The price of Bitcoin (BTC) has failed to break above the psychological $50,000 resistance going into the weekend and has dropped below the $48,000 level on March 6.
Now traders are watching whether BTC/USD can break above the $50,000 level to resume the bull cycle. Conversely, a drop below the recent lows below $46,000 will likely open the door to new lower lows, which may then pose a threat to the bull run that has been in place for almost a year, at least in the short to medium term.
Pseudonymous trader Rekt Capital pointed out similar price levels to watch. If BTC fails to hold the current levels above $46,000, the trader expects Bitcoin to bottom somewhere in the area between $38,000 and $45,000 despite Bitcoin posting higher lows in recent days.
“BTC higher lows hold until they don’t,” he wrote. “Each subsequent reaction from the January HL was lesser and lesser. Could be the same now. Better to be safe than sorry by preparing for a potential breakdown from this HL.”
#BTC Higher Lows hold
Until they don't
Each subsequent reaction from the January HL was lesser & lesser
Could be the same now
Better to be safe than sorry by preparing for a potential breakdown from this HL
— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) March 6, 2021
One major factor that’s likely causing the current downward pressure on price is an uptick in whales’ activity. Data from CryptoQuant shows an increase in large transactions to exchanges on March 6, though miners’ activity remains low.
As shown in the chart below, previous upticks in whales moving funds to exchange coincided with drops in Bitcoin price on March 3-4.
Macroeconomic headwinds for Bitcoin
As Cointelegraph reported, Bitcoin is also facing downward pressure from macroeconomic headwinds. A sharp spike in 10-year U.S. Treasury yields and a pullback in tech stocks, in particular, are weighing on cryptocurrency prices as investors flee risk-on assets.
Meanwhile, the Dollar currency index, or DXY, has broken through technical resistance, hitting the highest levels since November 2020.
Cointelegraph Markets analyst Michael van de Poppe points out that Bitcoin’s downtrend remains intact after the latest attempt to break $50,000 failed.
“This means that the trend is still down and overall weakness on the markets in the short term,” he explained. “$50,000 is so far a no-go for Bitcoin.”
However, Bitcoin, as well as gold, may see some respite soon as the DXY and Treasury yields are nearing their own technical resistance levels.
“I believe that the yields are getting topped out relatively soon including the DXY,” explained van de Poppe. “Both are in resistance areas, which means that we should be close to a top formation on these two, but also on a bottom formation for Bitcoin and gold relatively soon.”
March is often a bad month for markets and history repeats itself. So macro-wise, we’re still bullish on the cycle and heating up for continuation, despite the recent interest in yields.”
El Salvador President Looking to Buy the Bitcoin Dip, But Wants a Better Discount
Bitcoin ($BTC) price recorded a minor correction over the past 24-hours, falling to a daily low of $60,122. The retrace comes just days after $BTC posted a new ATH of $66,973 on Wednesday. The price correction is now being seen as an opportunity by many to stack more $BTC.
Nayib Bukele, the president of El Salvador, the world’s first country with Bitcoin as its legal tender is also among many who wants to buy the Bitcoin dip. However, he thinks the correction is too small and might need a better discount to make the purchase.
Bukele’s interest in Bitcoin has been known the world over as he is seen as the main architect behind El Salvador’s BTC adoption. The small central American nation started buying $BTC right after it was formally inducted in September this year. They made a total of 700 BTC purchases throughout September when the top cryptocurrency was trading under $45K. At the time Bukele was criticized as their purchase value was on the decline.
As $BTC touched new ATH, El Salvador’s Bitcoin holding got into millions of profit which is now being used for building hospitals and other national projects. He also shared a photo of himself sitting on the throne depicting him as the king after BTC ATH.
El Salvador is Reaping the Benefits of Bitcoin Adoption Already
International media continues to show El Salvador’s BTC adoption in a bad light, focusing more on the protests and less on the benefits that Bitcoin adoption has given to the country. The national Chivo wallet is already being used by two-thirds of Salvadorans while the Bitcoin ATMs have been a great success too receiving millions in daily remittance.
El Salvador has also invested in clean Bitcoin mining using abundant geothermal energy available in the country. The country has already set up the infrastructure and has mined its first Bitcoin as well, thus the adoption has proven to be a great win for the financially challenged nation, despite skepticism from all around.
One Ethereum Competitor Is Showing Strength As Bitcoin Loses Ground, According to Crypto Trader Benjamin Cowen
Crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen says an Ethereum rival is showing strength as Bitcoin pulls back from its all-time high.
Cowen tells his 576,000 YouTube subscribers that AVAX, the native token for the smart contract platform Avalanche, is “weathering the storm relatively well.”ADVERTISEMENT
The 12th-ranked asset by market cap is trading at $68.28 at time of writing, up over 5% in the past 24 hours and more than 20% in the past week, according to CoinGecko.
Cowen notes that AVAX is trading well above both its 20-week simple moving average (SMA) and 21-week exponential moving average (EMA). Taken together, the two metrics are what Cowen refers to as the “bull market support band.”
“We also have some wiggle room in the sense that we are above the bull market support band of the AVAX/USD valuation. The 20-week SMA is at $35.85 and the 21-week EMA is at $43.47. What that tells you is that Avalanche has been performing pretty well for the last several weeks.
A lot of coins are right above their bull market support band, and they haven’t been performing as well recently. A lot of these things can have some type of seasonality as the money ball just jumps around from project to project, and right now, clearly, AVAX is showing a decent amount of strength.”
Cowen doesn’t predict that AVAX will have a strong move against Bitcoin “in the next month or so,” but he does say that Avalanche can increase in value in terms of its relationship to the US dollar in the short term.
This ransomware gang moved $6.8 million in Bitcoin amid regulatory overhaul
Ransomware groups, Darkside and BlackMatter recently moved multi-million dollars worth of Bitcoin upon getting the news of REvil’s servers getting hacked by a global coalition of law enforcement agencies. According to the authorities, 107 BTC, which amounts to $6.8 million were moved earlier today by splitting the amount into several different wallets.
Furthermore, officials revealed that the gangs were already aware of regulators’ oversight and therefore had prepared the mentioned balance to be laundered or cashed out. According to The Record, officials noted that the breakdown of funds into smaller portions is usually used for money laundering operations as the regulators directly transfer the entire amount of confiscated funds instead of splitting them up.
“Basically, since 2AM UTC whoever controlled the wallet started to break the BTC into small chunks… At the time of this writing, the attackers split the funds into 7 wallets of 7-8 BTC and the rest (38BTC) is stored in the following wallet: bc1q9jy4pq5su9slh56gryydwkk0qjnqxvfwzm7xl6”, Omri Segev Moyal, CEO and co-founder of security firm Profero shared this data with The Record.
It is obvious that the Darkside and BlackMatter were next on the regulatory hitlist as Darkside was the ransomware strain developed by REvil associates that were used earlier this year in the infamous Colonial Pipeline incident of May. This attack indirectly led to fuel supply outages across the US East Coast.
REvil ransomware group’s website went offline
Yesterday, the Reuters’ report about REvil’s servers being hijacked by the regulators went viral and threw other ransomware groups in a fit of panic. A multi-nation operation against cybercrime group, REvil was implemented and took down the group’s “Happy Blog” website, which was formerly used to leak victim data and extort companies.
“The FBI, in conjunction with Cyber Command, the Secret Service and like-minded countries, have truly engaged in significant disruptive actions against these groups,” said Tom Kellermann, an adviser to the U.S. Secret Service on cybercrime investigations and VMWare head of cybersecurity strategy. “REvil was top of the list.”, he added.