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Bitcoin-keen Palihapitiya Says He Won’t Run for Governor of California

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The “Bitcoin (BTC) candidate” for the forthcoming Californian gubernatorial race has ruled himself out of a run at the post – which may see voters in the state head to the polls later this year.

In a recent edition of the All In podcast, which he co-hosts, bitcoin bull Chamath Palihapitiya, who is also the chairman of Virgin Galactic and the CEO of the venture capital firm Social Capital, appeared to rule himself out of the running for the election – despite declaring his intention to run on Twitter and launching a “Chamath for California Governor” website (still active), featuring manifesto promises.

But on the podcast, Palihapitiya, who has previously advised people to keep 1% of their savings in bitcoin, instead distanced himself from talk of elections, stating that he was “not ready” to stand for governor.

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He explained that he was working on a project involving batteries that he claimed was “important for a lot of places than just California,” and adding that he would not “abandon” the project, saying,

“I wouldn’t do it. It is just that simple.”

His co-hosts challenged him on the matter, and Palihapitiya went on to state that if he were indeed to run it would only be on a mandate to pass “five or six laws” on an 18-month basis.

The current governor Gavin Newsom may be heading for a recall over the state’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic, with a petition that needs 1.5 million signatures before March 17 to reach their target, already reaching the 1.2 million mark. Per the LA Times, a third of surveyed voters in California currently support recalling Newsom.

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On the same podcast, Palihapitiya briefly mentioned bitcoin and the GameStop stock pump affair, claiming that millennials buying BTC and GameStop shares was a case of “insiders versus outsiders.”

He spoke about hypothetical issues he would focus on if he were to become governor, singling out public school spending via a voucher system. He then claimed that he would also “cut all taxes to zero,” but introduce a “progressive taxation system for corporations.”

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These Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana Price Prediction Charts Are Pure Magic, According to Macro Guru Raoul Pal

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Macro guru Raoul Pal says three price prediction charts for Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana are working like “pure magic.”

In a new Crypto Banter podcast, the co-founder and chief executive officer of Real Vision compares Bitcoin’s current market cycle to that of 2012-13, suggesting a price target of over $250,000 for the end of this bull run.

“I’ve been using this for over a year, and it’s been pure magic…It gives us a pretty clear target, and it’s been magic. It gave me the strength through the bear market to keep adding, thinking ‘we know how this plays out.’”

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Source: Raoul Pal

The former Goldman Sachs executive then pulls up another chart that compares Ethereum’s price trend from 2016 to Bitcoin’s from 2011 to 2019.

“And so here’s Ethereum VS Bitcoin in 2017. It’s been pretty damn good. In fact, I’ve got this as a real-time chart on my Bloomberg and it almost works to the day right now [because] it’s so close.”

Source: Raoul Pal

Lastly, Pal brings up a chart that shows how smart contract platform Solana (SOL) is following the same path Ethereum did in 2016-2017, which if continued would land SOL above $800 in April 2022.

“The Ethereum price now is pretty exactly in line with the Bitcoin price in 2017. And here’s Solana at the price as ETH, growing faster as a network, but the chart is identical again. It’s crazy.”

Source: Raoul Pal

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Barry Silbert on Converting GBTC Into ETF: “Stay Tuned”

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Digital Currency Group CEO Barry Silbert has started teasing Grayscale’s ETF push

Barry Silbert, CEO of Digital Currency Group, urged his followers to “stay tuned” in response to a tweet about potentially converting its Grayscale Bitcoin Trust into a physically-backed exchange-traded fund.

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ProShares’s Bitcoin futures ETF is set to start trading on Monday after it was greenlit by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission earlier this week.  

However, the regulator has so far shot down all the proposals to launch an ETF that will not track the price of Bitcoin directly due to concerns about investor protection. Instead, investors will have exposure to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange’s futures contracts.  

Joe Orsini, director of research at Eaglebrook Advisors, has outlined some risks associated with a futures-based ETF in his recent thread, claiming that it will be applicable for intra-day trading instead of long-term investing.

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Last month, Grayscale CEO Michael Sonnenshein opined that approving a futures-based ETF before a spot-based one would be a “short-sighted” decision.

According to a Thursday report by CNBC, the company is very close to filing with the SEC in order to convert GBTC into a spot-based ETF.

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As reported by U.Today, Grayscale hired ex-Alerian CEO David LaValle to work on such a plan this September.

The leading cryptocurrency asset manager confirmed that it was intending to convert its Bitcoin trust into an ETF in early April.

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Bitcoin ETF Approval is a double Edged Sword in Terms of Price Discovery

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Futures based paper products don’t lead to natural price discovery. There’s so much the players can manipulate on these paper products, which will be fixed in a physically-backed ETF.

In response, Caitlin Long expressed:  Yep, but physically backed ETFs also foster spot price manipulation. As I’ve said for yrs, Bitcoin ETF approval is a double-edged sword.  It brings liquidity, but also brings Wall Street style manipulation and price suppression.

Community response:  I don’t see ever any logic here. Crypto is the Wild West, when it comes to manipulation. How does having liquidity in a more regulated market make the manipulation worse?

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Crypto markets are way more manipulated than any other asset class. Adding an ETF would only dilute the manipulation.

Supply is real with bitcoin paper copies won’t bring more real supply, but can’t the paper push around the price like in gold and silver? I think they will try but will soon discover that the underlying asset isn’t as elastic as gold and silver with a significantly lower inflation rate and stock flow.  Also, gold and silver aren’t 100% auditable by everyone on the planet at all times.

How does a spot ETF foster price manipulation? I don’t really understand the logic here. Most likely, the ETF would simply be buying and storing Bitcoin every single day of its existence.

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What do you think the manipulation would look like? With the open source monetary policy and public blockchain ledger, I think any manipulation would have to be very short lived. They can’t create millions of ‘paper’ BTC like the precious metals markets.

Yeah but unlike gold and silver we can completely verify the total supply, and punish manipulation out of these honest markets. If on-chain metrics unanimously say one thing, futures manipulation will be that much easier to rectify, no?

Wall Street can short BTC through the floor. My guess is they want to hammer the BTC price down and drive everyone back to USD. Same way they control all commodities.

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ETF is a double edged sword, and anyway there’s a lot of manipulation. So, ETF is nothing significant to care about? If the ETF would hurt bitcoin price more than it would help it, the US would have approved it several years ago.

Hard manipulation like in gold/silver market not possible: Withdraw your BTC from the exchange, as soon as supply dries up the price explodes.

With an BTC ETF, have you removed legal tender? Been thinking on this one and I’m not so sure an BTC ETF is the best thing for BTC in the long run. There is always two sides of a coin.

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How can spot price with proof of reserve be manipulated? And how can we move past the financial products created out of thin air, and toward the purpose crypto was created for?

We already have manipulation and suppression in BTC – The Futures-ETF will only serve to deepen that manipulation/suppression. So, Qui Bono? This is not about investors folks!

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