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Stellar’s XLM won’t face the same legal issues in the US as Ripple did

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  • Ripple and XRP are still battling with the SEC nearly a year after the lawsuit was first filed.
  • Due to the inherent similarities between the target space of XRP and XLM, some speculate that the regulators might target Stellar next.
  • XRP and XLM prices are both hinting at the possibility of a 100% ascent in the near future.

The United States Securities & Exchange Commission’s (SEC) lawsuit against Ripple and XRP has moved from something that was supposed to be quick to a battle of attrition. The SEC served Ripple for selling unregistered securities on December 22, 2020, but the payments company has continued to make progress in the east, where it is welcomed.

While there seems to be no end in sight for this lawsuit, some speculate that Stellar, a strikingly similar cryptocurrency project, could be what the SEC  goes after next. 

This article takes a look at the differences, similarities and possibilities if the regulators ever turn their sights on stellar Lumens.

Ripple and Stellar: The remittance brothers

Despite the fact that much of its history is shrouded in mystery, Ripple Labs, more commonly known as Ripple, is the company behind XRP. The token is designed as a payments, liquidity sourcing and transaction settlement mechanism that uses the federated Byzantine agreement consensus protocol released in 2012.

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Ripple is currently the company that looks after the XRP Ledger and its developments.

Stellar, on the other hand, takes a slightly different approach. It is an open-source, distributed payment network that uses the Stellar Consensus Protocol.

Like XRP, XLM is the native asset of the Stellar blockchain that runs on the federated Byzantine agreement system that was launched in 2015. Unlike Ripple, Stellar Development Foundation (SDF) looks after the development of XLM.

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Chris Larsen and Jed McCaleb co-founded Ripple, but McCaleb left to start Stellar due to disagreements in the team. Moreover, both tokens are looking to solve a similar cross-border payments problem and are positioned with the right partners to do the same.

While institutions are actively seeking investment opportunities in the cryptocurrency space, they are cautious due to the fuzzy nature of regulators’ stance on digital assets. Bitcoin and Ethereum, for example, are the institutional investors’ favorite, because they are deemed commodities. However, XRP, XLM and other cryptocurrencies do not have this distinction, keeping these high net-worth individuals from taking a stake in altcoins.

Let us take a look at some of the key differences between XRP and XLM.

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Key differences between Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM)

While these differences are stark, what puts Ripple and XRP in trouble and kept Stellar and XLM safe boils down to two things:

The entity responsible for XLM is labeled “non-profit” while Ripple is not. This subtle demarcation is what puts XRP in the regulators’ crosshairs.

The New York Department of Financial Services (NYDFS) gave XLM a go-sign to trade on New York exchanges.

In a December 3, 2019 press release, the NYDFS granted Virtual Currency licenses to 24 cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash, Ether, Ether Classic, LiteCoin and Stellar Lumens.

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The announcement added,

The Department’s approval of SoFi’s virtual currency and money transmitter licenses provides consumers with more choices in a continuously evolving global financial services marketplace.

The press release mentions handing out two licenses – virtual currency and money transmitter licenses – which puts XLM in the safe zone and leaves XRP vulnerable.

The two licenses will allow SoFi Digital Assets to offer its New York Customers the ability to buy and sell virtual currency. The company is authorized to support the virtual currencies Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash, Ether, Ether Classic, LiteCoin and Stellar Lumens.

While XRP received a BitLicense in 2016, it allowed Ripple to sell XRP for institutional investors or use it for their products like xRapid.

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Despite the lawsuit and the ramifications, Ripple seems to be gaining ground. However, nothing is for certain until the case is finalized. The same holds for Stellar and XLM, which is currently away from regulators’ prying eyes.

Regardless of the hurdles or developments from both sides, the technical aspects of XRP and XLM look bullish.

XRP price poised to double shortly

XRP price is forming a rounding bottom on a weekly chart that extends to its all-time high of $3.317 in 2018. To complete this technical formation, Ripple needs to rally at least 152%. This move will put XRP price at $2.750. Beyond this point, the remittance token is likely to make a run at the all-time high and run past it to set up a new one.

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Using a trend-based Fibonacci extension between the 2020 low at $0.114, April 12 swing high at $1.967 and the June 21 swing low at $0.509 reveals the first target at $8.78. This run-up would constitute a 725% ascent from its current position.

XRP/USD 1-week chart

XRP/USD 1-week chart

While things are looking up for XRP price, a breakdown of the uptrend by producing a lower low below the recent swing low at $0.858 will invalidate the optimistic scenario for Ripple. 

XLM price remains strong

XLM price also shows a bullish outlook as it forms a cup-and-handle on the weekly chart. This setup contains a rounding bottom known as the cup, often followed by a minor downswing called the handle, hence the namesake cup-and-handle.

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This pattern forecasts a 1,830% upswing, obtained by measuring the distance between the right peak and bottom of the cup and adding it to a breakout point.

For XLM price, adding the 1,830% to $0.716 reveals a theoretical target at $13.78.

XLM/USD 1-week chart

XLM/USD 1-week chart

Regardless of the optimism, if XLM price produces a lower low below $0.234, it will invalidate the bullish thesis and potentially trigger a further descent.

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XLM

XLM Spikes 10% as Stellar CEO Is Set to Testify at Full Committee Hearing

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XLM Price Prediction

The CEO of Stellar Foundation, Denelle Dixon, will testify as a witness at a hybrid hearing on Dec. 8

Denelle Dixon, CEO of Stellar Development Foundation, is set to testify at a full committee hearing. The price of XLM, Stellar’s native crypto asset, is up 10% in the last 24 hours.

XLM/USD Daily Chart

XLM/USD Daily Chart, Courtesy: TradingView

The Stellar CEO, in her words, “feels honored to testify at next week’s full committee hearing on digital assets and the future of finance.” Representative Maxine Waters, Chairwoman of the House Committee on Financial Services, made the announcement. On Dec. 8, the full committee will have a hybrid hearing.

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In a recent release, Representative Maxine Waters, chairwoman of the U.S. House Committee on Financial Services, has invited cryptocurrency CEOs to testify at a scheduled hearing on “Digital Assets and the Future of Finance.” Jeremy Allaire, CEO of Circle Pay, Sam Bankman-Fried, CEO of US FTX Exchange, Brian Brooks, CEO of Bitfury Group, Chad Cascarilla, CEO of Paxos Global, and Denelle Dixon, CEO of Stellar Foundation, will testify as witnesses in the Dec. 8 hybrid hearing.

Stellar (XLM) traded in an indecisive trend for most of November. However, bulls suddenly reemerged, leading to a retest of the $0.36 high on Dec. 3. Litemint, a longtime ecosystem participant, launched its non-fungible token (NFT) marketplace, enabling users to mint NFTs on Stellar.

XLM was trading at $0.358 as of press time.

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XLM price stuck in pennant, with bullish breakout holding 40% gains

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  • Stellar price action is getting squeezed from both sides, forming a pennant.
  • As the RSI dips to the lower end of the index, expect bulls to stand ready for a pop higher.
  • Seeing momentum build, $40 will not stop the rally which could overshoot towards $0.46.

Stellar (XLM) price has been stuck in a downward trajectory for most of November. It has only been since November 27 that bulls have advertised their presence by posting higher lows. Now a pennant has formed, and as it unravels expect a bullish breakout that could see a violent move, followed by an acceleration higher between $0.41 and $0.46.

XLM has bulls gearing up for the rally

XLM price has not been able to provide any solid numbers for November. After hitting a cap at $0.44, on November 11, price has been on the back foot ever since.It is only since November 26 that bulls seem to have reemerged with a blue ascending trend line where lows are getting progressively higher. 

The late entry of the bulls in XLM price action makes sense, as bears were grinding down the price action very slowly, which resulted in a very slow drip in the Relative Strength Index, keeping the incentive alive for bears that there was still more downside to come. In recent moves, however, the RSI started to bottom,  offering more limited gains for bears wishing to short Stellar price. With bears starting to doubt if XLM will ever correct towards $0.25 or $0.25, for that matter, bulls have a chance to strike quickly and squeeze bears out of their positions.

XLM/USD daily chart

XLM/USD daily chart

A self-fulfilling prophecy is in the making then, as bears will want to close their positions and book profits, increasing demand for XLM. This will likely lead to an explosion in buy-side volume and see price run up rapidly, taking out the monthly pivot at $0.36 and the historical resistance at $0.40. The next level to watch will be $0.46, which may be where bulls first pause, otherwise, the RSI would be at risk of swinging towards overbought too rapidly. 

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The only element that could disturb the strategy currently unfolding, is if more headwinds arise from concerns surrounding covid variants. XLM would then see its pennant breaking to the downside and testing $0.28, possibly even with an attempt towards $0.26, which was held successfully at the beginning of October. Should that break, however, expect bulls to step in and defend $0.20, a key psychological level at the June as well as the July lows.

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Stellar price analysis: Price takes upturn to $0.342 after bullish drift

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  • XLM value has improved up to $0.342.
  • Stellar price analysis confirms bullish trend.
  • Support is fixed at $0.307 level.

The bulls have successfully made a comeback in the last 24-hours because of the sudden rise in buying activity. The bulls have been maintaining their leading position for the past few days as a constant rise in XLM/USD value can be determined. Today, the price showed a bullish inclination once again due to buyers pressure. The uptrend has enhanced the coin value up to $0.342 high.

XLM/USD 1-day price chart: Price gains stability above $0.342 after bullish trend

The one-day Stellar price analysis shows increasing chances of recovery for the bulls as a rise in XLM/USD value is observed. The price covered an upward movement today; as a result, the coin value has heightened up to $0.342. This is a promising sign for the buyers, as earlier, the situation was quite critical because of the downswing. The price is now standing higher than its moving average (MA) value which is $0.333.

Stellar price analysis: Price takes upturn to $0.342 after bullish drift 1

The volatility is decreasing because of the constriction between the Bollinger bands, which is a positive sign regarding the upcoming trends. If we talk about the upper Bollinger band, its value is $0.389, whereas the lower Bollinger band shows $0.307 of value. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) score is at 47.92 now after the recent upturn.

Stellar price analysis: Bullish rally elevates coin value up to $0.342 peak

The four hours Stellar price analysis confirms a strong bullish trend as the price has undergone an extraordinary improvement in the last few hours. The overall recovery has been phenomenal as the price has surpassed the $0.342 hurdle in the last four hours. It can be highly expected that the price will soon cross the $0.346 resistance in the next few hours. The moving average value in the four hours price chart is standing at $0.333.

Stellar price analysis: Price takes upturn to $0.342 after bullish drift 2
XLM/USD 4-hours price chart. Source: TradingView

The volatility is increasing, which is alarming as more downtrends might come ahead. The upper Bollinger band value has thus changed to $0.346, whereas the lower Bollinger band value has now shifted to $0.306. The RSI score jumped high to 61.58 as the bulls have been leading the market for a while.

Stellar price analysis: Price takes upturn to $0.342 after bullish drift 3
XLM/USD technical indicators chart. Source: TradingView

A strong rise in selling activity has been observed over the span of the past few months. Hence the technical indicators chart supports the bears. There is a selling indication with 11 indicators on the selling mark, ten indicators on the neutral, and five on the buying mark.

The Moving Averages Indicator is also dictating loss for the cryptocurrency by giving a bearish signal. There are ten indicators on the selling position, four on the buying, and only one in the neutral position. The oscillators show a neutral trend for the day as nine oscillators are on the neutral level, while one oscillator each is on the selling and buying levels.

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Stellar price analysis conclusion

The hourly and daily price predictions for XLM/USD are going in the bullish direction for the day because of the sudden recovery. The uptrend is at its peak as the price has reached $0.342 height in the last 24-hours. Further upside is to follow in the next few days if the buyers put in efforts to achieve their next target.

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