Ethereum (ETH) might be on the cusp of a historic breakout against Bitcoin (BTC) as the price has just climbed above the 50 Day EMA and is now close to the most critical trend line resistance that ETH/BTC has failed to breach since the beginning of the bear market. If this trend line resistance is broken, altcoin enthusiasts will have a strong reason to believe that the altcoin season has started. While it might be tempting to believe that, it is important to understand the risks here. Ethereum (ETH) is still trading within a large descending triangle against Bitcoin (BTC). Considering that ETH/BTC is already overbought on the daily and weekly time frames, if it falls to the bottom of the triangle, we could see it break below it to decline to a new yearly low.
The daily chart for ETH/BTC shows that Ethereum (ETH) has already been through an extensive correction but if we examine this chart closely, we will see that the period since the beginning of the year to now has mostly been sideways movement. The price has yet to break out of this tight range either to the upside or to the downside. ETH/BTC will now have to make a decision. Either it will have to break past the trend line resistance to possibly begin a new bullish cycle or it will have to decline lower within the descending triangle to possibly fall below it and decline towards its true bottom. Either way, a decision has to be made now as the price has run out of room to trade sideways. Considering that BTC/USD still has room to go up, we expect ETH/BTC to break past this trend line resistance and stage a fake out.
The daily chart for ETH/USD still shows the price struggling to break past the trend line resistance same as ETH/BTC. However, ETH/USD is in a far better position to break this trend line resistance compared to ETH/BTC. This break out would give Ethereum (ETH) the ammunition to shoot towards $300 or higher during the next bullish advance. The price already formed a golden cross on the daily a few weeks back and it could still capitalize on that now that ETH/USD has found support on the 50 day EMA.
Ethereum (ETH) has yet to find its true bottom regardless of how bullish or bearish it may seem short term. We have mentioned in our previous analysis that we are still early on in the bear market and it might be a long time before we see Ethereum (ETH) decline to its true bottom. Meanwhile, a lot of altcoin projects are busy with new developments and announcements to see their coins spike up during this final mini hype cycle before the next downtrend kicks in. This next downtrend is going to be brutal for the altcoin market and we are very likely to see a lot of useless ICO coins get wiped off the market.
Ethereum (ETH/USD) forecast and analysis on June 18, 2019
Cryptocurrency Ethereum (ETH/USD) is trading at 269. Cryptocurrency quotes are trading below the moving average with a period of 55. This indicates a bullish trend on Ethereum. At the moment, cryptocurrency quotes are moving near the middle border of the Bollinger Bands indicator.
Ethereum (ETH/USD) forecast and analysis on June 18, 2019
As part of the Ethereum course forecast, a test of level 265 is expected. From where we can expect an attempt to continue ETH/USD growth and further development of the upward trend. The purpose of this movement is the area near the level of 287. The conservative area for buying of Ethereum is located near the lower border of the Bollinger Bands indicator strip at level 252.
Cancellation of the option to continue the growth rate of Ethereum will be the breakdown of the lower border of the Bollinger Bands indicator. As well as the moving average with a period of 55 and closing of quotations of the pair below the area 248. This will indicate a change in the current trend in favor of a bearish for ETH/USD. In case of a breakdown of the upper border of the Bollinger Bands indicator bars, one should expect an acceleration of the fall of the cryptocurrency.
Ethereum (ETH/USD) forecast and analysis on June 18, 2019 implies a test level of 265. Further growth is expected to continue to the area above the level of 287. The conservative area for buying Ethereum is located area of 252. Cancellation of the growth option of cryptocurrency will be a breakdown of the level of 248. In this case, we should expect a further fall.
Polish banking giant Alior to leverage Ethereum blockchain for first public ledger
While financial institutions still maintain the preconceived notion of cryptocurrency as a threat to their existence, the mass adoption of cryptocurrency and blockchain technology can no longer be ignored. With 2019 witnessing a surge in token offerings and the participation of a large number of non-financial players, some banking organizations have started to provide crypto/blockchain-based services as a primary differentiator.
In a recent development, the Polish banking giant Alior announced a new service offering aimed at allowing customers to maintain and tally immutable official records. According to the report, the banking company took the bold step of leveraging a public Ethereum blockchain for document authentication, which contradicts the traditional bank’s notion of maintaining private ledgers.
Alior’s Blockchain Strategy Lead, Tomasz Sienicki, commented,
“Our mission is to be disruptive, so we want to provide innovative solutions, and we want other banks to follow us as well. We welcome if somebody copied our solution. We are showing that it’s possible to use public blockchain even if some people think it’s impossible.”
While the main driver for making the decision can be linked backed to the Polish regulation that requires banks to provide customers a durable access to documents, Alior representatives confirmed that the blockchain-based system maintains compliance with existing federal regulations. Further, Sienicki said,
“Everybody can copy this code and use it for his or her purposes. We encourage people to do so.”
While Alior’s initiative is a reflection of the massive role of blockchain in the future of finance, several other financial giants including JP Morgan have invested in crypto-related products to enable real-time payments between institutional clients. Alior is the first banking institution to have developed a network technology that can be joined by other companies, making the experience more transparent.
Ethereum Price Analysis: Here Is Why ETH Bulls Remain In Control
- Ethereum price started a solid rise above the $258 and $265 resistances against the US Dollar.
- ETH price seems to be facing a tough barrier near the $278-279 resistance zone.
- There is a crucial bullish trend line forming with support near $266 on the 4-hours chart (data feed from Coinbase).
- The price must stay above the $265 and $266 support levels to clear the $279 resistance area.
Ethereum price is placed nicely in an uptrend above $265 decline against the US Dollar. ETH could climb higher sharply once it surpasses the $278-279 resistance zone.
Ethereum Price Analysis
In the past few days, there was a steady rise in Ethereum price from the $252 swing low against the US Dollar. The ETH/USD pair traded above the $255 and $260 resistance levels. The pair even broke the $265 resistance and settled above the 55 simple moving average (4-hours). Finally, there was a test of the key $278-279 resistance zone, where sellers took a stand.
A swing high was formed near $279 and the price recently corrected lower. It broke the $272 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upside from the $252 low to $279 high. However, the correction found support near the $265 support area. Moreover, there is a crucial bullish trend line forming with support near $266 on the 4-hours chart.
The 50% Fib retracement level of the upside from the $252 low to $279 high is also acting as a buy zone. If the price fails to stay above the trend line and $265, there could be a downside extension. The next key support is near $258 or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upside from the $252 low to $279 high. If there are more losses, the price could test $255 and the 55 simple moving average (4-hours).
On the upside, the $278-279 resistance zone holds a lot of importance. If there is an upside break above the $278-279 resistance zone, the price could accelerate towards the $288 swing high. Above $288, the price is likely to surge towards the $300 and $305 levels.
Looking at the chart, Ethereum price is clearly struggling to surpass the $278-279 resistance zone. If it continues to struggle, there are chances of a downside correction below the $265 and $260 support. If not, the price could climb towards the $300 and $305 levels in the near term.
4 hours MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is slowly moving into the bearish zone.
4 hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for ETH/USD is declining towards the 50 level.
Key Support Levels – $265, followed by the $258 zone.
Key Resistance Levels – $279 and $288.