Connect with us

Bitcoin

Binance CEO Says He Expects This Bitcoin Bull Cycle To Last for Years – Here’s Why

Published

on

The CEO and co-founder of crypto exchange Binance, Changpeng Zhao, is predicting that the Bitcoin rally has a lot more room to run.

In a new interview with Crypto Banter, Zhao, also known as CZ, estimates that the current Bitcoin bull cycle may not see its peak until 2024.

“And I think 2021, 2022, 2023… it’s going to take two to three years maybe four years for this sort of cycle to hit the peak..

I kind of predict that we are just in the flat part of the wave. The big wave hasn’t come in yet.”

Advertisement

The Binance CEO says that the current crypto market cycle, which has attracted a more diverse set of participants, appears to be in the discovery phase.

“Now, we are basically in discovery territory again. Bitcoin broke the previous all-time high which was there for three years.

Now, we are in the $30,000+ territory, so we went to $42,000 and are coming back… This time around we see a lot more users, a lot more institutional participation. Before this was the peak, now this is the foundation.” 

Advertisement

Zhao believes BTC could appreciate by between five to twenty times its current price within several years.

“I think it’s going to go another 5X, 10X, 20X… we don’t know. And if that happens, it’s going to take a couple of years. We will see.”

The Binance CEO explains that his forecast is informed by Bitcoin’s price history over the last decade.

“In the history of Bitcoin, if you look at the Bitcoin price in 2013, it broke the $200 all-time high and then it went to $1,000. So that took about a year… a year and a half. So it takes some time… 

Advertisement

And then we saw a big drop in 2013 from $1,000 to $200 in 2014 to 2015-ish. It took until 2016 to break that high and then in 2016 we passed $1,000 and then it went to $3,000. In 2017, it went to $20,000. So we see a 20X jump over a three to four year period.”

When asked whether he would categorize the volume we are currently seeing in the crypto markets as “mania”, CZ says he does not believe the sector is at that level quite yet.

“Based on the data I can see, I don’t think we’ve seen the mania just yet… Even though the price has caught up to the previous peak, people are coming in more much more steadily. On a day-to-day basis we don’t see a super big spike of new users coming in… even though the prices go [parabolic] we haven’t seen the user sign-ups take that kind of peak.” 

Advertisement

News Source

Bitcoin

This ransomware gang moved $6.8 million in Bitcoin amid regulatory overhaul

Published

on


Ransomware groups, Darkside and BlackMatter recently moved multi-million dollars worth of Bitcoin upon getting the news of REvil’s servers getting hacked by a global coalition of law enforcement agencies. According to the authorities, 107 BTC, which amounts to $6.8 million were moved earlier today by splitting the amount into several different wallets.

Furthermore, officials revealed that the gangs were already aware of regulators’ oversight and therefore had prepared the mentioned balance to be laundered or cashed out. According to The Record, officials noted that the breakdown of funds into smaller portions is usually used for money laundering operations as the regulators directly transfer the entire amount of confiscated funds instead of splitting them up.

“Basically, since 2AM UTC whoever controlled the wallet started to break the BTC into small chunks… At the time of this writing, the attackers split the funds into 7 wallets of 7-8 BTC and the rest (38BTC) is stored in the following wallet: bc1q9jy4pq5su9slh56gryydwkk0qjnqxvfwzm7xl6”, Omri Segev Moyal, CEO and co-founder of security firm Profero shared this data with The Record.

It is obvious that the Darkside and BlackMatter were next on the regulatory hitlist as Darkside was the ransomware strain developed by REvil associates that were used earlier this year in the infamous Colonial Pipeline incident of May. This attack indirectly led to fuel supply outages across the US East Coast.

Advertisement

REvil ransomware group’s website went offline

Yesterday, the Reuters’ report about REvil’s servers being hijacked by the regulators went viral and threw other ransomware groups in a fit of panic. A multi-nation operation against cybercrime group, REvil was implemented and took down the group’s “Happy Blog” website, which was formerly used to leak victim data and extort companies.

“The FBI, in conjunction with Cyber Command, the Secret Service and like-minded countries, have truly engaged in significant disruptive actions against these groups,” said Tom Kellermann, an adviser to the U.S. Secret Service on cybercrime investigations and VMWare head of cybersecurity strategy. “REvil was top of the list.”, he added.

News Source

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Bitcoin

First Bitcoin ETF in Immediate Danger of Hitting Cap on Contracts Held

Published

on

The first bitcoin (BTC) futures-backed exchange-traded fund (ETF), ProShares’ BITO, is reportedly already in danger of breaching a limit on the number of futures contracts it is allowed to hold under current Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) rules.

BITO already owns nearly 1,900 bitcoin futures contracts expiring in October, according to Bloomberg data. The number is close to CME’s current rule that a single entity cannot own more than 2,000 front-month futures contracts, Bloomberg reported on Thursday, when BITO had only been live for two full days. 

To get around the limit, the ETF has reportedly started buying futures contracts expiring in November in addition to the October contracts it holds, with 1,400 November contracts amassed so far. At the current pace, however, the fund could also soon reach CME’s cap on holdings for next-month contracts of 5,000 contracts, per the report.

Advertisement

And while the CME has already said it will increase the limits to 4,000 front-month contracts starting in November, this is also likely to be reached soon by BITO, which already has more than USD 1bn under management.

A major issue faced by ProShares’ ETF is that futures contracts tend to trade at a higher premium over spot prices the further away their expiry date is – a phenomenon known as contango in the futures market.

As such, choosing to get around the maximum limits by buying longer-dated contracts will mean the ETF has to get its bitcoin exposure at prices that are increasingly higher than spot. This could result in high costs when contracts are rolled over at expiry that will eventually be paid by the ETFs investors in the form of lower returns.

Advertisement

According to Bloomberg’s own ETF expert, Eric Balchunas, some of the pressure on the first ETF to be launched could be alleviated by competing ETFs coming to the market over the next few days and weeks. However, the first-mover advantage that BITO has gotten will still be difficult to challenge, he said.

“The unprecedented early volume in BITO makes it like a snowball rolling downhill, as liquidity and assets begets more liquidity and assets,” Balchunas said, adding that it will be “nearly impossible” for other ETFs to steal significant volume from BITO in the short or medium-term.

Commenting on the possibility of the ETF running into the ceiling, some speculated that the extreme popularity of the futures ETF could eventually pressure the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to allow a “physically” backed spot bitcoin to launch. 

Advertisement

That scenario was suggested by Zhu Su, CEO of crypto hedge fund Three Arrows Capital, saying that it could lead to the ETF rising to a “hilarious premium,” leading the SEC to “approve a spot ETF because of public outrage.” 

In a tweet, he also shared a comment from Max Boonen, Founder of electronic market maker B2C2, saying that it is “doubtful” that clearing houses will be comfortable with a single entity holding more than 4,000 front-month contracts.

“What happens when BITO surpasses 4k [contracts] as it surely will?”, Boonen asked.

Advertisement

A similar idea was also suggested by Eric Balchunas, saying in the Bloomberg report that BITO hitting the limits on how many futures contracts it is allowed to hold could pressure the SEC to allow a spot-based bitcoin ETF.

“That certainly would do the trick in slowing down BITO and providing a release valve for futures demand,” the senior ETF analyst said.

Advertisement

Meanwhile, the second bitcoin ETF to be approved by the SEC, the Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy ETF with the ticker BTF, is scheduled to go live on the market today, October 22. BTF will also be backed by bitcoin futures contracts traded on the CME rather than by “physical” bitcoins.

BTF should go live on the Nasdaq exchange when the market opens at 09:30 ET (13:30 UTC).

Following the launch of Valkyrie’s fund today, a third bitcoin futures ETF, the VanEck Bitcoin Strategy ETF (XBTF), is set to go live on Monday on the Cboe BZX Exchange, according to a recent SEC filing.

Advertisement

News Source

Continue Reading

Bitcoin

Second US Bitcoin Futures ETF Launching Today – Here Are the Details

Published

on

A new Bitcoin (BTC) futures exchange-traded fund (ETFs) rolls out today.

Valkyrie Investments, an alternative asset management firm, is launching the country’s second Bitcoin futures ETF, according to CEO Leah Wald.

The new product is called the Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy ETF and will trade on the Nasdaq under the ticker symbol BTF.

Advertisement

The launch comes on the heels of ProShares’ Bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund, which exploded onto the market on Tuesday with the second-biggest ETF launch of all time.

Like ProShares’ Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO), the Valkyrie ETF doesn’t invest directly in BTC but provides price exposure to Bitcoin futures contracts.

Per the ETF’s prospectus,

Advertisement

“Under normal circumstances, the fund will seek to purchase a number of Bitcoin futures contracts so that the total notional value… of the Bitcoin underlying the futures contracts held by the fund is as close to 100% of the net assets of the fund as possible.”

Bitcoin is trading at $62,793, up nearly 10% on the week but down from its Wednesday all-time high of $67,276, according to CoinGecko.

News Source

Advertisement
Continue Reading