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Litecoin (LTC) Price Action Hints At Further Downside For Bitcoin (BTC)

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Bitcoin (BTC) started the day in green and kept on surging while Litecoin (LTC) continued to decline. This is because LTC/USD closed below the 21 Day EMA yesterday which was a bearish close that was indicative of further downside in the near future. Litecoin (LTC) started the day in red and has continued to decline. It might find temporary support on the 50 Day EMA but sooner or later we expect it to break below the descending triangle to begin its downtrend. This might lead to the price falling to new lows for the year eventually but before that happens, we might see it find support around the 200 day EMA and bounce from there close to current levels.

Historically, we have seen Litecoin (LTC) as well as most other cryptocurrencies find support on their 200 Day EMA. It usually serves as the level where LTC/USD can be expected to bounce off after an extensive correction. A lot of traders are still confused as to what is going on with BTC/USD but on the LTC/USD front, things are much clearer. We have seen Bitcoin (BTC) follow Litecoin (LTC)’s lead recently and we expect that to continue till Litecoin (LTC)’s halvening in August. Some analysts expect that we might see an altcoin season just because Litecoin (LTC) has its halvening next month. The most likely scenario would be for the price to crash towards the end of the month and start rising close to halvening. That would be a good time to capitalize on the LTC/USD relief rally but we do not see it lasting for long because that is when we expect cryptocurrencies to begin their next downtrend.

There is something investors are very cautious about this time and that is the fact that you can no longer put money in any coin and expect it to moon during the next cycle. Certainly, retail traders will feel this more when they realize their bags are getting nowhere but experienced investors who have been in this space for a long time can already see the shift. People are getting smarter every market cycle and this is why we could see an altcoin cleansing instead of an altcoin rally this year. Litecoin (LTC) was hyped up in anticipation of halvening and it received major price boosts, but if we look at the daily chart for LTC/BTC, we can see that Litecoin (LTC) has a lot more room than most other large cap coins to correct against Bitcoin (BTC).

This means that we might see a sharp correction in Litecoin (LTC) soon after halvening. Considering that Litecoin (LTC) is nothing more than a Bitcoin (BTC) spinoff that claims to make transactions faster and cheaper by posing as a better alternative of Bitcoin (BTC), there is a high probability that Litecoin (LTC) could fail during the altcoin cleansing season this year. Investors that are calling for the next bull run need to realize that we have yet to see maximum pain in this cycle. In 2014, we had Mt. Gox; this time we have Bitfinex and Tether as catalysts. All those that are in the market at this point would be better advised being on their toes because this is no different than playing with fire.  

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Litecoin Prices Fell Last Month As Profit Taking Drove Losses

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Litecoin prices fluctuated in September, falling sharply after enjoying some modest gains earlier in … [+] the month. (Photo by Chesnot/Getty Images)

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Litecoin prices declined in September, enjoying notable gains earlier in the month and then falling sharply as traders sold off the altcoin (cryptocurrency other than bitcoin).

The digital currency, which is very similar to its digital sibling bitcoin, climbed to nearly $80 on September 18, up more than 22% since the start of the month, before falling roughly 35% from that point to $51.84 on September 26, CoinMarketCap data shows.

The cryptocurrency, which has frequently been called the silver to bitcoin’s gold, then recovered, bring September’s monthly loss to 12.4%, additional CoinMarketCap figures reveal.

[Ed note: Investing in cryptocoins or tokens is highly speculative and the market is largely unregulated. Anyone considering it should be prepared to lose their entire investment.]

Notable Losses

The digital asset suffered some declines last month, after rallying more than 500% between December 2018 and June 2019.

Litecoin prices rose ahead of the halving in August, during which the rate of new supply of the digital currency was reduced by 50%.

Following this event, the cryptocurrency failed to rally in price, which may have helped precipitate notable losses in the subsequent weeks.

“After a meteoric rise in value this year, Litcoin has been consolidating in recent months due to profit-taking and the generally poor performance of crypto assets since July,” said Joe DiPasquale, CEO of cryptocurrency hedge fund manager BitBull Capital.

In addition, the digital currency markets suffered a “huge sell off” toward the end of September, which “caused a lot of people to dump a lot of tokens at that exact time,” said Tim Enneking, managing director of Digital Capital Management.

Litecoin was “crushed” in this sell-off, which “affected every major token in the space,” he stated.

Changing Sentiment

The sentiment surrounding litecoin fluctuated significantly during the month, according to data provided by cryptocurrency analytics platform TheTIE.io.

“Litecoin daily sentiment had been extremely positive, peaking on September 10th and remaining positive throughout Litecoin’s recent run-up,” said Joshua Frank, cofounder of TheTIE.io.

“Sentiment began to drop negative on the 22nd of September coinciding with the start of massive downwards price movement. Since the 25th sentiment has seen a slight rebound.”

This chart helps illustrate these changes:

Litecoin prices charged against its daily sentiment.
Litecoin’s daily sentiment plotted against its price.The TIE

“We have also seen tweet volumes on Litecoin drop to the lowest levels that we had ever recorded at the end of September,” stated Frank.

“Overall tweet volumes are down over 86% from their peak in January 2018,” he noted.

“This does not paint a rosy outlook for the coin as it signifies that retail interest in the asset is declining significantly.”

The chart below helps depict this activity:  

Litecoin prices plotted against sentiment.
Litecoin 30-Day Average Tweet VolumeThe TIE

However, Frank added that many major digital currencies are suffering similar problems, noting that for the most part, their long-term sentiment has been declining since August.

“Among the largest cryptocurrencies by market cap, sentiment on Bitcoin and EOS remain the highest,” he noted.

“Litecoin long-term sentiment has seen by far the biggest drop off,” Frank emphasized.

The chart below helps show these developments:

The long-term sentiment of the largest digital currencies.
Largest Cryptos – Long-Term SentimentThe TIE

Development Concerns

Many have voiced their doubts about litecoin development in recent months.

“People are definitely concerned about the development,” said Marouane Garcon, managing director of crypto-to-crypto derivatives platform Amulet.

“[Litecoin] doesn’t have the luster of an Ethereum which continues to update and improve at a much faster pace, and with the introduction of DeFi it is a lock-in at number two. Their development is the biggest question mark surrounding Litecoin.”

Evan Kuo, CEO and cofounder of digital currency firm Ampleforth, also weighed in.

“The project is perceived as abandoned,” he stated.

However, Kuo emphasized that for litecoin, a “purely monetary instrument,” “only a small amount of maintenance is required.”

Even so, that ongoing work is “still necessary,” he noted.

“By comparison if aspirational platforms like Ethereum had ghost-town like repos that would be more concerning,” stressed Kuo.

People ‘Losing Interest’ In Litecoin

“Litecoin is essentially a lighter version of Bitcoin, with lower transaction fees and faster confirmation times,” noted DiPasquale.

“Over the years, Litecoin’s utility was due to Bitcoin’s shortcomings, and naturally, as Bitcoin improves, Litecoin becomes less relevant,” he asserted.

“Add to this the fact that development has been slow and mining reward has been halved this year – people are losing interest in LTC,” claimed DiPasquale.

Litecoin’s Outlook

Litecoin has suffered some perceived setbacks lately, but it is still one of the top digital currencies by market value, repeatedly ranking in the top 10 on CoinMarketCap.

“Litecoin has certainly done better than most cryptocurrencies and is still in the elite class,” said Garcon.

The altcoin, one of the original forks of bitcoin, has been in existence since 2011, giving it greater tenure than the majority of digital currencies.

“Ultimately, Litecoin’s future will depend on how fast the Litecoin Foundation manages to forge new, game-changing partnerships alongside showing development progress for MimbleWimble and Confidential Transactions,” said DiPasquale.

Further, the altcoin will need to differentiate itself, he stated.

“Litecoin needs to be able to stand on its own and distinguish itself from Bitcoin in order to survive in the long run.”

Disclosure: I own some bitcoin, bitcoin cash, litecoin, ether and EOS. 

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Litecoin (LTC/USD) forecast and analysis on October 18, 2019

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Cryptocurrency Litecoin (LTC/USD) is trading at 52.37. Cryptocurrency quotes are trading below the moving average with a period of 55. This indicates the presence of a bearish trend on Litecoin. At the moment, cryptocurrency quotes are moving near the lower border of the Bollinger Bands indicator stripes.

Litecoin (LTC/USD) forecast and analysis on October 18, 2019

As part of the Litecoin exchange rate forecast, a test of the level of 55.00 is expected. Where should we expect an attempt to continue the fall of LTC/USD and the further development of the downward trend. The purpose of this movement is the area near the level of 47.50. The conservative sales area for Litecoin is located near the upper border of the Bollinger Bands indicator strip at 58.60.

Litecoin (LTC/USD) forecast and analysis on October 18, 2019

Cancellation of the option to continue the decline in the rate of Litecoin will be a breakdown of the upper border of the Bollinger Bands indicator stripes. As well as the moving average with a period of 55 and the closing of quotations of the pair above the area of ​​61.50. This will indicate a change in the current trend in favor of the bullish for LTC/USD. In case of breakdown of the lower border of the Bollinger Bands indicator bands, we should expect an acceleration in the fall of cryptocurrency.

Litecoin (LTC/USD) forecast and analysis on October 18, 2019 implies a test level of 55.00. Further, it is expected to continue falling to the area below the level of 47.50. The conservative area for selling Litecoin is located area of 58.60. Canceling the option of falling cryptocurrency will be a breakdown of the level of 61.50. In this case, we can expect continuation growth.

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Litecoin LTC price recovers to $54; drop to $36 in sight

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Litecoin LTC price has now recovered to the fifty-four dollars ($54) mark after falling down to the fifty-one ($51.4) dollars mark. This month, Litecoin (LTC) has failed to soar up above the sixty dollars ($60) mark. The LTC price chart is back to observing a downward momentum towards the fifty dollars ($50) mark. If the coin drops below the fifty dollars ($50) price mark, the LTC/USD trading pair will have a bearish market trend, with a possible loss of up to twenty percent (20%) of the coin’s value.

LTC has mostly been immobile with respect to its opening price for the month. Litecoin LTC price analysis: What to expect? According to the short-term frame Litecoin LTC price chart, the pattern projects a decline of ten dollars ($10) in the coin’s value, taking it back to the forty dollar price mark ($40).

The daily time frame projects a price drop with thirty-six dollars ($36) as the target, that is if the bulls can not push the price away from the fifty dollars ($50) mark. The trading pair has started to break out from the lower Bollinger Bands in the above frames, while the weekly time frame depicts the next band’s support region coming in at the thirty-five dollar ($35) mark. A short-term view of LTC’s charts depicts a neutral result of forty-six percent (46%), while a long-term view shows bearish results of twenty-six percent (26%).

Litecoin LTC price chart by Trading View Litecoin LTC price: Up and Down, trends If the bulls push the price over the sixty-dollar ($60) mark, short-term selling pressure will be relieved. The LTC/USD trading pair will have restricted resistance until it reaches the sixty-six dollar ($66) mark.

litecoin ltc price chart 17 october 2019

The fifty (50) day moving average of the trading pair is placed at over sixty-three dollars ($63.50), and the two-hundred (200) day moving average is shown at the eighty-seven dollars ($87) mark.

litecoin ltc price chart - 17 october 2019

Litecoin LTC price chart by Trading View The short-term time Litcoin LTC price frame depicts a bearish short-term trend as the coin’s price is below the sixty-dollars ($60) mark.

This frame has shown an upcoming support at the forty dollars ($40) price mark. The daily time frame has shown that the trading price has a possible bearish target level of thirty-six dollars ($36). Litecoin may drop up to twenty-percent (20%) of its value if the fifty dollars ($50) price mark is breached. Analysis of the time frames has shown levels of thirty-five dollars ($35) to thirty-six dollars ($36) as the expected bearish targets.

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