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Pro traders close Ethereum longs even after today’s $1.15B options expiry

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Ether (ETH) rebounded from a $1,550 low on March 24, which marked a 17% fall from the $1,870 weekly high. Even though the $1.15 billion options expiry in the early hours of March 26 could have pressured Ether price, the continuing surge in gas fees for Ethereum transactions likely played a part.

To better assess these forces, one should analyze top traders’ exposure using data provided by the largest crypto exchanges. If the case for the options expiry holds, the long-to-short data from whales and arbitrage desks will show buying activity after the options expiry at 8:00 UTC.

Ether price at Coinbase, USD. Source: TradingView

Although the Ether price held relatively stable at $1,630 at the time of the expiry, there needs to be some evidence of top traders reverting the previous price pressure. If this is not the case, then there should be no reason to believe that the recent sell-off was related to the options expiry.

To confront the options-induced price drop theory, a report by CoinMetrics concluded that the highly anticipated EIP-1559 network upgrade is not likely to solve the problem of high gas costs.

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The report mentions that only scaling solutions will genuinely fix the problem. Therefore, top traders would have more significant issues to worry about, pressuring Ether price regardless of the expiry date.

Traders did not change their attitude

Major cryptocurrency exchanges provide the long-to-short net positioning. This indicator is calculated by analyzing the client’s consolidated position on the spot, perpetual and futures contracts. Therefore, it gives a clearer view of whether professional traders are leaning bullish or bearish.

It is important to note that there are occasional methodology discrepancies between various exchanges, so one should monitor changes instead of absolute figures.

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Exchange’s top traders Ether long-to-short ratio. Source: Bybt

The chart above shows that top traders have been reducing their positions over the past 48 hours, and the movement remained after the options expired (orange bar). These whales and arbitrage desks increased their exposure as Ether price crashed 10% on March 24 and have since been taking profits.

It is worth noting that the 1.56 ratio favoring longs on OKEx was the highest level seen in March, signaling that top traders were confident that the $1,550 support would hold.

Given that this movement took place 36 hours ahead of the options expiry, it weakens the thesis that whales pushed Ether price downward to somehow profit from it.

A similar trend took place at Huobi, where top traders’ net long-to-short ratio peaked at 0.96 on March 25. Albeit slightly favoring shorts, the indicator hadn’t seen such levels since March 7. Therefore, it further signals that there was no selling pressure targeting the March 26 options expiry.

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Thus, any sustainable Ether price rebound, let alone a new all-time high, should occur as Eth2 and sustainable scaling solutions are put into place. Currently, there’s no reason to believe that options markets have masqueraded the price.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

 

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Ethereum

Ethereum Price On the Brink of Breakout! $11.3k Target Could be Imminent!

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The global crypto space is making some serious moves over the last week with 10.8% profits reaching a $2.50 trillion market cap. However, Bitcoin’s dominance has risen by 0.66% taking BTC price level to the $62,000 milestone on 15th October 2021. 

Besides, its counterpart Ethereum with top-notch performance surpassed the $3,800 price level with 7.74% gains over the last week. The altcoin on the other hand is showing the potential signs to go hand in hand with Bitcoin.

Analyst Predicts Ethereum to Surge Beyond $11k! 

Popular crypto analyst Micheal Van de Poppe made an exciting prediction for the altcoin. He said ETH/USDT trading pair is retesting at a very crucial resistance between $3.8k to $4k, break out could give a rapid boost to the price action. He added altcoin is partially reflecting the footsteps of Bitcoin as it has previously done in 2017. Hence, according to the analyst, the asset could range between $6k and $8.7k in the upcoming bull run.  

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He went on to say if the digital coin closes major Fibonacci levels of 3.618 and 4.618 then the asset could take an upswing varying between $11.3k and $14k. Further, addressing Bitcoin’s recent bull rally, he manifested that if it continues to rally by 20% more, then Ethereum could follow and leg up by 10%. On the contrary, the analyst mentioned a strong support area for the altcoin between $2.9k and $3.3k

Ethereum Breaks Double Top Pattern!

The second-largest crypto-asset experienced a phenomenal increase in the weekly trade volume of 7.03%. At present, the altcoin is in a strong consolidation phase around $3,863. There seems to be a lack of FOMO as the selling pressure is pretty dominant. In a one-hour chart, there are a considerable number of red candles.

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If the buyers come forward showing interest in the asset then the asset is anticipated to surpass a major resistance level of $4,042. On the flip side, the asset could fall well below $4,000. A comfortable support zone for the asset could be between $3,500 and $4,000.

On the other hand, the total value in the ETH 2.0 deposit contract recorded an ATH of over $30 trillion. As the upgrade is programmed to launch any time soon. This could act as a major catalyst in the coming days. Hence, the altcoin has the strong potential to reach new highs.

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Top Analyst Predicts 200% Boom for Ethereum Over Bitcoin – But Issues Warning to Crypto Traders Considering Altcoin Markets

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A widely followed crypto analyst sees a volatile Q4 ahead for altcoins but thinks Ethereum will end the cycle with a massive run against Bitcoin.

Crypto strategist Michaël van de Poppe tells his 443,3000 Twitter followers that it is within the realm of possibilities for Ethereum to rally 200% against Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) in the coming months.

However, he warns that BTC may take over the markets at the expense of altcoins until December. According to the trader, December is historically is the month to buy digital assets other than Bitcoin.

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“December is often the best period to buy altcoins.

If history repeats, we might be getting a run of 200% on ETH/BTC towards the ATH (all-time high) region from there, but first, a heavier correction while Bitcoin does well.”

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Source: Van de Poppe/Twitter

Although Van de Poppe is short-term bearish on altcoins, he believes the digital assets will eventually follow Bitcoin’s lead.

Taking a closer look at Bitcoin, Van de Poppe plots the price action of the top crypto asset for the coming weeks.

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“We still are not seeing too much strength on the altcoin market. So, it’s still not the right time to be in them, and I’m assuming we’re still going to see strength on Bitcoin for the coming weeks in the scenario that I’ve made here in which a test of $70,000 is most likely going to take place within a month from now before we get a final corrective move, retest of the range [$59,405-$61,213] that we’ve been cracking through before we’re going to test a new all-time high region and going to finalize this entire bull cycle.”

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Massive drop in Ethereum exchange reserves signals imminent supply shock, ETH eyes $8,000

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  • Over 400,000 ETH was pulled out of Coinbase, dropping exchange reserves and driving a supply crisis.
  • Average Ethereum gas fees stay above $20 due to an increase in pressure from smart contracts on the network’s blockchain. 
  • Analysts who are bullish on Ethereum expect ETH price to cross $5000 in an upward climb. 

Institutional investors are bullish on Ethereum with rising capital inflow. Ethereum reserves across exchanges have dropped as outflow increases. 

Coinbase notes massive Ethereum exchange outflow

Coinbase noted a withdrawal of 400,000 Ethereum tokens, and according to community-driven crypto platform CryptoQuant, it is likely that the outflow was institutional activity. Analysts expect a bullish impact on ETH prices. 

400,000 Ethereum tokens are the equivalent of $1.5 billion, withdrawn from the second-largest cryptocurrency exchange. The exchange outflow indicator is considered a sign of increased outflow and a supply shortage in Ethereum. 

Ethereum Exchange Outflow

Ethereum Exchange Outflow.

Ethereum has posted over nearly 20% gains in the past two weeks. 

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Interestingly, there is a spike in whale activity on the Ethereum network. Over $188 million worth of Ethereum was moved between two anonymous cryptocurrency wallets in a single transaction. 

A mysterious whale initiated the transaction, and it was sent to an unknown recipient. The details of the transaction are as follows:

Whale activity on the Ethereum Network

Whale activity on the Ethereum Network.

With news of Bitcoin ETF getting approval by the Securities & Exchange Commission next week, experts are awaiting Ethereum’s turn. Analysts are of the opinion that following Bitcoin ETF approval, capital inflow to Ethereum and altcoins will increase. 

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Pseudonymous cryptocurreny trader and analyst @jroberts3334 has set a target of $8000 for Ethereum for February 2022. 

Simon Dedick, Managing Partner of Moonrock Capital, is bullish on Ethereum; he tweeted:

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FXStreet analysts have evaluated the ETH price trend to analyze where altcoin is headed next. Analysts have set a target of $5200 for ETH price. 

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