risen 44% in just 3 months
It is being reported by LongHash that transactions on the Ethereum network have been on the rise lately, and have recently seen a new high that is 44% above where it was only 3 months ago.
When looking at a chart outlining network transactions from February 19th to May 19th we can see that, although there was a slight dip after, the total reached a new high of 735,400 tx/day. Seeing as that number was only 512,460 three months prior, this constitutes a 44% rise in the daily number of transactions using Ethereum.
In addition, the total amount of Gas being used to power the network every day has risen from 31 billion to 48 billion in the same timeframe.
Reasons for this almost certainly include an influx of users, but also an ongoing evolution of smart contracts. Since complex smart contracts can consume more Gas and perform more transactions, hypothetically, then it is likely that what is being seen here is generally more users interracting with increasingly complex dApps.
All of this is rather bullish for Ethereum in the long run. If these numbers can continue to grow, then perhaps soon Ethereum can become the global computer it has been positioning itself to be for years now. Stick with Chepicap for all Ethereum updates!