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Ripple Forecast and Analysis September 16 — 20, 2019

Ripple XRP/USD end the trading week at 0.2512 and continue to move as part of the decline. Moving averages indicate a downward trend. At the moment, we should expect an attempt to develop a correction and test the resistance area near 0.2755. Where again we should expect a rebound and continued fall of the cryptocurrency to the area below the level of 0.1545.

Ripple Forecast and Analysis September 16 — 20, 2019

In favor of reducing the XRP/USD quotes in the current trading week September 16 — 20, 2019, a test of the downward trend line on the relative strength index (RSI) will be made. The second signal will be a rebound from the upper boundary of the downward channel. Cancellation of the fall option of the Ripple cryptocurrency will be a strong growth and a breakdown of the 0.3515 area. This will indicate a breakdown of the resistance area and continued growth of XRP/USD quotes with a target above the level of 0.3875. A confirmation of the fall of the cryptocurrency will be a breakdown of the support level and closing of quotations below the area of ​​0.2245.

Ripple Forecast and Analysis September 16 — 20, 2019

Ripple Forecast and Analysis September 16 — 20, 2019 involves an attempt to test the resistance level near the area of ​​0.2755. Where can we expect the continuation of the fall in quotations with a potential target at the level of 0.1545. An additional signal in favor of reducing Ripple will be a test of the trend line on the relative strength index (RSI). The cancellation of the option of falling cryptocurrency will be the breakdown of the 0.3515 area. This will indicate a continuation of the rise with the target above the level of 0.3875.

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Ripple

Unfortunate 56% Ripple Flash Crash on BitMEX – Could it be Prevented?

After an awful 2019, XRP had just started exhibiting signs of recovery in January 2020. As of 13 February, the year-to-date return was close to 70%. And these promising stats seem to have enticed the traders to long the XRP/USD pair on all-crypto exchange BitMEX.

As luck would have it, the Ripple trade did not work in the trader’s favor. A presumable scam wick on BitMEX wiped out entire trader accounts and they lost all their holdings.

What happened?

On 13 February 2020 at 9:00 ET, the price of Ripple (XRP) plummeted by 60% for a very very brief period. It plunged from $0.32 to $0.14 but recovered within a second. But by the time, the worse had already happened. The bet had gone wrong for many traders as the stops failed to execute on BitMEX. And they ended up losing everything they had on the exchange.

BitMEX Speaks

Till now there has been no sound explanation from BitMEX as to what exactly occurred. When the hapless traders contacted BitMEX, they were informed this was not an extraordinary event and their platform was operating fine. Thus, there would be no rollbacks or refunds.

The sudden crash and then a quick recovery suggests that it was a “fat-finger” or perhaps a trading algorithm glitch.

But we would want BitMEX to answer these questions:

  • Who triggered such a big sell?
  • MarkPrice was around $0.3. When the Ripple(XRP) price dropped to $0.1, if someone sold at $0.1 and established a short position, he should have huge unrealized PNL based on the mark price and very likely to be liquidated immediately. Especially when lots of retail users use mark orders to buy and sell.
  • Conditional order that was triggered by LastPrice would also have been triggered unexpectedly. It is hard to believe no client took any loss.

We are still waiting for BitMEX to answer the questions.

In the meantime, Altcoin Buzz Team reached out to Jack Tao, CEO of the derivatives exchange platform, Phemex. We tried to understand how derivatives platforms can be better prepared for such situations.

What Phemex does to protect flash crash?

As per Jack, Phemex is well prepared to protect derivative traders from facing losses in such situations. Here are the preventive features:

  • Phemex rejects orders if the price of the underlying asset goes beyond +/- 10% of the last listed price or +/- 15% mark price. With a capped Market order execution price, such unexpected slippage is avoided.
  • Phemex sets a quantity limit on a single order. This prevents a “fat finger” to wipe out the entire book.
About Phemex

Phemex comes across as a highly-sophisticated cryptocurrency derivatives exchange that was launched on 25 November 2019. Headed by 8 former Morgan Stanley executives, it offers higher performance and reliability without sacrificing user experience.

In a short period, Phemex has acquired 35000 users and has recorded maximum trades volumes close to $400  million.

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XRP Price May Head Towards $0.46 as Crypto Traders Turn Bullish

While the XRP price keeps fluctuating below $0.30, overall market sentiment regarding the coin remains bullish. Crypto traders anticipate various movements in the price in the short term but all seem to bet on XRP surging.

An analyst predicts the $0.46 price level, particularly, and even higher.

‘We can continue towards $0.46 and possibly $0.60.’

Dutch analyst Michael van de Poppe has dedicated a post to XRP, saying the situation will likely be okay for this crypto coin.

The expert points to a Support Resistance Flip on the chart saying that XRP needs to hold above $0.25 in order to keep rising to $0.46. The possible destination could also be as high as $0.60.

Michael van de Poppe XRP

Image via Twitter

XRP expected to surge as the current chart resembles 2017

Twitter user @mrlevelup has shared a bullish view on XRP on his Twitter page. Showing similarities between a chart from 2017 and a chart from this year, he shows that the market is now at a similar point as it was back then, at which the XRP price surged.

@mrlevelup expects XRP to soar and provides details in a video he posted to the comment thread.

XRP 2

Image via Twitter

Weiss Ratings slams Ripple CEO

On Saturday, February 22, financial analytical agency Weiss Ratings published a post criticizing the head of blockchain giant Ripple. The agency bashed Brad Garlinghouse for saying the cryptocurrency world cannot function without banks and that getting bankers on board is crucial for crypto’s future.

Weiss Ratings supports the opinion popular in the crypto space that crypto is likely to replace banks. Their tweet is as follows:

“#Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse said that stressing compliance is key to getting bankers on board with #crypto. We don’t need bankers to get involved in the crypto. Maybe he and his company do, but the space doesn’t. Crypto doesn’t need banks, because crypto will replace them.”

In the comment thread, the XRP community showed their disagreement and began a heated discussion.

XRP Weiss Ratings

Image via Twitter

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Ripple Price Analysis: XRP Could Dip Further Before Fresh Increase

  • Ripple price is struggling to climb above the $0.2850 resistance area against the US dollar.
  • The price is currently declining and it might test the $0.2645 support level.
  • There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $0.2805 on the 4-hours chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Bittrex).
  • The pair must climb above $0.2805 and $0.2850 to start a strong increase in the coming sessions.

Ripple price is currently struggling below $0.2850 against the US Dollar. XRP price could dip towards the $0.2580 support before it might rise again towards $0.3000.

Ripple Price Analysis

This past week, ripple price found a strong support near $0.2645 and $0.2580 levels against the US Dollar. XRP/USD remained well bid and started a decent recovery above the $0.2720 level.

There was a break above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.3078 high to $0.2621 low. Besides, the price surpassed the $0.2820 resistance area.

However, the price faced a strong resistance near the $0.2850 level. Besides, the price remained well below the 55 simple moving average (4-hours). More importantly, there is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $0.2805 on the 4-hours chart of the XRP/USD pair.

It seems like the pair failed to continue above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.3078 high to $0.2621 low. Ripple price is currently retreating from $0.2850 and it is trading below the $0.2800 level.

An initial support is near the $0.2720 level. The first key support is near the $0.2650 level, below which the price could continue to move down towards the $0.2585 level.

Any further losses may perhaps lead the price towards the $0.2325 support area in the near term. Conversely, the price could bounce back from $0.2645 or $0.2585. An initial resistance is near the $0.2805 level and the trend line.

However, the bulls need to gain momentum above the $0.2850 level and the 55 simple moving average (4-hours) to start a convincing upward move in the near term. The next major resistance is seen near the $0.3040 level.

Ripple Price

Ripple Price

Looking at the chart, ripple price is clearly struggling below $0.2805 and $0.2850. Therefore, it could dip a few points in the short term, but it is likely to bounce back as long as it is above $0.2585.

Technical indicators

4 hours MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone.

4 hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now just below the 50 level.

Key Support Levels – $0.2645, $0.2585 and $0.2400.

Key Resistance Levels – $0.2850 and $0.3000

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