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Bitcoin, Stocks and Gold Rise on Coronavirus Impetus – Is it Risk On or Off?


China is reeling under a major crisis as the outbreak now begins to threaten a pandemic. Reportedly, more than 1500 have already lost their lives, with more than 66,000 reported cases. The deaths includes 6 medical workers who got infected while treating the patients.

Mike Novogratz notes in an interview yesterday,

Do an aerial view, nothing is moving in China. So the Government is getting ready for two barrels of liquidity. Its driving stocks, crypto and gold.

Unprecedented Growth or Economic Stimulus?

Nevertheless, stock market and commodity investors are trading with a risk-on intention. The S&P 500 index closed on ATH yesterday at $3380; the Dow Jones Index increased as well. Moreover, positive consolidation in Gold has pushed to price above $1583. Novogratz also noted that the added liquidity from China will causing other wave of highs of Gold and Bitcoin as well. He added,

“That’s going to be good for Chinese stocks at one point, but that stimulus always finds its way around the world. So oil prices end up coming back up, and you get another surge of growth.”

dow jones and bitcoin rising interest
DOW and BTC Price Comparison (TradingView)

To ease the growing tension, the Chinese are making use of one of the easiest QE programs, i.e. printing more money. Despite its’ shortcomings, the liquidity surge has so far been stable. Peter Brandt, leading chart analyst notes.

Those that bet against U.S. capitalism keep losing their money, their reputation, or both.

I guess it must be a thrill to proclaim a top at every new ATH. Someday they will be right. Maybe!

Brandt is bullish on the stock market for the current decade. According to veteran financial analyst, Thoman Lee of Funstrat, 2020 is going to be bullish for both.

Moreover, Bitcoin’s halving and performance as ‘safe haven’ is adding to the bullish sentiments.

Bitcoin and Gold: Risk off or On?

Fundamentally, the increased liquidity must be balanced by economic growth and fair distribution of wealth. However, as China continues to battle the deadly virus, with diminishing world trade, it can lead to a huge recession.

Recently, Chinese President, Xi Jinping warned the officials of over-spending beyond the country’s means as well. Currently, investors are exhibiting a risk-on sentiments as stock market uptrend continues. As the interest rates are already near lows, a rise in the rates seems imminent as well.

Moreover, as Gold and Bitcoin continue to to hold on to their gains, the optimism around futures prices grows as well. However, if the threat from the virus subsides due to the efforts of the people in China, the risk-on environment in stocks should continue.

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Bears Continue To Gain Momentum In Bitcoin

Bears Continue To Gain Momentum In Bitcoin – Are We About To Collapse?

  • Bitcoin saw a 6% price fall over the past week, bringing the price of the coin down to $9,613.
  • It is finding support at the short term .382 Fibonacci Retracement level, however, it certainly looks like the momentum is on the side of the bears at this moment in time.

Bitcoin has been falling ever since meeting resistance at the $10,400 level this past week. During the week, tt found support at around $9,600, however, it was unable to overcome the resistance at $10,190, causing it to drop and fall once again.

Things are now looking troublesome for Bitcoin after not being able to make any movement higher over the past few days. Despite all the latest price falls, Bitcoin remains up by a total of 11% over the past 30-days of trading.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

BTC/USD – Daily CHART – SHORT TERM

cg-btcusd-feb22
BTC/USD – DAILY – Source: TradingView

Market Overview

Taking a look at the daily chart above, we can see that Bitcoin has found support at the .382 Fib Retracement, priced at $9,569. During the week, it made a rebound and broke above the $10,000 level again, however, it was unable to break above $10,190 (previous 1.414 Fib Extension) which caused it to reverse and rollover.Advertisement

Short term prediction: BULLISH

The cryptocurrency remains bullish, however, it is very close to becoming neutral. If it drops beneath the $9,000 level, we can consider the market as neutral. It would need to drop beneath $8,200 before we could consider it to be in danger of turning bearish.

Toward the downside, if the sellers break beneath $9,569 the next level of support lies at $9,311 (.5 Fib Retracement). Beneath this, support lies at $9,159 (downside 1.272 Fib Extension), $9,053 (.618 Fib Retracement), and $9,000.

On the other hand, if the buyers rebound here and push higher, resistance lies at $9,815 and $10,000. Above this, additional resistance lies at $10,190 (1.414 Fib Extension), $10,474 (1.618 Fib Extension) and $10,500.

The RSI dipped beneath the 50 level and remained there for the longest period during 2020. If the RSI is unable to climb back above 50 pretty soon, we can expect the moment to shift and for the bears to regain control.

Key Levels

Support: $9,569, $9,311, $9,280, $9,200, $9,169, $9,053, $9,000.

Resistance: $9,637, $9,615, $9,815, $10,000, $10,190, $10,360, $10,474.

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Bitcoin News Today – Headlines for February 22

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  • Analysts and traders have long been waiting for BTC to “moon” once again
  • The $14k mark might be the key to send BTC back to the moon
  • The forthcoming halving could send BTC price to between $55k to $100k

Bitcoin News Today – Ever since the price of Bitcoin surged by more than 1,000 percent in 2017 to hit an all-time high of $20k, analysts have been waiting for the digital currency to “moon” once again. It seems like the moon – a noun-turned-verb used to describe the price of an asset surging significantly higher – is rapidly drawing near, that is if Bitcoin can break over one key hurdle point.

Bitcoin Needs to Break Over a Key Hurdle to Head to the Moon

While the largest digital currency in the world by market cap surged as high as $20k in 2017, it did not stay on that level for long. The digital currency failed to establish any semblance of support in that area. In fact, it ended the month of December around the $14k level, a decrease of 30 percent from its all-time high as the bulls failed to maintain momentum.

Recently, Delboy – a chartist – doubled down on this in a recent tweet. In the tweet, he said that the long-term chart of Bitcoin is showing signs that the $14k level might be key in sending the price of the digital currency back to the moon.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Today – BTC / USD

#NamePrice24H %
1Bitcoin(BTC)$9,713.78-0.67%

From the chart, it is obvious that once Bitcoin (BTC) surged over the monthly high of the 2013 bubble around the $1,150 mark, the bullish traction picked up quickly, taking the price of the digital currency to $20k by the end of 2017.

How High Can the Price of Bitcoin Go?

While the jury is still out on where exactly the next bull market can take the price of Bitcoin to, the consensus is a fresh all-time high of at least $50k, proven by a crazy accurate price model made by an institutional quantitative analyst. The model, which is known as a stock-to-flow model, equates to the scarcity of Bitcoin, derived from the above-ground supply divided by the rolling issuance of the digital currency, to the market cap of the asset.

It determined, to a 95 percent R squared, that after the reduction of block rewards on the Bitcoin network in May this year, the digital currency will have a fair value of anywhere between $55k to $100k. A Twitter user – GeertJancap – pointed out that according to his transfer function model of BTC’s price, the price of the digital currency will catch up to the model, created by PlanB – a pseudonymous analyst.

At press time, the world’s most dominant digital currency is struggling below the $10k level after several failed attempts to break over the $10,500 mark. Bitcoin is currently hovering around the $9,600 mark.

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Bitcoin Has a Stale Block for the First Time Since 27 January 2020

  • Bitcoin is known to be the most famous cryptocurrency with its price currently touching near $10,000.
  • According to BitMex research, it announced Bitcoin had a first stale block since January.
  • The stale blocks which are not part of the current best blockchain led to a small fork.

Bitcoin is known to be the most famous cryptocurrency with its price currently touching near $10,000 and beyond in good days. Millions of crypto-enthusiasts stalk the news about this cryptocurrency which uses peer-to-peer technology to operate with no regulations from a central authority or banks.

BitMex is a Peer-to-peer crypto-products trading platform.

According to BitMex research, it announced Bitcoin had a first stale block this morning reaching the height of 618,466 since January 27 of this year, and it was in a 19 second time gap. Stale Blocks are blocks that got successfully mined but not included on the current best blockchain, likely because some other block at a similar height who had their blockchain extended first.

A blockchain is a chain of increasing blocks contains information mainly related to finance attaching to make it a collection of records in a way which cannot be altered and every block record various transaction occurs in the blockchain. The stale blocks are newly mined and not part of the current best blockchain because it got overridden by a longer chain and the more the height of the blocks is always a good sign to the strength of the bitcoin.

The stale blocks which are not part of the current best blockchain led to a small fork. The small fork is a result of nodes when geographically closer they pick up the block that was mined near to them. The current block in bitcoin is, however, quickly accepted into the main chain.

In the blockchain, no double-spends has been observed, and the stale block contained 18 Txns excluded from the competing block.

According to the ForkMonitor

Bitcoin is at the height of 618,503
Mined by: ViaBTC
Accumulated log2(PoW): 91.692145
Latest Blocksize: 0.17MB
Latest block transaction count: 359

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