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What We Can Learn From XRP and ICOs About the Crypto Equity Scam

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We have another case of mismanaged expectations on our hands. Some XRP holders are upset at Ripple’s selling of the token and its effects on the price. This is as good a time as any to talk about the issues of mismanaged expectations for investors of cryptocurrency projects with more vague connections between token and company.

Loose expectations of owning a piece of success are enough to lure inexperience investors

Problems start when investors start buying tokens associated with projects that sound really cool. The thought process is fairly linear and logical: project X seems innovative, and buying into said project will yield a return on investment in case it is successful. The issue is that the “buying into” part is often ill-defined. For many, buying into the token Ripple (before the XRP rebrand) meant a share in the success of the company and project Ripple. On an even more overt scale, thousands invested in countless ICOs, whose tokens were deliberately marketed as investing the seed capital in the company. Yet, at the end of the day, no direct association between the token and project was defined beyond “this is our token and you pay us money to get it.”

Now are all loosely tokenized projects scams? No, not at all, not necessarily at least. However, investors who bought tokens with some kind of expectation of ownership over the issuing body were indeed scammed, whether it was by the principal company, a third party pushing them to buy, or whether they scammed themselves through their own ignorant exuberance.

Investing in an asset with no equity is a recipe for disaster

Needless to say, lots of investors got burned through this method. Countless ICOs tried and failed, at best, and at worst simply ran off with the money. Still others launched further ICO rounds, casting doubt on the value that previous investors had acquired

versus that of new entrants. Those tokens ended up being just that: token representations with symbolic, collectible value only. The situation is a lot trickier in the case of XRP, where the token has been pushed to disassociate from the company and to be used for its own separate use cases, though the company still holds a massive chunk of the coin. Will the company finish selling its last XRP tokens and then completely move on to a different one, leaving investors stranded? Will they issue more, once again renewing the idea that users owning some have some sort of stake in the company or what it accomplishes? Either way, holders have nothing concrete to rely on for what the token represents.

The DAO model may be an antidote to the ownership conundrum

Now there may very well be a better way to do this: a DAO. In a true decentralized autonomous organization, holders have voting rights as to the governance and direction of the project, anonymously if it is indeed a decentralized project that can’t restrict participation or require identification. There is not company behind the token that users must trust to share its successes with holders: the token is the project itself. Expectations can’t be misapplied since those forming the expectations have direct control over their practical implementation. A true DAO-based cryptocurrency molds to the will of its holders.

Finally, if a DAO model on its own is still deemed too loose of a setup for those seeking to invest in companies and actual use cases rather than a base protocol, legal structures such as the Dash Investment Foundation, an entity owned by the Dash DAO, can offer a vehicle to invest more directly. While such a structure still can’t directly transfer profits back to investors, since they are anonymous, it can take a more active role in pursuing profitable use cases for the base currency.

.Source: dashnews

XRP

Ripple Price Update: XRP/USD reclaims $0.24 support while the focus shifts to $0.30

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  • Ripple’s short-lived recovery brushes shoulders with $0.25 and upholds the support at $0.24.
  • The spotted rising wedge pattern signals a near future reversal towards $0.20.

Ripple is back in the green after correcting a higher 2% on Sunday. The weekend session started on a bearish note, where the majority of cryptocurrencies trimmed a fraction of the gains made on Friday. However, the situation is different on Sunday with most of the digital assets pushing for recovery.

The third-largest cryptocurrency on the opened the session at $0.2428 and adjusted northwards to $0.2514. The bull

ish action the day seems to be losing steam amid the shrinking volatility.

Technically, Ripple is ready for more action, targeting $0.30. The Relative Strength Index recovery from average levels around 50 to brushing shoulders with the overbought (70) displays a bullish picture for Ripple. If the upward motion continues above $70, it will encourage the buyers to increase the entries in the market and force gains towards $0.30.

Longer-term analysis shows that Ripple is not safe from losses or a devastating reversal. Especially with the rising wedge pattern information. For starters, the bulls must try to defend the immediate support at $0.24. Moreover, they must guard the pattern support trendline at all costs because a break beneath could encourage the bears to increase their entries, which could further push Ripple in the direction of $0.22.

XRP/USD 4-hour chart

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XRP may briefly undergo correction or test resistance levels at $0.236

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After dropping close to 45 percent in terms of valuation from 7th November to 18th December, XRP has started 2020 on a positive note.

Since January 1st, XRP has registered a price hike of up to 28.19 percent, breaching key resistance at $0.0225, and currently, XRP consolidated above the key level. Over the past 24 hours, XRP underwent a 3.63 percent surge, and at press time, the valuation stood at $0.235 with a market capitalization of $18.65 billion.

1-hour chart

XRP/USD on Trading View

The 1-hour chart of XRP pictured the formation of a symmetrical triangle. The pattern started taking shape since the collective market surge of 14th January, and at press time the price was abiding by the trend lines.

A symmetrical triangle evens out the chances of both a bullish and bearish breakout in the future. The trading volume has been decreasing in the same time frame, which should witness a spike once a breakout takes place.

In case of a bullish breakout, the price is expected to climb back toward the resistance at $0.236 as the

bullish zone is between the $0.231 and $0.236. VPVR indicator suggested that the trading volume is significant in this range. The price is currently under the 100-Moving Average which is a strong bullish signal.

On the other hand, a bearish breakout would see the price drop below between the range of $0.231 and $0.225, but the support level at $0.225 should withstand the bearish pressure.

XRP/USD on Trading View

Other indicators suggested that a case for a bearish break was stronger than a bullish one at the moment. Relative Strength Index appeared to decline at press time, hinting at a bearish scenario. MACD indicator exhibited a similar outlook with MACD line approaching a trend reversal with the signal line.

Source: Coinmetrics

However, depreciation in terms of volatility may indicate that the breakout would not be extensive but a minor correction from the current market’s perspective. Although, it is important to note that volatility is subject to changes in the market, while not dictating the market trend itself.

Conclusion

Over the next 24-48 hour time frame, XRP may slightly rise again to test the resistance at $0.236 or depreciate under $0.230, as price corrections may take over.

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XRP could breach below channel to $0.20 before February

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XRP increased in value from $0.184 to $0.245 in the days between 2nd and 12th of January, marking a whopping ~33% increase in value over less than two weeks. The coin dropped in value since then, to around $0.22 at the time of writing, and could dip further down in the weeks to come. CoinMarketCap data showed XRP currently has a market capitalization of over $9.8 billion, with nearly $2.3 billion worth of XRP traded in the last 24 hours.

XRP 4-hour chart

XRP

Source: XRPUSD on TradingView

The 4-hour chart showed XRP in an ascending channel formation, which it looked to have entered early on in the month. The volume could be seen spiking as the price approached the trend lines; however, the price’s failure to move all the way to the upper trend line after the third touch could suggest a weakness in the pattern and might indicate a more bearish market sentiment.

The 50-moving average was seen creeping up along the pattern’s lower trend line, well under the price candles, which is usually a bullish signal. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator displayed a

bearish divergence, where the price went up over the same period where the RSI indicator moved downward. This is usually a strong indicator of bearish movement for the near future.

In this scenario, XRP will likely move into the region between the support at $0.22, and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement line at $0.227 in preparation for a downward-facing breakout.

On-Balance Volume

XRP

Source: XRPUSD on TradingView

The On-Balance Volume indicator, a running total of an asset’s trading volume, looked to be dropping since January 14, and could be retracing its movement from just a week prior. The reducing trade volume could mean some sideways movement for XRP until it moves into the breakout region.

From there, XRP is likely to break down to at least the 0% Fibonacci retracement line at $0.20 before the month is up, and could possibly dip further down to the $0.183 support in the weeks following.

Conclusion

XRP is likely to experience some sideways movement on the 4-hour chart until it enters the breakout region between $0.22 and $0.227. From here, XRP will probably break downward and could drop to at least $0.20 before February arrives.

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