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Bitcoin price analysis: BTC in bears at $46,000

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  • Bitcoin price analysis shows that Bitcoin is engulfed in a bearish movement.
  • The bearish movement started on the 7th of September with a flash crash.
  • Strong support is currently found at the $46,000 mark.
  • Strong resistance is currently found at the $47,320 mark.

Bitcoin price analysis reveals that the king of cryptocurrency is engulfed in a bearish momentum that started with a flash crash on the 7th of September. The king of cryptocurrency has been trying to recover past the $47,000 mark since the flash fall to the $43,000 level. During the past 24 hours, Bitcoin’s price has been down by 0.21 percent, and it is down by 6.27 percent on the seven-day chart. The king is keeping the market in overall bearish momentum with hints of bullish sprints here and there.

Bitcoin price analysis 1-day candlestick shows increase in volatility

The one-day candlestick Bitcoin price analysis shows that the volatility is slightly increasing on the one-day chart analysis compared to the past few days. The upper Bollinger band, marking the strongest resistance, is found at the $52,094 mark. While the lower Bollinger band, marking the strongest support, is found at the $45,073 level.

Bitcoin price analysis: BTC in bears at $46,000 1
The nine-day moving average (MA) and the Bollinger bands’ average are still presenting bearish crossover serving as strong resistance points for the king of cryptocurrency. The nine-day MA is found at the $48,818 mark, while the Bollinger bands’ average is found at the $48,584 mark. The relative strength index is found at the neutral value of 46.57, providing ample opportunity for improvement to the bullish side.
BTC/USD 4 hour candlestick shows decrease in volatility
Although the one-day chart shows a slight increase in volatility, the four-hour candlestick Bitcoin price analysis chart shows a decrease in volatility on the four-hour chart patterns. The upper Bollinger band coming close to the lower is found at the $50,203 mark, while the current price is fluctuating at the time of writing. The lower Bollinger band, marking the strong support point, is found at the $43,551 mark.
Bitcoin price analysis: BTC in bears at $46,000 2BTC/USD 4-hour candlestick price chart. Source: Trading View
Both the nine-day MA and the Bollinger bands’ average are found above the current price marking bearish crossovers and strong resistance points for the king. The MA is found at the $46,370 mark, while the Bollinger bands’ average is found above it, at the $46,877 mark. The RSI is leaning towards the bearish side with a score of 36.87.
Bitcoin price analysis conclusion
Bulls and bears are struggling to gain momentum of the Bitcoin price charts and, in turn, the overall market movement, but so far, it is a tough fight between the two trends. Bitcoin is showing good support for the $46,000 high and holding it strongly amidst slight fluctuations below the $46,000 mark. On the other hand, the market is still suffering from losses due to the $7000 Bitcoin crash on the 7th of September. If the current support levels persist, the king of cryptocurrency is likely to maintain the current price level to retest the $47,000 high. If the current support levels falter, Bitcoin is then likely to falter on the price chart falling back into the $45,800 range or lower.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Doesn’t Work as a Form of Payment, According to Celsius CEO Alex Mashinsky – Here’s Why

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The CEO of crypto lending platform Celsius does not think that Bitcoin (BTC) has the correct properties to become a suitable payment option. 

In a new interview on Coin Stories, Alex Mashinsky offers a contrasting picture between the qualities of the US dollar and the leading cryptocurrency. 

“I’d much rather be in a scenario where the dollar remains as the reserve currency but Bitcoin continues to do very well…

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The dollar is a phenomenal form of payment. It’s a horrible store of value and Bitcoin is a phenomenal store value, but it’s a pretty bad form of payment.”

Mashinsky highlights that it is not a great idea to use Bitcoin to pay for goods and services as he says that people who have done so in the past often regret making the transaction. 

“If you fell for Elon Musk’s deal where he gave you a Tesla for two or three Bitcoins, obviously you hate driving that Tesla because you would in a second go back and take those three Bitcoins and return the Tesla, which lost value during the same period of time. 

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Anything you bought with Bitcoin in the last 10 years, you rather have the Bitcoin back and would have paid in US dollars. That’s really the crux of the matter that you cannot use it as a form of payment or cannot use it in a way that makes you happy about the transaction.”

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Is Bitcoin Officially in Bear Territory? Crypto Analyst Michaël van de Poppe Analyzes State of BTC After Deep Pullback

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A widely followed crypto strategist and trader is looking at the state of Bitcoin to determine whether the largest crypto asset by market cap has crossed bear territory.

Hours before the deep crypto pullback, analyst Michaël van de Poppe told his 518,000 Twitter followers that he was expecting Bitcoin to correct hard and leave an impression that the bull market is over.

“The scenario is very simple.

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  • People expected a peak bull run in December. Not happening.
  • Let the market correct due to that.
  • People will expect a bear market at the low (approx. $47,000-$50,000).
  • Moon the markets and leave everyone behind.

Supercycle.”

With Bitcoin trading below $50,000, Van de Poppe says BTC is still in a bull market and highlights that he believes the correction is now over.

“Overall, this should be the low of a standard 30-40% correction in the markets.

However, corrections are super wicky the past few years in Bitcoin as there’s such a massive amount of leverage in the markets.

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Through that, we overshoot.

But all good, should be done now.”

Looking at the charts, Van de Poppe says there’s a decent chance that Bitcoin will launch a V-shaped reversal or a sharp rally where BTC revisits its all-time high around $69,000 by early next year.

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“Rounding off the day with this chart on Bitcoin.

I think that the chances for a V-shape recovery are there.

We’ll see coming week how it unfolds, but these bounces are significant and good.”

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Source: Van de Poppe/Twitter

Bitcoin is exchanging hands at $48,994, down over 7% in the last 24 hours.

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This Bitcoin fractal predicted the fall, but here’s the next price target

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Bitcoin, along with the larger crypto-market, dropped the ball after the most recent price fall had echoes of 19 May’s crash. With BTC shedding 25% of its value in a matter of a few hours, the market seemed to reset to its September-end levels. While it was trading around the $49k-mark at press time, for a brief moment, it did tread close to $42,000 too.

The aforementioned price fall led to a mass wipeout, giving way to over $2.5 billion liquidations across the market. Ergo, the question – Does the macro bullish outlook for Bitcoin remain intact? 

The dip was overdue 

On the daily chart, Bitcoin’s price had been in a falling wedge structure since the 16 November crash. Looking at the larger structure for the past month, it can be argued that the latest crash to the $42k level was overdue.

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On zooming out, a look at BTC’s weekly chart highlighted how after the 4 December crash, the price broke the MA 50 trend-line. 

Source: TradingShot

During the previous major corrections too, the price had broken below this level in May and then again, in late June. However, it has always managed to hold it.

In fact, this level has acted as a support for the +100% rally from July to November. Thus, as long as the weekly closes above or at least around the 1W MA50, BTCUSD has a legitimate probability of forming support there and starting a new rally.

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Interestingly, an RSI fractal seemed also to be in play here. As noted in the chart above, a similar RSI structure was seen from mid-2019 to early 2020, as seen from early 2021 to the time of writing. The key catalyst in both cases was the sell-off due to COVID fears.

However, this crash was more of a combination of multiple factors like the panic among retail investors, tech market crash, over-leveraged crypto-markets, high Open Interest, positive funding rate, and so on. 

So, what’s next?

For now, while the price has rebounded, another fall to the lower $40k-level cannot be discarded.

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However, BTC’s two main utility indicators continue to rise – A good signal. BTC’s token circulation and its daily active addresses, at press time, sat at a 6-month high. In fact, they seemed likely to continue their uptrend too. 

Source: Sanbase

Furthermore, the estimated leverage ratio dropped by 22% in just one day. This was last seen in September when the price dropped by 24% and touched $40k.

In case a similar rally follows and BTC’s price makes a similar structure, the next minimum target of $75k for Bitcoin towards the end of January 2022 can be expected. 

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Source: CryptoQuant

At the time of writing, the biggest takeaway as BTC’s price rebounded from its lower levels seemed to be that the market dynamics have been looking very different than previous cycles.

Even though volatility was still high, the market seemed to move from FOMO-induced price tops and sell-offs to more mature and sustainable growth while flushing leverage. Nonetheless, with the price structure still tilting towards bearish, despite the bounce, it would be best to be cautious.

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