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Bitcoin

Bear Market Over? Why Bitcoin Could Soar To $45K As Strong Holders Grow

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Bitcoin has retaken the highs of its current range. The first cryptocurrency by market cap trades at $41,300, at the time of writing, with a 6% and 23.8% profit in the daily chart.

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BTC moving sideways after retaking $40,000 in the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD Tradingview

The general sentiment in the market has flipped bullish, the fear and greed index signals greed for the first time in months. Other indicators, as many experts have pointed out, suggest a definite shift in the market. The bulls could see more green days in the coming weeks.

Data from Glassnode, provided by the CIO of Moskovski Capital Lex Moskovski, recorded an increase in the amount of Bitcoin held by “strongest holders”. According to the Illiquid Supply metric, these holders have risen to an all-time high and suggest “bullish” price action.

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Source: Glassnode via Lex Moskovski

Charles Edwards, a founder at Capriole Investments, revealed an increase in long-term Bitcoin holders. According to the HOLD Waves metric, these types of investors have been growing their supply since the May 2021 crash. Edwards added:

This type of sharp rise never occurred in the early stages of prior bear markets, suggesting that there is a chance the Bitcoin bull-cycle is still intact.

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Source: Glassnode via Charles Edwards

Additional data provided by Edwards indicates that exchanges platforms had their “first positive outflows” since last week when Bitcoin made a run from its yearly open at around $29,000 to its current levels. This metric suggests that the demand in the crypto market could be returning and could support further appreciation.

Days prior to the current price action, Bitcoin dropped from about $35,000 to its yearly open, as mentioned. Edwards called this price action a “failed breakout”, as sellers were exhausted at those lows and were unable to push the price further down. He added:

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The ensuing squeeze to the upside was supported by a heavily short market, with over-exposure to stable-coin contracts. This resulted in a short squeeze over the last week which culminated on the candle highlighted (…)

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Source: Charles Edwards – Capriole Investments

Bitcoin Fundamentals Turn Positive, Bulls Back In Control?

Edwards reviewed other indicators, such as the Hash Ribbons metric and believes it looks “promising”. The metric saw an important decline after China banned Bitcoin mining from the country. Miners had to migrate to friendlier destinations.

The Bitcoin hash rate and its Energy Value has been rising. Edwards found that both of this metric grew around 8%, indicating that the miners’ migration has ended. Another bullish factor, since these entities can stop selling BTC; the market could see selling pressure diminish. However, investors must remain cautious:

Hash rate is showing a positive and strong trend, not dissimilar to December 2018, suggesting the bottom could be in. However, Hash Rate can give various false positives during capitulation. This is why we remain cautious until the Hash Ribbon buy signal is confirmed.

In the coming days, Bitcoin could see more accumulation around its current levels with a “higher chance” of another leg up to the mid-range, $45,000. If BTC’s price retraces, the invalidation zone stands at $39,000.

The macro-economic outlook presents a potential tailwind and risk for Bitcoin. Edwards claims that the U.S. Federal Reserve and its inflationary monetary policy could continue to boost BTC if the financial institution keeps printing money.

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There is a potential risk in the traditional market. If the stock market crashes, Bitcoin could follow. The cryptocurrency has displayed a high level of correlation with the S&P 500. In consequence, it could hurt its chances to reclaim previous highs in case of a dropped. Edwards concluded:

For now, fundamentals and technicals are skewed towards the upside, and our base case is we will move towards the mid- to high-$40Ks over the coming weeks. In the near-term this thesis would be validated if we breakdown below $39K. Finally, Bitcoin cycle history tells us to be wary of significant volatility and downside risk until conditions are further improved.

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Altcoin

Billionaire Mark Cuban Identifies Altcoin With ‘Most Upside’ As Bitcoin Blasts Above $60,000

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As Bitcoin shoots above $60,000, business magnate Mark Cuban says one altcoin stands above the rest in terms of investment potential.

In a new interview with CNBC Make It, the billionaire says that Ethereum (ETH) is the best crypto prospect on the market.

“As an investment, I think Ethereum has the most upside.”

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Cuban, who previously stated that smart contracts on Ethereum’s blockchain have revolutionized the cryptocurrency market, believes that the second-largest crypto by market cap is the digital asset which most resembles legal tender.

“I wish I had bought [Ethereum] sooner. I think it’s the closest thing we have to a true currency.”

Cuban went on to reiterate his position that Bitcoin (BTC) is superior to gold because not only is its supply scarce, but it’s easier to transfer, store, trade, and fractionalize. That sentiment is shared by fellow billionaire CEO Chamath Palihapitiya of Social Capital and Virgin Galactic.

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Cuban’s comments come on the heels of him saying that customers prefer making payments in Dogecoin (DOGE) rather than BTC at his venues because Bitcoin tends to be a highly appreciable asset.

Ethereum is exchanging hands at $3,839 at time of writing, an 11% increase from its seven-day low of $3,431, according to CoinGecko.

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ProShares Set for Bitcoin Futures ETF Launch on Monday After Apparent SEC Approval

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The US Securities and Exchange Commission has reportedly greenlit the country’s first Bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund (ETF).

ProShares, an ETF provider, filed a post-effective amendment prospectus on Friday that states the company plans to launch the BTC Futures ETF on Monday, a sign that the SEC has approved the product.

The fund doesn’t invest directly in Bitcoin, but it provides price exposure to Bitcoin futures contracts, a first in the US.

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Both Bloomberg and CNBC, citing people “familiar with the matter,” reported earlier in the week that the SEC planned to approve BTC futures ETFs from ProShares and the independent investment firm Invesco Ltd.

Invesco’s ETF is also set to provide exposure to a collection of exchange-traded products (ETPs) and private investment trusts that hold Bitcoin, rather than direct investments in BTC itself.

Last month, SEC Chairman Gary Gensler said he was open to ETFs for Bitcoin futures, noting that they are filed under mutual fund guidelines which provide “significant investor protections.”

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Bitcoin is trading at $61,549.38 at time of writing and is up 6.6% in the past day and more than 40% in the past two weeks, according to CoinGecko.

BTC hit its all-time high of $64,804.72 in mid-April.

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Bitcoin May See Real Peak If ETF Is Approved and I May Cash Out Half My ETH: CNBC’s Jim Cramer

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Jim Cramer shares a common view that Bitcoin has the opportunity to reach a short-term peak or even a real peak if Bitcoin ETFs are approved next week.

Host of CNBC’s Mad Money, Jim Cramer, has talked to Andrew Sorkin from CNBC’s Squawk Box show about the prospects of the Bitcoin price if or when four Bitcoin futures ETFs get the SEC’s approval next week.

Cramer also stated that he may cash out half of his Ethereum stash.

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SEC approval for ETF may push Bitcoin up, Cramer says

Answering Sorkin’s question, Cramer stated that a lot of people believe there is a high chance that the senior cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, may hit a short-term or even a real price peak if four BTC-based ETFs are approved by the SEC next week.

He corrected the host and said that the regulatory agency may approve not just one but four Bitcoin futures ETFs next week.

However, he stated that people are running ahead of a possible ETF approval.

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Bitcoin spikes to $59,500 as chance for ETF approval emerges

Earlier today, the flagship digital currency, Bitcoin, soared to a multi-month high of $59,500 on the Bitstamp exchange. It happened after Bloomberg released a report, saying that so far the Securities and Exchange Commission has not objected to approving multiple Bitcoin futures ETFs that were submitted to it earlier this year.

The Bloomberg article stated that the information had been confirmed by multiple sources close to the SEC and to the matter in question.

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The media giant’s ETF analyst, Eric Balchunas, believes that the likelihood of Bitcoin ETFs getting the green light has now risen to more than 90%. Still, he is not ready to “close the case” yet.

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