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Why Bitcoin Price Could Extend Its Decline To $41K, 100 SMA Holds The Key

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Bitcoin price started a fresh decline after it failed to clear $52,000 against the US Dollar. BTC is sliding and it remains at a risk of a drop towards $41,000.

  • Bitcoin recovered above $50,000, but it struggled to clear the $52,000 resistance.
  • The price is trading well below $50,000 and the 100 simple moving average (4-hours).
  • There is a key declining channel forming with resistance near $49,220 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair is likely to continue lower towards the $41,000 and $40,000 support levels in the near term.

Bitcoin Price is Showing Bearish Signs

This past week, bitcoin price extended its decline below the $47,000 support zone against the US Dollar. The BTC/USD pair even tested the $44,000 support zone and settled well below the 100 simple moving average (4-hours).

The last rejection zone was near the $52,000 level before the price declined below $45,000. It traded as low $44,360 before correcting higher. It recovered above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $52,229 high to $44,360 low.

Bitcoin Price

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

However, the price struggled to clear the $48,000 resistance zone. It also failed to surpass the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $52,229 high to $44,360 low.

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There is also a key declining channel forming with resistance near $49,220 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair. Bitcoin is currently moving lower and it is likely to test the $44,000 support zone. If there is a downside break below the $44,000 support zone, there are chances of more downsides towards the $41,000 support zone. The next major support is near the $40,000 level.

Upsides Capped in BTC?

If bitcoin starts a fresh increase, the first key resistance is near the $48,000 level. The main resistance is now forming near the channel upper trend line and $50,000.

A clear break above the channel resistance could open the doors for decent increase above $50,000. The next key resistance is near the $52,000 level, above which the price might rise towards the $55,000 level.

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Technical indicators

4 hours MACD – The MACD for BTC/USD is showing negative signs in the bearish zone.

4 hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now well below the 50 level.

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Major Support Level – $44,000

Major Resistance Level – $50,000

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Bitcoin

The Cycle Started, Mike Novogratz Says – Bitcoin Boom Is Here; Jack Dorsey Boosts BTC’s Price

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Mike Novogratz is one of the essential names in the crypto space which is celebrating the booming price of Bitcoin.

Check out what he had to share with his followers and Twitter fans:

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Someone hopped in the comments section and said this; ‘Anyone who has not yet embarked on the crypto band wagon is a simple minded idiot who knows nothing about markets, freedom or wealth creation.’

Jack Dorsey boosts the price of BTC

It’s been also revealed that Jack Dorse said that Square could build a BTC mining system – this obviously triggered a more massive price race for the king coin.

At the moment of writing this article, BTC is trading in the green and the king coin is priced at $61,118.15.

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CNBC online publication just noted that Square CEO Jack Dorsey said late on Friday the company is considering jumping into BTC mining business.

Dorsey tweeted that the company is considering a “bitcoin mining system based on custom silicon and open source for individuals and businesses worldwide.”

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Dorsey’s goal would be to make crypto mining more accessible. We suggest that you check out the complete thread that Dorsey shared on his social media account in order to learn all the available details.

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Pantera Capital’s Dan Morehead: Bitcoin (BTC) Already Up 100% in This Bull Run

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How big is median increase in Bitcoin (BTC) price in bullish market phases?

As Bitcoin (BTC) reclaims $62,000 level, Dan Morehead, CEO of the first-ever cryptocurrency-focused VC firm in the U.S., shares the comprehensive statistics of the last six bull runs for Bitcoin.

Bitcoin (BTC) price doubled in 87 days: Bull Run 2021

According to the latest tweet by Mr. Morehead, the Bitcoin (BTC) price witnessed a 2x increase in the first 87 days of the ongoing bullish wave.

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Unlike many other experts, Mr. Morehead identifies two separate “bull run” phases in 2020-2021. During the previous one, between March 16, 2020, and April 14, 2021, it took 394 days for Bitcoin (BTC) to increase its price 13x and print a new all-time high.

According to his infographic, the most impressive rally ended with a 106x increase of the orange coin’s price in 2015-2017.

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That said, the median Bitcoin (BTC) price bull run lasted for 300 days and increased the “king coin’s price” by 15x.

Will Bitcoin ETF mark the top of the BTC cycle?

At the same time, according to “The Next Price Era” letter issued by Pantera Capital on Oct. 6, 2021, the hotly-anticipated approval of Bitcoin (BTC) ETFs is listed amidst the possible “sell the news” events.

Mr. Morehead noticed that the launch of CME Bitcoin Futures and Coinbase direct listing triggered painful bear markets:

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Will someone please remind the day before the bitcoin ETF officially launches?  I might want to take some chips off the table.

As covered by U.Today previously, similar statements were made by CNBC’s Jim Cramer.

The seasoned analyst also revealed his plans to “cash out” 50% of his Ethereum (ETH) bags.

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Bitcoin Will Significantly Underperform Altcoin Market As New Crypto Price Era Unfolds: Pantera Capital’s Dan Morehead

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The founder and chief executive officer of Pantera Capital says that investors can expect altcoins to outperform Bitcoin (BTC) in the long term.

In a recent edition of Pantera’s Blockchain Letter, the head of the digital asset management firm outlines Dan Morehead’s key quotes from the SALT 2021 conference in New York. During the conference, Morehead said that even though his company has greatly profited from BTC, he emphasized that most future crypto gains will come from altcoin investments.ADVERTISEMENT

“My perspective is: Bitcoin has been amazing – Pantera Bitcoin Fund is up 67,000% since inception. However, I think the majority of future gains will be from tokens outside of Bitcoin. I know that sounds heretical to some people here, but that’s my professional opinion.”

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Morehead compares the rise of Bitcoin and its competitors to that of the tech industry boom during the late 1990s.

“It’s like saying in 1998 that [the] majority of future tech gains would come from outside Microsoft.

At the time, Microsoft was worth $218 billion, Apple $3.5 billion, Amazon was $2.2 billion. Google and Facebook were zero – they didn’t even exist. In the years since Microsoft did great – it went up 10x. However, 80% of the tech gains in these five stocks came from outside Microsoft.

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That’s the view I have here – I think BTC is going to go up a ton – like 10x. It’s a great investment…[but] I think the broader portfolio is going to outperform.”

At time of writing, BTC has a market cap of $1.156 trillion while all altcoins combined have a market cap of $1.327 trillion, according to CoinMarketCap.

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