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If bitcoin doesn’t need banks, should I buy bitcoin ETFs?

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The launch of the first US Bitcoin ETF, the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (ticker: BITO) helped propel bitcoin to new all-time highs.

This was a milestone for the asset management industry, further integrating Bitcoin into traditional finance.

A big question raised this week was whether it’s worth buying a bitcoin ETF, especially one that is tied to futures (not spot).

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That’s the issue that some members of the investment community may have been struggling with since the fund’s launch on Tuesday. With the expectation that there are more such products on the horizon, let’s try to better understand the advantages and disadvantages of investing in a bitcoin ETF.

A first advantage, especially for those who do not have enough time or knowledge to minimally actively manage their investments. Actively managed BITO provides exposure to bitcoin without having to worry about “storage”, using so-called private keys and/or digital wallets to do so.

On the other hand, the best and most economical way to own bitcoin or other cryptocurrency is directly, and yet, traditional brokerages offer relatively low fees compared to administration and custody fees charged by ETFs.

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The ProShares ETF proved to be the 2nd most traded fund launch on record, with more than 24 million shares changing hands on the 1st day, and reached $1.2 billion in assets after just 2 trading days.

futures

The head of the SEC (the US CVM), Gary Gensler, has suggested that a futures-linked bitcoin ETF offers better investor protections than an ETF that is backed by spot cryptocurrencies.

A key criticism of a bitcoin futures ETF is that managing futures contracts can be expensive compared to direct ownership.

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Futures are contracts that give the buyer exposure to the price movements of an asset, usually with monthly expiration dates.

A future ETF involves the cost of “rolling over” contracts that expire soon into future months, which would likely be passed on to the end user.

Also, when the prices of a futures contract are higher for futures months contracts, the market is said to be in contango. That is, you will pay more to exit the expiring contract and enter the new one.

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On the other hand, when shorter-term contracts cost more than longer-term contracts, this is called backwardation.

Graphs exemplifying Backwardation x Contango
Backwardation x Contango | Source: Cointimes.

For those who don’t feel confident going to a brokerage or owning their own private keys, the bitcoin ETF can be a good place to start. But, it should be kept in mind that it also has its costs and risks.

“Veterans are not buying” (“Veterans are not buying”)

Despite the hype about the debut of the first Bitcoin-linked ETF, many proven crypto enthusiasts aren’t planning to buy it anytime soon.

This move was a big step for the traditional market. But bitcoin’s central goal is still to bypass Wall Street and democratize the financial sector.

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Some Bitcoin advocates claim that the ETF, in some terms, defeats Bitcoin’s fundamental purpose: autonomy and ownership.

Cathie Wood of Ark Investment Management said she did not buy the BITO fund on its first trading day because she wants to better understand the tax ramifications of ETF futures exposures first.

Despite all this, it is worth reinforcing several positive points in favor of ETFs, such as: you do not need to worry about their custody, the ease of portfolio planning, the simple way to manage investments, the security involved (since the custody is usually done by specialized companies), among other points.

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In summary, it is not possible to say in a binary way whether the bitcoin ETF is or is not a good investment alternative. It all depends on your investor profile, your intentions and objectives when investing in bitcoin, and your strategy.

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Bitcoin

Mike Novogratz Expects Bitcoin to Stay Above $42,000

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Mike Novogratz says that it would be surprising to see Bitcoin below $40,000

Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz believes that the price of Bitcoin is not going to fall below $40,000.

The crypto mogul told CNBC host Joe Kernen earlier today that he would be surprised to see the biggest cryptocurrency revisiting the aforementioned price level.

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Novogratz is convinced that $42,000 will remain at the bottom of the ongoing correction.
 

I think $42,000 should hold, that should be the bottom of this move. It would surprise me if it went below $40,000.
 

Bitcoin suddenly collapsed 21% on Dec. 4, making crypto traders dust off their $20,000 charts.

The cryptocurrency managed to recover to $52,000 on Dec. 8, but it was rejected there.

At press time, Bitcoin is trading down 2.7%, slightly above the $49,000 level on cryptocurrency exchange Bitstamp.

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Novogratz claims that Bitcoin going below $40,000 would result in a significant sentiment shift, adding that such a dramatic drop would make him scratch his head.

The crypto boss remains optimistic due to the increasing number of people participating in the industry:

There’s so many more people participating on it. It’s hard for me to see if going below.

However, as reported by U.Today, growth investor Louis Navellier recently said that Bitcoin could drop to $10,000 if it were to lose the do-or-die $28,500 support level that managed to hold during a dramatic correction in summer.

After a streak of unsuccessful predictions in 2018, the hedge fund veteran made a prescient call about Bitcoin reclaiming its previous record high of $20,000 by the end of 2020.

Bitcoin is now up 73% in 2021, significantly underperforming some of the top altcoins.

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Ethereum

Top Trader Says Ethereum Looks Exceptionally Bullish, Unveils Targets for Bitcoin and Explosive Altcoin Terra

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A popular crypto analyst believes Ethereum (ETH), Bitcoin (BTC) and one altcoin are about to blast off and leave the recent market-wide slump in the dust.

The pseudonymous crypto strategist and trader Kaleo tells his 454,000 Twitter followers that ETH’s time to shine has arrived as the “king” of the layer-1 blockchain protocols.

The analyst says,

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“ETH is so bullish after the most recent flush it’s not even funny.

We’ve seen a major rotation play among the alt [Layer-1s] the past few months.

It only makes sense that the king of the L1s finally has a chance to suck liquidity from the rest of the market and have a run of its own.”

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Ethereum is about even on the day, trading for $4,346 at time of writing.

Kaleo next looks at Bitcoin and says he still believes the top crypto will reach at least $100,000 during the current cycle.

“I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again – I still expect to see Bitcoin have a parabolic move to top out at $100K+ this cycle.

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I’ll gladly start scaling out around $150K. I expect it to go higher, but I’m not concerned with nailing the top. Until then, just keep stacking.”

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Source: Kaleo/Twitter

BTC currently sits at $50,900 after having battled back from a flash-crash low around the $43,500 level on December 3rd.

Lastly, the crypto analyst lays out his price prediction for the Terra (LUNA) protocol, whose native token LUNA underpins a suite of decentralized stablecoins.

Kaleo tells his followers that Terra reaching the $100 threshold is inevitable.

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“LUNA going to $100 from here is only a matter of time.”

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Source: Kaleo/Twitter

LUNA has seen some wild price action in recent days, with the altcoin tumbling from $69.66 to $53.64 late last week before surging to $77.37 on Sunday.

The 10th-ranked crypto has since corrected but is back up 5% on the day to $70.74.

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin SV Coin Struggling Near Vital DMA lines, In Sideways Consolidation

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  • Bitcoin SV coin is trading sideways over the larger time frame, with a substantial consolidation over the past few months. 
  • The crypto asset is currently placed under the narrow range of $100 to $200 while trying to suppress its 20, 50, 100, and 200-day lines.
  • The pair of BTC/BTC is trading at 0.003027 BTC with an intraday gain of +3.21%, and the ratio of BTC/ETH is CMP at 0.03489 ETH with a minor 24-hour change of +1.91%.  
Chart of BSV/USD by Tradingview

Bitcoin SV coin at the monthly chart is trading sideways, with solid consolidation. Currently, the coin is trying to suppress its all vital moving averages of 20, 50, 100, and 200-day lines. The overall short to long-term trend is still neutral, as it is struggling near all vital moving averages. Volume activity over the chart increases and needs to grow strongly for the breakout from the sideways pattern. The breakout from the sideways pattern will create a substantial upside in upcoming trading sessions, which needs supportive volume activity to grow. The sustainability above the breakout level of $200, with supportive volume activity, will boost more upside to $240 to $270. Support on the lower side is $125 and $100, whereas resistance on the higher side is $180 and $200.

Bitcoin SV coin is trading under the roller coaster at the 4-hour time frame

Chart of BSV/USD by Tradingview

Bitcoin SV coin is trading under the roller coaster at the 4-hour time frame. Meanwhile, the technical parameters presently showcase substantial volatility, with good volume activity. Volume activity at the weekly chart is higher and needs to maintain above its average volume activity. BSV price is trading at $149 with an intraday drop of -1.84%, and the volume to market cap ratio is 0.2866.

relative Strength Index (CAUTION): Bitcoin SV coin RSI is heading lower, after testing the overbought zone. The coin moves lower with a substantial upsurge from the lower levels and RSI at 54. 

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (CAUTION): The daily chart projects a caution trend with a bearish crossover at the 4-hour time frame. The buyer’s signal line (green) is heading towards the seller’s line (red) for the upcoming negative crossover.  

Support levels: $125 and $100

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Resistance levels: $180 and $200.

DISCLAIMER

The views and opinions stated by the author, or any people named in this article, are for informational ideas only, and they do not establish the financial, investment, or other advice. Investing in or trading crypto assets comes with a risk of financial loss.

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