- Bitcoin’s short-term 50-period moving average is edging closer toward the longer-term 100-period moving average on the weekly chart, hinting at a potential bullish “golden cross” formation for the first time in 3.5 years.
- In the shorter term, however, total weekly volume has fallen period-to-period as indecision continues to grip the market.
- Price action is caught between the 100-day and 200-day moving averages (MAs). The next major move either way is likely to determine trend bias going forward, if a firm close above or below those averages is confirmed.
Bitcoin (BTC) looks on track to produce a bullish long-term signal not seen in 3.5 years.
The 50-period and the 100-period MAs have edged closer together on the weekly chart after BTC rebounded from $7,293 to $10,350 on Oct. 26, according to Bitstamp data.
A cross of the 50-period MA moving up above the slower 100-period MA, known as a golden cross, generally hints at a strong shift in a trend and can act as confirmation of a bullish bias for the long-term view.
The last time that bull cross occurred on the weekly chart was way back in May 2016, when the price of BTC started rising from $438 to near $20,000 in December 2017 – a 4,800 percent increase. If the MA’s continue to converge as currently, the cross looks likely in late December or early 2020, but it’s still too early for a precise call.
There is inherent risk involved with making such comparisons from previous years, as market conditions have changed significantly. Yet there is merit for seeking additional confirmation in the long-term trend, since BTC’s miner reward halving in May 2020 is likely to stir up a bunch of market activity as the supply-cutting event approaches.
Total weekly volume has shrunk from two weeks ago, an indication of market indecision on a fairly stagnant price, while the RSI is barely trending bullish above 52.7 (neutral being 50).
However, should the two lines converge and then cross bullish, that would be a strong indication that the 2019 reversal rally has legs. With a strong fundamental event for BTC occurring right around the corner, it’s important to take note of the bullish signals on larger time frames.
More immediately, the daily chart suggests market equilibrium, as prices have been largely stuck within a $650 range for nearly two weeks.
BTC’s price action has been caught between the 100-day and 200-day MAs for 12 days.
Generally speaking, when prices are above the 200-day MA, the long-term trend can be considered bullish. Conversely, if prices are beneath the 100-day MA then that is an indication of mid-term (30-60 day) bearish conditions.
The current scenario highlights the indecisive sentiment felt across the market. A repeated failure to close above the 100-day MA could open up doors to $8,800 in the immediate short-term, as previously disc
Indecision will continue until a firm close above $9,573 (100-day MA) or below $9,180 (200-day MA) occurs with conviction, until then, continued sideways ranging can be expected.
Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Turned Sell On Rallies Towards $9K
- Bitcoin price is trading in a bearish zone below the $8,880 and $9,000 resistances against the US Dollar.
- The price is struggling to recover and it is likely to face sellers towards $9,000.
- Yesterday’s major bearish trend line is intact with resistance near $8,980 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
- There are a few key supports on the downside near the $8,600 and $8,500 levels.
Bitcoin price is facing an increase in selling below $9,000 against the US Dollar. BTC might correct higher, but sellers remain in control near $8,880 and $9,000.
Bitcoin Price Analysis
Yesterday, there was a decent recovery in bitcoin above $8,850 and $8,900 against the US Dollar. Moreover, BTC climbed above the $9,000 resistance and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
However, the upward move was capped by the $9,150 resistance. A high was formed near $9,150 and the price started another decline. It broke many supports near the $9,000 and $8,900 levels.
Additionally, there was a close below $8,850 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. Finally, the price broke the $8,700 level and traded to a new monthly low near the $8,612 low.
It is currently correcting higher above the $8,700 level. Besides, bitcoin is trading above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $9,150 high to $8,612 low. On the upside, there are many resistances, starting with $8,800 and up to $9,000.
The first major resistance is near the $8,880 level and the 100 hourly SMA. It also represents the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $9,150 high to $8,612 low.
The main resistance on the upside is near the $9,000 level. More importantly, yesterday’s major bearish trend line is intact with resistance near $8,980 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Therefore, bitcoin is likely to face a strong resistance near the $8,880 and $9,000 levels.
On the downside, an initial support is near the $8,680 level. The first key support is near the $8,600 level, below which there is a risk of an extended decline towards the $8,500 support area.
Looking at the chart, bitcoin is showing signs of a short term upside correction above $8,700. Having said that, the bears are likely to protect gains near the $8,880 and $8,980 resistance levels. Only a close above $9,000 might start a strong recovery in the near term.
Hourly MACD – The MACD is struggling to gain strength in the bullish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is currently recovering towards the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $8,600 followed by $8,500.
Major Resistance Levels – $8,880, $8,980 and $9,000.
Facebook ordered by Dutch court to take down fake Bitcoin ads
With the growing popularity of cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin, scams pertaining to the same have also been on a surge. Pictures of celebrities touting investments related to Bitcoin have time and again surfaced all over the internet. John de Mol, a Dutch television producer, is the latest to fall prey to such fake advertisements.
Advertisements of the celebrity promoting Bitcoin-related investments were found to be appearing on Facebook. Soon after the Dutch media tycoon came across the same, he urged Facebook to take it down. The social media giant, however, did not respond to recurring requests
A Dutch court has now ordered Facebook to take down the fake advertisements, ruling that if it fails to do so, the social media platform would have to pay a fine of 1.1. million Euros. Additionally, the Dutch media tycoon had also called out Facebook for allegedly handing over his personal information to the scammers in question.
Since Facebook has policies regarding the publication of advertisements on its platform, the court ruled,
“Facebook’s arguments that it is just a neutral funnel for information and therefore cannot be obligated to act, is not acceptable.
The company plays too active a role with respect to advertisements, which form its primary business model to argue that.”
The social media platform has now, reportedly taken down the fake advertisements in question.
This isn’t the first such case, however. Previously, pictures of the Founder of MoneySavingExpert.com, Martin Lewis, were used in over 100 Facebook ads to promote a similar Bitcoin scam.
Even prominent Hollywood actress, Kate Winslet, wasn’t immune to such a scam, with Winslet’s image and fake quotes attributed to her being used to promote a Ponzi coin, Bitcoin Code. Winslet went on to respond to the scam via legal means.
Bitcoin price prediction: BTC/USD capped by resistance levels at $8,900 and $9,025 – Confluence Detector
- BTC/USD had a heavily bearish Monday, where the price dropped from $9,035.30 to $8,721.25.
- The confluence detector shows one strong support level on the downside at $8,525.
BTC/USD has had a bullish start to Tuesday and is currently priced at $8,738.65. This follows an extremely bearish Monday wherein the price dropped from $9,035.30 to $8,721.25. The daily confluence detector currently shows two healthy resistance levels at $8,900 and $9,025. On the downside, there is a support level at $8,525.
BTC/USD daily confluence detector
$8,900 has the one-day Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level and one-week Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level, while $9,025 has the 4-hour Bollinger band upper curve and one-week Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level.
On the downside, the $8,525 support level has the one-month Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level and one-day Pivot Point support one.