In this short timeframe, IOTA’s trend is bullish/sideways. IOTA is currently resting at EMA50 and MA200 confluence point while gathering pace to attack the resistance zone at 6080 sats, a Fib50 of the March 21st -May 13th high low at 6000-6100 sats.
Breakout point for IOTA would be penetration of the Fib382 at 5600 sats and breakdown point is the 4950-5000 sats zone, a local bottom from couple of days ago.
Daily IOTABTC is picturing the struggle in more detail – IOTA has been clawing back up to enter the declining wedge again which it managed to do 4 days agod. Current mini resistance is the Fib236 at 5500 sats. It is still far away from its horizontal support at 6200 sats. It is right now hitting MA50 which needs to be pierced before moving further up to the major resistance at 6300 sats.
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IOTABTC is still in a major, long-term bearish trend. It is molding a falling wedge pattern, a bullish pattern that begins wide at the top and contracts as prices move lower. This price action forms a cone that slopes down as the reaction highs and reaction lows converge and is further confirmed with IOTA being oversold on the weekly CCI. However, considering this is the weekly chart, there is still some time to wait before this plays out. IOTA is currently sitting at 5220 sats and the wedge vertex is at 3200 sats and could be hit only in September, so it is going to be a long summer for IOTA.
Trading volume is low when compared to its market cap neighbors with only $36.7 million and “Real 10” volume being $21.1 mil. What is good, though, is the volume overstatement is relatively low, there is 1.7x discrepancy between the reported and the “Real 10” volume (trading volume on the exchanges that prevent wash trading). This means that IOTA’s liquidity is slightly inflated which is not the case with the majority of other coins.
Moreover, IOTA comparatively has a solid buy support, according to coinmarketbook.cc. Buy support is measuring sum of buy orders at 10% distance from the highest bid price. This way we can eliminate fake buy walls and whale manipulation and see the real interest of the market in a certain coin. IOTA currently has meager $3.4m of buy orders measured with this method, which sets IOTA buy support/market cap ratio at 0.40% which is faintly above average value. Bitcoin and Ethereum have a 0.27% and 0.28% ratios, respectively. This novel metric indicates there are a lot of manipulations, inflated liquidity and fake orders on all crypto trading pairs, including IOTA pairs.
All social metrics marked a noticable bump due to the Jaguar Land Rover news. You can see a huge increase in news articles, Twitter and Telegram posts. Sources for the data are DataLight and Predicoin.
Mid May Update: Fundamentals
To assess fundamental health of a project, we used the FCAS metric. FCAS is a comparative metric whose score is derived from the interactivity between primary project lifecycle fundamentals: User Activity, Developer Behavior, and Market Maturity.
There are a few sub components which provide data to each fundamental:
User Activity is comprised of Project Utilization and Network Activity
Developer Behavior is comprised of Code Changes, Code Improvement and Community Involvement
Market Maturity is comprised of Liquidity and Market Risk. Market Maturity has less than 5% impact on a project’s overall FCAS.
FCAS ratings are on a 0-1000 point scale with a corresponding letter grade. Break points are based on standard deviations in the underlying component distributions.
900 – 1000 is marked as S for superb. 750 – 899 is marked as A for attractive. 650 – 749 is marked as B for basic. 500 – 649 is marked as C for caution. And finally, below 500 is marked as fragile. You can read more about it here.
IOTA got an average C mark with this evaluation model. C stands for caution so IOTA is not looking good under this methodology for value assessing.
Below are some of the most important news around the project in the last 30 days.
- The IOTA Foundation (IF) has launched its first international IOTA academy program in close cooperation with the IOT1 Academy, a deep tech academy based in Berlin and Shanghai.
- Coordicide, the effort of removing the Coordinator from the IOTA networks, is well under way in its research phase. One step in the journey towards Coordicide is making the inner workings of the current network set-up fully transparent with an open-sourced version of the Coordinator running on Mainnet.
- Britain’s largest auto manufacturer announced yesterday that it has begun testing software that will allow drivers to be rewarded in cryptocurrency for sharing data. The Reuters report added that Jaguar Land Rover is developing a ‘smart wallet’ that will be installed into vehicles to enable crypto deposits. Drivers would be able to earn IOTA for sharing information such as traffic conditions, or potholes via automatic sensors connected navigation providers or local traffic authorities.
Below is our long-term forecast where we cover general market movements and sentiment shifts before delving deeper into the specific predictions for IOTA.
IOTA was started to provide distributed ledger technology for the machines and internet-of-things (IoT) space where small connected devices regularly share data.
Because these machines and devices are generally specialized to be low power and perform only specific functions IOTA does not use a traditional consensus mechanism like proof-of-work or proof-of-stake nor does it use a blockchain structure. It rather uses a different type of public ledger with a popular moniker “The Tangle”.
The goal of the project is to allow these devices to conduct micropayment transactions between themselves and potentially to securely transfer data. At the core of the project is what is referred to as the ‘Tangle,’ a directed acyclic graph (DAG) that acts as the public ledger system. The team believes that this structure will allow for feeless payments, lower compute cost, and the ability to connect to billions of devices.
Year in Review
IOTA expanded their team in 2018 with active talent acquisition, building an almost 100 man and woman army of researchers, developers, domain experts and ecosystem building enthusiasts.
IOTA’s holy grail is Coordicide – or the removal of the centralized server called coordinator that disqualifies IOTA as a decentralized ledger as long as it runs under a control of single entity (IOTA Foundation). Throughout 2018, IOTA have validated aspects of their earlier roadmap and come up with great improvements, but also started researching a potential breakthrough that if validated, would greatly accelerate the performance of Coo-less IOTA.
The IOTA Foundation officially signed an MOU with UNOPS. Through this collaboration, the IOTA Team will work with different units at UNOPS to increase transparency and efficiency, as well as safety and security for UN workers who are out on the field on a mission.
The IOTA and European Smart City Consortium +CityXChange received a green light from the EU Commission. The ENGIE Lab CRIGEN and the IOTA Foundation (IOTA) signed a Memorandum of Understanding to cooperate in experimentation with the IOTA Tangle in the Energy and related IoT domains.
The list of similar memorandums and partnerships is extensive and goes beyond the scope of this article.
The IOTA Foundation established the legal framework and internal governance model for the IOTA Ecosystem Development Fund (EDF) and they also announced the formation of a Research Council.
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During the last year we could see, for example, the development of the Trinity wallet and although it is still in a Beta stage, we can use it without major worries. Trinity is undoubtedly much easier to use and has more user-friendly functions.
IOTA Roadmap for 2019
The Foundation already has plans in place to make community engagement on development, research and adoption a lot more interactive and open in the new year, starting almost immediately.
IOTA Roadmap is very detailed and transparent and you can scrutinize their plans on this link.
What does the Icon (ICX) future look like?
In short, Coordicide will be the buzz word of the year for IOTA community and the last update we had on this project was the creation of a testnet without Coo to prove that the network can work without the Coordinator. Thus we arrived at CLIRI which is a fork of IRI (IOTA Reference Implementation) in which all trace of the Coordinator was removed. CLIRI is a test therefore it is not ready to be tested in the main network. Anyone who wants to research the CLIRI function can do so in the following GitHub repository https://github.com/iotaledger/cliri
How to evaluate fundamentals of a crypto project
We should consider crypto valuations like educated gambling, a ‘prediction market’ where we are betting on the odds of project and token success. There are some catalysts of success we can identify:
- Project success drivers (user traction, strong financial bottomline, good treasury management, network effects/synergies between users and token investors)
Real user traction is the most important driver of success, that is what most of holders call “adoption”. If people start using certain crypto project because they find it useful and it makes their life easier, that is a guarantee of success. So far, almost no crypto project can claim to have done so.
Strong financial warchest that will enable teams behind the project to develop their visions, incentivize other developers to join them and start using their product is also a crucial aspect of any project. Tied into it is treasury management – especially for the project that had big ICO proceeds. Temptation to squander all those millions into “conferences and events” (read hard-core partying on yachts and luxury hotels) was massive, especially if we consider that majority of token projects founders were no-names and ordinary employees that worked for a paycheck before the ICO fairy-tale happened to them.
Another adoption indicator – network effects, where every additional user of a good or service adds to the value of that product to others. When a network effect is present, the value of a product or service increases according to the number of others using it.
If you can objectively notice that your favorite token project has some of these traits happening for it, be happy – you might have found a winner.
- Token success drivers (favourable demand-supply dynamics, programmable incentives on token, aligned incentives with management team and consensus on token as common unit of value creation).
Token success is completely dependent on tokenomics. As defined by infloat.co, tokenomics involves the incentivization of certain stakeholders to ensure particular behavior.
So, tokenomics is essentially an incentive structure designed to ensure that a token has a purpose and utility within its native network. It is the study of how coins/tokens work within the broader ecosystem that can be considered as a sovereign micro-economy. This includes such things like token distribution as well as how they can be used to incentivize positive behaviour in the network.
For example, bitcoin is designed to ensure that bitcoin miners have a reason to mine new bitcoin. Miners validate bitcoin transactions and receive (or create) newly minted bitcoin in the process.
On the other hand, individuals, businesses and other bitcoin users pay a transaction fee for miners to include their transaction in the next block. This ensures that even when all bitcoin have been minted (to the tune of 21 million, which should happen in around 2140), bitcoin miners are still incentivized to keep ‘mining’ (i.e. validating transactions).
To paraphrase all of the above in the simplest terms: if you, after weeks of research and reading, can’t figure out why the project needs to have a token, it probably doesn’t.
So why does the token exist then?
– To make the project founders rich.
But there are some people on Twitter, Reddit, Telegram claiming otherwise.
-Yes, they are either: paid to do so by those same founders, they are desperate and delusional bad holders or they are just stroking their own ego with newly learned fancy economic terms and jargon.
Needless to say – stay clear of such projects.
General Market Movements and Sentiment Shift
The downfall of altcoins that were mainstream media darlings at the start of the year, IOTA among them, can be attributed, in part, to novice investors getting scared off once the bear market kicked in with a vengeance. Every resurgence of bitcoin in recent period, was met with the, for the most part, inability of altcoins to rally with it. Reason for that can be rookie investors learning from their mistakes, while smart money that was previously watching from the sidelines has begun to enter into bitcoin.
These entities weren’t about to buy BTC when it was trading at an all-time high, but they’ll take a look now, having missed the boat the first time around. None of them, it seems, are interested in altcoins however, despite the fact that many are trading at a 5x discount. Institutional investors may be cautious, but they’re not foolish.
Some altcoins will continue to have some speculative value for the foreseeable future. But just like the now infamous tulips, the hysteria will eventually subside. We are already witnessing the first phases of that slide and even though most of the bag holders react emotionally to articles that criticize their coins, I am just observing the developments on the market. You better start emotionally detaching yourself from your “great sounding” coin because if goes nowhere, ideas are worthless without execution and real users that see value in the project.
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2018 was a very interesting year overall for the broader DLT community, “ICO projects” came and burst in a similar fashion to the firework that painted the evening sky tonight.
While the mass death of barely-alive-in-the-first-place projects causes some uncertainty and skepticism among the newcomers, it is something veterans and pioneers of this space have been longing for.
In order for DLT to become established, we need quality over quantity, we need convergence on standards and consolidation of communities to bring to life what we’ve been working on for years. With less noise, 2019 will act as a Darwinian selection mechanism, much like that of which the IT companies post-dotCom Bubble experienced.
This is a good thing and absolutely necessary for the real maturation of the space.
Our IOTA Price Prediction for 2019
IOTA, as the rest of the market, is tied at the hip of bitcoin’s price action. If bitcoin embarks on another bull run, IOTA can hope for one as well. Since that is very unlikely, don’t expect much to change for IOTA price-wise in this year. So 2019 will be a year of boring sideways action with minor bitcoin ignited jumps and slumps.
What does Tron future look like? See our TRX Price Prediction 2019
The main currency in cryptocurrency markets is Bitcoin and given this, altcoins tend to fuel Bitcoin runs and Bitcoin tends to do the same in return. Given this relationship, Bitcoin price movements (or lack thereof) tend to effect altcoin prices.
When Bitcoin goes up swiftly, it will likely:
- Suppress or depress altcoins as money flows into Bitcoin;
- Or, take altcoins along for the ride
In cases when Bitcoin plunges, it will likely:
- Depress altcoins as money flows into fiat;
- Or, cause altcoins to boom as money flows into them, but this is rarely the case.
When Bitcoin moves sideways, it will likely:
- Cause altcoins to mimic that as traders wait for a clear sign on the direction of the market;
- Or, cause altcoins to flourish as traders look for returns in altcoins and try to get favorable trades in terms of BTC pairs.
To summarize, Bitcoin is the focal point of the crypto market in many ways, and with BTC trading pairs on every exchange, the gravity of Bitcoin is hard to evade.
IOTA-BTC Price Correlation
The vast majority of trading that occurs in the crypto markets are between BTC and altcoin trading pairs. Since most altcoins do not pair with fiat currencies (and only a few are paired with stable coins like USTD), Bitcoin is the next best option. Therefore, when Bitcoin is stable, it forms as the ideal base currency for buying altcoins (which is why altcoins tend to do well when Bitcoin goes sideways).
Correlation is measured on a scale from -1 to 1. Values above 0 shows the degree to which altcoin is moving in the same direction as BTC prices (either up or down in tandem), and values below 0 shows the degree to which altcoin moves in the opposite direction of BTC prices (so when BTC goes down, altcoin goes up, or vice versa). Values around 0 shows that when BTC price moves, altcoins stays steady, or alternatively that when altcoin moves up or down that the BTC price is staying steady.
Based on the correlation analysis, BTC and IOTA have a strong positive relationship. The correlation coefficient of their prices is 0.62, which was estimated based on the previous 100-days’ price dynamics of both coins. Source – coinpredictor.io
The majority of projects will fail — some startups are created just to gather funds and disappear, some would not handle the competition, but most are just ideas that look good on paper, but in reality, are useless for the market.
Vitalik Buterin, co-founder of Ethereum said:
“There are some good ideas, there are a lot of very bad ideas, and there are a lot of very, very bad ideas, and quite a few scams as well”
IOTA (MIOTA) Future Outlook
As a result, over 95% of successful ICOs and cryptocurrency projects will fail and their investors will lose money. The other 5% of projects will become the new Apple, Google or Alibaba in the cryptoindustry. Will IOTA be among those 5%?
Highly likely it will.
Future of this world is data.And data is IOTA’s main target.IOTA targets IOT(Internet of Things). IOTA has even started data marketplace alongwith the partnership of Microsoft,Fujitsu, Bosch etc. You can check it here – The IOTA Data Marketplace.
IOTA now has not only many premium companies as official partners, but also two world renowned influential experts (Dr. Richard Soley and Dr. Rolf Werner) as members of their supervisory board.
But not all is bed of roses with IOTA. Tangle and IOTA approach to DLT is absolute cutting edge and highly experimental.
The team is, at times, pretty mullish in their decisions, like the one to use a balanced Ternarywhich is a numeral system that has 3 digits,-1, 0 and 1. Iota was made to be used with existing hardware, But all existing Hardware now is completely binary. This means that all of iotas internal ternary notation has to be encapsulated in binary, This will result in increased storage and computational overhead. Iota cannot be successfully implemented into the present hardware and even if it is it will cause a significant wastage of both storage and computation power.
Iota violates cryptography’s best practices i.e Don’t Roll Your Own Cryptoand this has resulted in a lot of vulnerabilities in the system and a team led by Neha Narula found many vulnerabilities in iota’s hash function curl and the one of iota’s co-founder (Sergey Ivancheglo) claimedthat they had deliberately added the flaws in the curl hash function as a ‘Copy Protection’. All of this summed up means one thing: IOTA might live through couple of orchestrated and, for a regular trader, completely unpredictable pumps but the majority of time will be murky sideways trading with small volume and no significant interest from the market.
Check out our Verge (XVG) Price Prediction for The Future
All of this summed up means one thing: IOTA might live through couple of orchestrated and, for a regular trader, completely unpredictable pumps but the majority of time will be murky sideways trading with small volume and no significant interest from the market.
Price will heavily depend on what BTC will do and since many analysts think BTC will not be making big moves in this year, it is hard to expect IOTA will do them either. The price will probably stagnate and record slow-moving depreciation or appreciation depending on the team activity, potential technological breakthrough or high-level partnership.
Market prediction for IOTA – MIOTA Price 2019
With the market being completely unpredictable, forecasting the cryptocurrency price is really more of a gamble and luck rather than a data driven guesstimate.
Let’s throw a glance at the eminent publications and personalities, and their predictions regarding the IOTA price, which will give us another point of view to consider:
Walletinvestor is a popular website that does technical analysis-based price predictions of various cryptocurrencies and traditionally has a skeptical outlook for most coins. According to them, IOTA is expected to drop heavily to $0.05 per token in one year.
Trading beasts display that IOTA can climb to around $0.75 within a year which means it will essentially grow 2.5x in value in the next year.
Cryptoground predicts that IOTA might eclipse the current level by almost 3x and reach $0.85 by the end of 2019. They even added their version of IOTA price prediction 2024, where they stated that IOTA might reach $5.18 by 2024, a 20x increase to the current price.
Digitalcoinprice gave a neutral prediction saying that by 2019 end, IOTA might be worth two times more than now – around $0.5 per token.
IOTA Future: 2020, 2023, 2025
IOTA Price Prediction 2020
IOTA Price Prediction 2023
IOTA Price Prediction 2025
Realistic IOTA Price Prediction
JP Morgan Precious Metals Market Revealed To Be Fixed
JP Morgan Chase, one of the biggest banking institutions in the world had to face rounds of mockery from the bitcoin community this week after it was revealed that traders had committed market fraud.
Bloomberg reports surfaced yesterday that the financial giant is facing an inquiry over the behaviour of at least a dozen precious metal traders.
Investigators on the case have said that employees willfully got involved in price-fixing of precious metals on thousands of occasions. As a result, both market members and clients of JP Morgan’s experienced losses.
Assistant Attorney General Brian Benczkowski was quoted as saying:
“Based on the fact that it was conduct that was widespread on the desk, it was engaged in thousands of episodes over an eight-year period… We’re going to follow the facts wherever they lead, whether it’s across desks here or at any other bank or upwards into the financial institution.”
As many of you will know, JP Morgan is one of the biggest firms in the world and as it happens, it is one of the biggest crypto naysayers out there. Jamie Dimon, the CEO of JP Morgan is known to be a bitcoin skeptic and has even called the leading cryptocurrency a ‘fraud’.
How the tables turn…
Since then though, Dimon has seemingly had a change of heart and has not talked about bitcoin in public since and even denied saying such things in the past.
JP Morgan has been rumoured to be releasing its own cryptocurrency dubbed JPM Coin and since the announcement, nothing much but criticism and technical characteristics have been addressed.
The ‘Rhythm’ twitter analyst summed up the precious metals fiasco by saying:
“They were charged with wire fraud, bank fraud, and market manipulation. But I was told by the CEO that Bitcoin is the fraud.”
Understanding the exploit that made EOS.IO “unusable” for two hours
On Sept. 13, an attacker flooded the EOSIO network to drain $110,000 in EOS from a gambling dApp. During the process, many user-facing applications were unusable due to congestion. Here’s how the hacker did it, in detail.
Basics of the network congestion exploit
Four days ago, an attacker pushed the EOS network into “high congestion mode” as part of a smart contract exploit. The maneuver temporarily made some free network resources unavailable, making many applications on the network “unusable” to smaller token holders for over two hours.
Although the network was still accessible (for example, a block explorer would still work), many were “prevented from publishing updates” or “doing anything actively on the chain” unless they paid for prohibitively costly network resources.
At the peak of network congestion, it required nearly 12 EOS to make a single feeless transaction on the network, said one community member. For context, Most blockchains attach a fee directly to transactions. EOSIO allows users to stake their tokens in exchange for network resources.
The attacker was able to rent a huge amount of network resources on a recently opened resource exchange. These resources were leveraged to select which valid transactions would get included on the blockchain to manipulate gambling dApp outcomes.
During this time, the maintainers of the gambling dApp did not have enough EOS on hand to take their contract offline (or take any preventative actions at all). This allowed the attacker to drain the smart contract for 30,000 EOS, at the cost of 300 EOS in rented network resources, at their leisure.
Identifying the attacker
Beginning Aug. 17, the user “mumachayinmm” started conducting tests against a variety of gambling dApps. After just under a month of testing, mumachayinmm rented the equivalent of 1.45 million EOS in network resources.
Previously, this would have required some $5.8 million in tokens. But REX, a new service launched in May, allows users to stake their EOS for security and voting purposes while selling the network resources their stake entitles them to. After REX, 1.45 million EOS in network resources cost just $1,200.
On Sept. 13, mumachayinmm started flooding EOSIO with hundreds of thousands of transactions.
Technical details behind the gambling dApp exploit
EOSPlay is a decentralized gambling dApp that offers games such as poker and dice. What made the service exploitable was how it generated random numbers for these games.
Instead of using a secure source of randomness, EOSPlay used the EOSIO blockchain as its source of entropy. Unfortunately, information on a blockchain can be manipulated.
As an example, on Bitcoin miners who find a block get to select which transactions are included at their discretion, so long as they’re legal transactions. Theoretically, if a dApp used transactions on Bitcoin to make calculations then large miners could game it.
On EOSIO, a similar way to manipulate the blockchain is to amass enough network resources to include whichever transactions are desired over all other users.
Specifically, what the attacker did was put deferred transactions into each block, said Dexaran, a respected smart contract developer. These blocks were the ones EOSPlay used to calculate random numbers.
By monopolizing network resources, the attacker could then calculate the random number before the contract could. If the number was a losing number, then the deferred transactions started an “infinite loop,” pushing random number generation to the next block, said Dexaran.
The maneuver allowed mumachayinmm to win on EOSPlay over and over again.
EOSPlay helpless during the attack
To make matters worse, the maintainers behind the gambling dApp did not stake enough EOS to cover their contract operation costs when EOSIO’s conservative mode was triggered. This was an oversight on the part of the maintainers.
With network resources monopolized the maintainers needed to have enough liquid EOS on hand to ensure a transaction to halt the contract would go through. It appears they didn’t have the tokens on hands, allowing the attacker to bide their time as the contract was drained.
These spam attacks aren’t unique to EOS. Networks such as Bitcoin and Ethereum are also vulnerable to spam attacks should a wealthy token holder wish to pay for them (though they are prohibitively expensive in most cases).
Block.one executives respond
Block.one CTO and creator of EOSIO Daniel Larimer took to Twitter to dispel the “FUD” around the network congestion attacks. He asserted the network was “working as intended”:
Yet, these assertions are in conflict with Larimer’s May 2018 comments while he was touting the “feeless” design of EOSIO:
“On EOSIO, no single user has the ability to saturate the entire network no matter how much money they’re willing to spend.”
Yet, that is exactly what happened during this exploit. The attacker saturated the network by spending a paltry $1,200.
Block.one CEO Brendan Blumer also took to social media to defend EOSIO. Though, he was rather vague on specific actions until pressed by a community member.
If a user stakes EOS they will always have access to network resources, he claims. But the amount will vary substantially, and when paying customers are using it all, it’ll be necessary to pay to maintain the same level of access, stated Blumer.
The recent exploit raises serious questions about the EOSIO blockchain. Jared Moore, an active community member asked: If the network is at risk of sudden spikes in resource cost, how much liquid EOS should developers have on hand to ensure they’re protected? Without guidance, dApp developers will continue to be vulnerable to these kinds of exploits, he argued.
Another issue is access. As EOS gains more usage it’s likely the network will eventually enter a state of constant “high congestion mode,” voiced another enthusiast.
This means developers and corporations, rather than small-time users, will dominate access to resources on the network—raising questions as to who the network is built for. These same corporations could also monopolize resources on the network, said Moore, in essence becoming gatekeepers.
On the bright side, such a scenario would make EOS like owning land, said another commentator, giving the token value through the network resources it entitles the owner to.
Dexaran, a security engineer and the creator of the ERC-223 token standard, made the following suggestion to mitigate future congestion attacks on dApps:
“It would be nice to calculate how much EOS you need to put into a ‘reserve’ account to make sure you have access to your contracts even during harsh congestion,” he commented.
Another community member voiced a need for better ways to calculate staked EOS needs under different network conditions:
“The key issue here is that the community has gotten used to the amount of free transactions they receive when the network is relatively unused. We need better estimates of how much EOS you need staked during different network conditions.”
He went on to describe problems with how staking is treated on the network.
“I also have a really big issue with the fact that EOSIO does not prioritize ‘staking’ transactions. When these conditions happen, folks attempting to stake more EOS should be allowed to (once per account) as a priority transaction. When I’ve paid for huge sums of EOS, it’s ridiculous when I get locked out and can’t allocate more to my account. I can’t ‘pay for more’ even if I wanted to.”
Designing a public blockchain is a complicated business. Things will go wrong. Right now, it’s very costly to build useful apps on any blockchain. Block.one executives should take the lead to make the development experience easier and less risky, paving the way for mass adoption, rather than maintaining hardliner positions that ‘nothing’s wrong.’
Ethereum Price (ETH) Touches $200 While Bitcoin Is Declining
- ETH price extended its gains above the $195 resistance level against the US Dollar.
- Bitcoin price is down more than 1.5% and it recently broke the $10,250 support area.
- Yesterday’s highlighted major bullish trend line is active with support near $193 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
- The pair is currently consolidating gains and it might soon attempt to climb above the $200 resistance.
Ethereum price is trading higher towards $200 and $205 versus the US Dollar, while bitcoin is declining. ETH price could continue to rise towards $205 or even $210.
Ethereum Price Analysis
Yesterday, we saw a nice upward move in ETH price above the $185 resistance against the US Dollar. Moreover, we discussed the chances of more upsides and a test of the $200 level. The price did climb higher, broke the $195 swing high, and recently traded close to the $200 level. On the other hand, bitcoin remained in a bearish zone and declined below the $10,300 and $10,250 support levels.
Ethereum price formed a new monthly high near $200 and it is currently consolidating gains. An immediate support is near the $197 level. It coincides with the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last leg from the $189 swing low to $200 high. If there is an extended downside correction, the price could test the $195 support area. Additionally, the 50% Fib retracement level of the last leg from the $189 swing low to $200 high is also near the $195 level.
More importantly, yesterday’s highlighted major bullish trend line is active with support near $193 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The main support for Ethereum is near the $185 level (the previous resistance). Therefore, dips remain well supported in the near term towards $195 and $193. On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the $200 handle.
If the price breaks the $200 level, there are high chances of it surpassing the $205 resistance level. The next key resistance is near the $210 level, above which the price could surge towards the $220-$225 zone.
Looking at the chart, Ethereum price is clearly outperforming bitcoin and other altcoins. As long as it is trading above the trend line support and $185, there are chances of more gains. It would be interesting to see how bears react once the price surpasses the $200 barrier and attempts to climb above $205.
ETH Technical Indicators
Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is currently in the bullish zone, with positive signs.
Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is currently correcting lower and it might test the 60 level.
Major Support Level – $193
Major Resistance Level – $200