This coming October, Ripple Labs will host its annual gathering of the “world’s most trusted voices across financial services, payments, technology and policy” to discuss the future of the payments industry and put a spotlight on their native XRP crypto token.
In the past, the recurring conference has led to strong pumps in XRP price and with the event on the horizon once again, crypto analysts are beginning to anticipate yet another strong rise in the asset’s price coinciding with the event.
Ripple Swell Conference: XRP Price Pumps and Dumps in the Past, Will History Repeat?
Starting in 2017, Ripple Labs hosts an annual conference each year called Swell focusing on the payments industry, and typically garners support by leaders in both the finance and tech space to speak about the future of the space, innovation, and much more.
Previous years have attracted the likes of Sir Tim Berners-Lee, regarded as the inventor of the world wide web, and former Fed Chairman Dr. Ben Bernanke. In 2018, former United States President Bill Clinton led the conference with a keynote address.
The event provides Ripple and anyone involved with the project with important networking opportunities, education, discussion, and much more, and is vital towards pushing adoption of Ripple’s products and use of the XRP token.
But it’s also an opportunity for crypto investors and traders, who are seeking to take advantage of any news-related price swings that could cause the price to live up to the event’s namesake.
As noted by crypto analyst Pierre, past year’s have provided “an easy and profitable long” opportunity as the price rocketed in the days ahead of the event. With Swell coming in early October, history may repeat itself, and XRP price could skyrocket once again.
However, it’s important to note that XRP price hasn’t historically pumped during the conference itself. Instead, it acts as a sell the news event, with XRP price being marked up the month prior, then during and after the event, price tends to retrace back down to previous levels.
In both 2017 and 2018, XRP pumped the month prior, but then as the event subsided sell pressure picked up. The difference between 2017 and 2018 lies within what happened to Ripple after it retraced the initial pump.
In 2017, the Swell pump fizzled out, but news coming from the event and bullish momentum surrounding the crypto industry led to XRP pumping from 20 cents, to its all-time high above $3.
However, in 2018, the Swell pump did occur ahead of the event itself, and the same sell the news selloff occurred afterward. But in this case, price continued to retrace and has fallen even lower in 2019, reaching prices not seen since 2017.
With two years of growth eliminated, it’s difficult to imagine further downside in XRP price. And with 2017 demonstrating XRP’s most profitable pump yet, there’s still hope yet for Ripple supporters.
Ripple Price (XRP) Facing Uphill Task, Can Bulls Make It?
- Ripple price is still struggling to surpass the main $0.2650 resistance area against the US dollar.
- The price is showing a few positive signs, but it must break the $0.2650 resistance level.
- There is a major breakout pattern forming with support near $0.2585 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
- The price could either rally above $0.2650 or it might resume its decline below the $0.2580 level.
Ripple price is trading well below the $0.2650 resistance against the US Dollar, and ranging vs bitcoin. XRP price could soon make the next move either above $0.2650 or towards $0.2500.
Ripple Price Analysis
In the past 2-3 weeks, XRP price made many attempts to surpass the $0.2650 resistance area against the US Dollar. However, the bulls failed to gain momentum above $0.2640 and $0.2650. On the other hand, Ethereum was able to break the $185 resistance area to start an upward move. Therefore, ripple bulls need to gain pace above $0.2650 to start a solid upward move in the coming days.
The last swing low was formed near $0.2566 and the recent high was near $0.2628. At the moment, the price is correcting lower below $0.2610 and trading well above the 100 hourly simple moving average. An immediate support is near the $0.2600 level. It coincides with the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the $0.2566 low to $0.2628 high.
The main support on the downside is near the $0.2590 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. Additionally, the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the $0.2566 low to $0.2628 high is near $0.2590. More importantly, there is a major breakout pattern forming with support near $0.2585 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair.
Therefore, ripple price seems to be preparing for the next major break either above $0.2650 or towards $0.2500. This time, the chances of an upside break above $0.2650 are high. If the bulls gain control above $0.2650, the price could climb higher significantly towards $0.2850 or even $0.3000 in the near term. Conversely, if it fails again near $0.2650, there could be a fresh decline towards the $0.2500 support.
Looking at the chart, ripple price is confined in a broad range below the $0.2650 resistance. There could be more ranging moves, but sooner or later, the price is likely to break the $0.2650 resistance area.
Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is currently placed nicely in the bullish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is correcting lower towards the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $0.2600, $0.2580 and $0.2550.
Major Resistance Levels – $0.2640, $0.2650 and $0.2720.
Ripple bulls woke up and pushed XRP/USD towards $0.27 in a matter of minutes
- XRP/USD gains over 2% of its value in a matter of minutes.
- The further upside is limited at this stage.
Ripple’s XRP has jumped from $0.2600 to $0.2680 in a matter of minutes. By the time of writing, XRP/USD has retreated to $0.2670, though the upside momentum remains strong. The third largest digital asset has gained over 2% since the beginning of the day and 1.4% on a day-on-day basis.
The fundamental triggers of the move remain unknown so far.
Looking technically, the price has returned to the area below the upper line of four-hour Bollinger Band currently at $0.2676. Considering that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is reversing to the downside on the intraday timeframes, XRP/USD is vulnerable to the technical correction after a strong movement. The first area of support is located on the approach to $0.2660 ( the upper line of one-hour Bollinger Band). Once below, the sell-off may be extended towards $0.2610-$0.2600 area strengthened by SMA200 (Simple Moving Average) four-hour.
On the upside, a new attempt at $0.2680 looks unlikely thus far; however, if it is cleared, the upside trend wil gain traction with the next focus on $0.2775 (SMA50 daily).
Ripple technical analysis: XRP/USD keeps crawling along horizontally
- XRP/USD went down from $0.262 to $0.261 so far this Tuesday.
- The SMA 20 curve acts as immediate market support.
XRP/USD daily chart
XRP/USD daily price keeps trending along horizontally. The price has gone down so far from $0.262 to $0.261 this Tuesday. The 200-day simple moving average (SMA 200) and SMA 50 curves are trending above the XRP/USD price. The SMA 20 curve acts as immediate market support.
XRP/USD 4-hour chart
The 4-hour XRP/USD is consolidating within a triangle formation. The price broke above the red Ichimoku cloud. The SMA 200 acts as market resistance while trending above the SMA 50 and SMA 20 curves. The Elliott oscillator shows 11 straight bearish sessions.
XRP/USD hourly chart
The hourly XRP/USD chart is trending in a downward channel formation. The narrowing of the 20-day Bollinger jaw shows decreasing market volatility. The latest price session has dropped below the SMA 50 curve, while it above the SMA 200 and SMA 20 curves. The relative strength index (RSI) indicator is trending around 50.
|Today last price||0.2607|
|Today Daily Change||-0.0010|
|Today Daily Change %||-0.38|
|Today daily open||0.2617|
|Previous Daily High||0.2637|
|Previous Daily Low||0.2569|
|Previous Weekly High||0.2665|
|Previous Weekly Low||0.2511|
|Previous Monthly High||0.3308|
|Previous Monthly Low||0.2392|
|Daily Fibonacci 38.2%||0.2611|
|Daily Fibonacci 61.8%||0.2595|
|Daily Pivot Point S1||0.2578|
|Daily Pivot Point S2||0.254|
|Daily Pivot Point S3||0.251|
|Daily Pivot Point R1||0.2646|
|Daily Pivot Point R2||0.2676|
|Daily Pivot Point R3||0.2715|