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Bitcoin bulls control Friday’s $1.7B monthly options expiry

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On Friday, July 30, a total of 42,850 Bitcoin (BTC) option contracts ($1.7 billion) are set to expire. This might be the first time since the May 21 weekly expiry that bulls will be able to profit from the $40,000 call (buy) options.

The most recent surge in price may have been prompted by the rumor that Amazon would accept crypto payments, but after the e-commerce giant denied these rumors, BTC has held relatively steady.

According to options markets, regardless of the reason behind the recent market strength, a few incentives are in place for bulls to sustain the $40,000 level.

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Aggregate July 30 Bitcoin option open interest by strike. Source: Bybt.com

While the initial analysis favors the neutral-to-bullish call options by 21% according to the call-to-put ratio, a decent number of those bets were placed at $45,000 and higher strikes. These options are almost worthless with less than 14 hours until maturity.

Bulls are in complete control

Bears were overconfident for the monthly expiry and 87% of the neutral-to-bearish put options have been placed at $39,000 or lower. If bears are to suppress the price below this level on July 30, a total of $105 million put options will be available.

Meanwhile, the neutral-to-bullish call options below $39,000 amount to $320 million. The net result is a $215 million advantage favoring the neutral-to-bullish call options.

Sustaining the price above $40,000 on July 30 would increase the bulls’ lead by $140 million. This difference seems enough to justify a price push above that level, at least until 8:00 am UTC when Deribit expiry takes place.

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July future contracts also exert some influence

Bitcoin futures expiries occur simultaneously, but unlike options, longs and shorts are evenly matched at all times.

An aggregate of $650 million in BTC futures is set to expire this Friday, but this will largely depend on the CME’s $455 million because traders might close their position before the expiry, which happens on Friday at 3:00 pm UTC.

At the moment, the options market data largely favors bulls, at least for the short-term.

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The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Bitcoin Drops as China Declares Crypto-Businesses Illegal

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  • China declared that cryptocurrency-related businesses are illegal
  • Bitcoin, Ether, and stablecoin Tether do not qualify as legal tender in China
  • BTC drops in price as the announcement went out

Once again, China reiterated its antagonistic stance on Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency industry as a whole.

In an announcement, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) mentioned that BTC, ETH, and USDT are not legal tenders in China. They added that these cannot be used in the currency market.

Additionally, the central bank deemed all crypto-related businesses as illegal. This includes overseas exchanges serving residents within China and derivative transactions.

Following the news, Bitcoin’s price fell by almost $2,000 as the news circulated. This has been a common pattern whenever China FUD comes out.

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Earlier, China also reiterated its stance on crypto trading and mining while testing the Digital Yuan. According to the PBOC, it will continue releasing regulatory pressure over the crypto trading industry.

Despite the negative news, many analysts remain bullish on Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency industry as a whole. According to analyst Lark Davis, this is not new and will happen again in the future.

In a tweet, Davis mentioned that “The year is 2025, #bitcoin has just corrected from 400k to 250k on China banning BTC fears.”

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Can Bitcoin Surpass $6,000,000? Ethereum and Polkadot Creator Details Possible Future of Crypto

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Early Bitcoin developer and co-founder of Ethereum and Polkadot, Gavin Andresen, is outlining a future where BTC rises to a staggering $6,000,000 per coin.

Gavin Andresen, who took over as Bitcoin’s lead maintainer from founder Satoshi Nakamoto in 2011, just published a new blog post detailing how BTC’s theoretical evolution could look.

Andresen describes a “possible” scenario where Bitcoin hits a price tag of $6,000,000 by 2061, transaction fees 326x higher than they are now, and the blockchain is used chiefly by whales.

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“Imagine: it is the year 2061. The BTC price is six million US dollars – equal to about a million 2021 dollars because of inflation.

Miners are being rewarded 0.006103515625 BTC per block, plus transaction fees of about 5 BTC for 4,000 or so transactions ($7,500 per transaction).

But most BTC transactions don’t happen on the BTC network. Most BTC is locked up in multi-signature outputs secured using multiparty computation and mirrored on another chain as ‘wrapped’ tokens.”

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In his scifi scenario, Andresen says those who do remain on Bitcoin’s network will be incentivized to keep it alive.

“The transactions that do occur on the main BTC network are high-value, mostly between super-whale-size holders…

These whales maintain the BTC network forever. They are the miners and the transaction creators; they don’t care how high transaction fees go, because they receive as many fees as they pay.”

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However, Andresen says that by 2100, even those users would likely leave the blockchain.

“In the year 2100 the whales notice that the mining reward is basically zero… Eventually, there are zero new BTC being produced on the BTC network, and zero BTC circulating on the BTC network. There is nothing left to secure, and the chain stops.”

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Top Analyst Maps Bitcoin and Cardano Price Trajectories, Warns Best Entry Point for ADA May Be Gone

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Top Analyst Maps Bitcoin and Cardano Price Trajectories, Warns Best Entry Point for ADA May Be Gone

Crypto trader Michaël van de Poppe is looking at what’s ahead for Bitcoin (BTC) and the smart contract platform Cardano (ADA).

The analyst tells his 420,000 Twitter followers that the best entry point for Cardano may be gone after the asset bounced off a key support level at $1.86.

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“If you want to get into Cardano, this was the region where you would want to get into it, and the higher low that might be created.

So based on the daily timeframe, the best entry might be gone, but you’re still getting a better entry than the ones who have been buying around $2.80.”

Van de Poppe is now looking to see if ADA can turn resistance at the $2.37 level into support.

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If the markets correct further, he is keeping an eye on the $2.15 level as a potential buy zone.

“When you’re looking at the four-hour time frame, I think you’re getting the exact same view as what you have right now on Bitcoin and [Ethereum], actually. So you’re going to look for an entry point which is around the fact of $2.15, so anything in this region might be a good entry point if we get a corrective move.”

Looking at the Bitcoin pair, van de Poppe thinks that ADA will most likely consolidate briefly after retesting support at its previous all-time high.

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“We can see that we’ve had a beautiful retest of the previous high here too, and therefore some consolidation is most likely going to take place before we’re going to have new impulse waves.

So both the USDT and BTC pair are looking for continuation, and I think that’s just great, and I think that’s just what we want to see with the markets right now.”

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