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Ethereum Price Q2 Journey Hit New Lows, Will ETH Price Pull a Bullish Narrative?

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While the price of Ethereum is beginning to define a new trading range, it is unsurprising that ETH did not receive much attention in the last quarter as it was pulled down with Bitcoin in the severe market crackdown. On-chain activity in Bitcoin and Ethereum is at an all-time low, with demand for block-space plummeting to levels last seen in 2020.

On June 25th, Ethereum saw the greatest ever Option Expiry, causing the price of this crypto asset to lose 14 percent of its gains in just two days.

According to Glassnode, Ethereum has lost 30% from its recent high of roughly 676k addresses. Activity has dropped to 474k addresses per day, the lowest level since Q1 2021. Ethereum is settling $5 billion in ETH transfers per day, which is -68 percent less than the USD amount. Also, daily fee revenue for Ethereum has dropped from around 15k ETH/day in early May to just 1.9k ($4.34M).

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Daily Active Address DAA has dropped 55% from its May high, indicating an increasing aversion to day-to-day network involvement among ETH investors.

As short-term traders departed the market, rising pressure was one of the primary drivers in ETH’s crash. Massive inflows have already been observed, while outflows have steadily improved since May 24. 117K ETH left Centralized and Decentralized exchanges on June 25th, indicating that selling pressure is finally easing. At the time of publication, 13.8k ETH inflows had been recorded, although inflows are currently much lower.

Where will ETH Price head next?

When compared to some of the other cryptocurrencies’ recovery, Ethereum’s price behaviour since June 22 has been lacklustre, implying that ETH is suffering from waning interest.

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ETH Price is currently trading around $1741, its weekly pivot point, which is in line with its May lows. The price of Ethereum may begin to rise in the area of $1741 to $1431. The necessity of the hour for ETH to build a firm support is a closing over $2000 for ETH to get back in the game.

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Ethereum

Ethereum Price Prediction: ETH bears contemplate a drop to $2450

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  • ETH price is building up downside pressure while clinging to the 200-SMA support.
  • RSI remains flat below the midline, keeping the sellers cheerful.
  • A drop towards $2450 remains in the offing if the 200-SMA caves in.

Ethereum, the no.2 widely traded digital asset, remains under pressure for the second straight day, consolidating Friday’s steep losses.

ETH price snapped its two-day rebound from monthly lows of $2651, as it got sold-off into the latest Chinese crackdown.

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) on Friday declared all cryptocurrency transactions as illegal, imposing a ban, which saw over $400 million worth of tokens liquidated within 24 hours. Ethereum lost as much as $420 at one point before recovering to $2930.61 at the close.

At the press time, ETH/USD is trading almost unchanged on the day around $2900, having bounced off from daily lows at $2800.

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Ethereum price defending 200-SMA but for how long?

Ethereum’s 12-hour chart shows that the price is wavering in a narrow range, remaining in close vicinity of the daily troughs, as ETH price is not out of the woods yet.

Having witnessed good two-way volatility recently, ETH price maintains its range play, with the bearish 21-Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $3185 capping the upside.

Meanwhile, the 200-SMA at $2734 continues to offer support to ETH bulls. However, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) still holding below the midline and bear cross in play, the path of least resistance appears to the downside.  

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Note that the 21-SMA breached the 100-SMA from above, confirming a bear cross on the said time frame on Thursday.

Once the 200-SMA gives way, a test of the horizontal trendline support at $2450 cannot be ruled out. The $2400 round number would be next on the sellers’ radars.

ETH/USD: 12-hour chart

On the upside, immediate resistance is placed at the 21-SMA, above which the horizontal 100-SMA at $3305 will be put to test.

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ETH buyers will seek fresh entries above the latter, paving the way towards the downward-pointing 50-SMA at $3418.

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ETH Locked in DeFi on Historic Highs: Details

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Total number of Ethers utilized in various decentralized finance protocols spiked over 7.3 million

After a massive plunge in TVL, a decentralized finance ecosystem has recovered to observe some breathtaking metrics.

7,830,000 Ethers locked in DeFi

The net number of Ethers locked in various decentralized finance protocols spiked 12% in the past ten days. On Sept. 15, 2021, this indicator bottomed at a two-month low of about 6.95 million Ethers.

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More than 7.8M Ethers are locked in DeFi segment
Image by DeFi Pulse

As displayed by mainstream decentralized finances segment tracker DeFi Pulse, the total quantity of Ethers in all indexed protocols nets 7.8 million Ethers.

Aave Finance (AAVE), Compound Finance (COMP), Instadapp, Uniswap (UNI), Curve Finance (CRV) are the most popular protocols in terms of TVL.

The five leading DeFis are responsible for almost 6.9 million Ethers, or 85% of net TVL, tracked by DeFi Pulse.

Yearn.Finance (YFI), Rari Capital (RGT) are on fire

In the last 24 hours, two DeFi protocols, Yearn.Finance (YFI) and Rari Capital (RGT), registered double-digit gains.

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At the same time, the Ethereum 2.0 deposit contract targets almost the same numbers. As of Sept. 25, 2021, it has amassed 7.77 million Ethers.

Amid the current Ethereum (ETH) price dip, this massive amount of value is equal to $22.7 billion. To provide context, this sum can be compared to the market capitalization of Telenor, Credit Suisse, Suzuki and Warner Music Group.

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Ethereum Network Activity is Stagnant while ETH Price Hovers Below $3k Level!

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Ethereum price fell amid a broad selloff in the cryptocurrency market, fueled by fears of a brewing property bubble collapse in China. 

There’s a lot of fear and uncertainty in the crypto market right now. With news that China has officially declared all cryptocurrency transactions illegal, the Ethereum price, like the rest of the market, is under attack.

Ethereum Price Analysis:

The Major altcoin has lost 5.76% in the last 24 hours. Although it is now seeking to construct a firm support base at $3000. ETH Price had a tumultuous start, rising to an intraday high of $3,114 in the early morning before reversing course. 

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To reach the first big resistance level at $3,149, Ethereum would have to break past the $2,942 pivot. Support from the larger market, on the other hand, would be required for Ethereum to reclaim the $3,100 barrier. Unless there is a sustained crypto rally, the first significant resistance level and Friday’s high of $3,160.48 will likely act as a ceiling on the upside.

Network Activity is Stagnant

According to Santiment, most speculators are shifting away from Ethereum (ETH) in pursuit of better options with larger returns on investment. 

Exchanges are seeing an influx of Ethereum, implying that people are selling their holdings in response to the recent marketwide crypto slump. 

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Santiment claims that network growth has been static for several months before the price of ETH fell.

This is attributed to growth in other Layer-1 initiatives like Avalanche (AVAX), Fantom (FTM), and Cosmos (ATOM), as well as decreased speculation in the non-fungible token (NFT) market.

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