Bitcoin’s price fluctuation has been the talk of the town for a long time now, and the number of mainstream investors talking about the world’s largest digital asset has also risen. A recent analysis has shown that the fall of volume in the Bitcoin ecosystem coincided with the bearish divergences of BTC’s 12 hour, 1 day, 2 day and 3 day spectrum.
The bearish divergences came at a time when Bitcoin was gaining slightly in value, with the cryptocurrency trading at $11,656 after a 3.56 percent hike in less than an hour. The king coin held a market cap of $208.199 billion, with a 24-hour trading volume of $26.831 billion. Ryan Bauer, a cryptocurrency enthusiast, tweeted,
“I think we get one more move up to the mid $12k’s for Bitcoin sending the alts even lower one final time.”
Bearish divergence was shown by the MACD indicator when Bitcoin tried to go for a bullish crossover, but failed. The MACD histogram was a mix of bearish and bullish signals, with the bullish side of the spectrum gaining in dominance.
Bitcoin’s price was caught in a bearish trap, following which there was hardly any significant movement on the charts. This condition was changed after major mainstream players commented on the cryptocurrency, riling up the financial ecosystem. Positive comments came from Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, who insinuated that Bitcoin might have a place in the world. Powell’s comments came at a time when he was questioned about the possible threat to fiat currencies, if crypto became mainstream. The Chairman added,
“It’s [Bitcoin] a store of value. It’s a speculative store of value like gold. People have been talking about it since cryptocurrencies emerged but we haven’t seen it but that’s not to say we won’t see it. If we do see it, yes you could see a return to an era in the US when we had multiple different currencies.”
The Federal Reserve’s sentiment was however, not shared by United States President Donald Trump, who was adamant that Bitcoin and everything crypto was a sham. His tweet read,
“I am not a fan of Bitcoin and other Cryptocurrencies, which are not money, and whose value is highly volatile and based on thin air. Unregulated Crypto Assets can facilitate unlawful behavior, including drug trade and other illegal activity.”
Bitcoin’s present behavior was contrary to what it underwent just after President Trump’s tweet, when the cryptocurrency fell by 3 percent in the span of an hour and a half.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) forecast and analysis on October 18, 2019
Cryptocurrency Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is trading at 7991. Cryptocurrency quotes are trading below the moving average with a period of 55. This indicates a bearish trend on Bitcoin. At the moment, cryptocurrency quotes are moving near the lower border of the Bollinger Bands indicator stripes.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) forecast and analysis on October 18, 2019
As part of the Bitcoin exchange rate forecast, a test level of 8200 is expected. Where can we expect an attempt to continue the fall of BTC/USD and the further development of the downward trend. The purpose of this movement is the area near the level of 7260. The conservative area for Bitcoin sales is located near the upper border of the Bollinger Bands indicator strip at 8420.
Cancellation of the option to continue the depreciation of Bitcoin will be a breakdown of the upper border of the Bollinger Bands indicator stripes. As well as a moving average with a period of 55 and closing of quotations of the pair above the area of 8540. This will indicate a change in the current trend in favor of the bullish for BTC/USD. In case of breakdown of the lower border of the Bollinger Bands indicator bands, one should expect acceleration of the fall of the cryptocurrency.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) forecast and analysis on October 18, 2019 implies a test level of 8200. Further, it is expected to continue falling to the area below the level of 7260. The conservative area for selling Bitcoin is located area of 8420. Canceling the option of falling cryptocurrency will be a breakdown of the level of 8540. In this case, we can expect continuation growth.
Bitcoin re-enters $8,000-zone, but what is its upside potential? – Confluence Detector
- BTC/USD went up from $7,998.50 to $8,077.50 this Thursday.
- The daily confluence detector shows two healthy resistance levels to overcome on the upside.
Following two straight bearish days, which took the price below the $8,000-zone, BTC/USD is on the course to recovery. Bitcoin had gone up from $7,998.50 to $8,077.50 this Thursday before it improved further to $8,087.40 this Friday. The hourly BTC/USD chart shows us that the market found intra-day resistance at $7,943.15 before it bounced up to $8,075. Since then, the price trended horizontally for a bit, negotiating with the $8,090 resistance line. The bulls managed to rally together to break past it and go up to $8,110, before correcting itself to $8,087.40.
BTC/USD daily confluence detector
The daily confluence detector has two healthy resistance levels at $8,190 and $8,260. $8,190 has the five-day Simple Moving Average (SMA 5) and one-week Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level. $8,260 has the SMA 100, one-day Pivot Point resistance two and one-day Bollinger Band middle curve.
On the downside, there is a support level of note at $8,065, which has the SMA 5, SMA 50, SMA 200, one-hour Bollinger band middle curve, one-day Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level and one-hour previous low.
Bitcoin could become store of value, as institutional interest increases
Institutional interest in Bitcoin has seen a significant rise in 2019, as several derivative financial products on top of Bitcoin have flooded the market. Active exposure of these investors to the digital asset realm has brought back the debate about whether Bitcoin is the new “store of value.” According to Grayscale’s managing director Michael Sonnenshein, there has been a certain shift in perception for sure.
Sonnenshein appeared on ‘The Scoop‘ recently to discuss the impact of institutional investor’s exposure to the digital asset class. The managing director of the firm believed that although Gold has been the standard store of value for centuries, and it made sense in the physical age, but given the rapid growth of the digital monetary age, Bitcoin for sure is challenging to become the new store of value. He explained,
“It is now nearly 2020 and we’re starting to ask investors with this question which is, what constitutes a store of value? It historically has been gold but that may have made more sense for a physical age. As we are in fully immersing ourselves now in this digital age perhaps gold doesn’t hold up as much as it once did as that store of value and perhaps investors need to think about a digital store of value such as Bitcoin.”
Institutional investors hold the key for Bitcoin and any other digital asset to gain mainstream adoption, and as of today they are more aware and learned about Bitcoin and its potential as an investment than ever before. More importantly, these investors are using Bitcoin as a hedge fund and store of value to diversify their investment portfolio as well as make quick capital gains on their investment.
The increasing interest of institutional investors is evident from the fact that GrayScale registered its highest gain in the last quarter with over $250 million raised from the investors, Binance has registered the highest daily volumes of over $700 million from its Binance futures platforms. Bakkt has launched its futures contracts recently while CME’s futures contracts year-to-date volumes have seen a significant rise over the past year.