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Bitcoin bull market ‘2nd leg has started,’ says BTC price model creator

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Bitcoin (BTC) marking a new high of $67,000 last week has opened the possibility of hitting $100,000 by the end of this year.

PlanB, creator of the popular Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model, called Bitcoin’s price retracement from the $60,000-level the “2nd leg” of what appeared like a long-term bull market.

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In doing so, the pseudonymous analyst cited S2F, which anticipates Bitcoin to continue its leg higher and reach $100,000 to $135,000 by the end of the year.

The price projection model insists that Bitcoin’s value will keep on growing until at least $288,000 per token due to the “halving,” an event that takes place every four years and reduces BTC’s issuance rate by half against its 21 million supply cap. 

Bitcoin after the 2012, 2016 and 2020 halving. Source: PlanB

Notably, Bitcoin has undergone three halvings so far: in 2012, 2016 and 2020.

Each event decreased the cryptocurrency’s new supply rate by 50%, which was followed by notable increases in BTC price. For instance, the first two halvings prompted BTC price to rise by over 10,000% and 2,960%, respectively.

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The third halving caused the price to jump from $8,787 to as high as $66,999, a 667.50% increase. So far, S2F has been largely accurate in predicting Bitcoin’s price trajectory, as shown in the chart below, leaving bulls with higher hopes that Bitcoin’s post-halving rally will have its price cross the $100,000 mark.

Bitcoin S2F as of Oct. 26. Source: PlanB

PlanB noted earlier this year that Bitcoin will reach $98,000 by November and $135,000 by December, adding that the only thing that would stop the cryptocurrency from hitting a six-digit value is “a black swan event” that the market has not seen in the last decade.

An 80% crash later

Despite the high price projections, Bitcoin can still see big corrections in the future. PlanB thinks the next crash could wipe at least 80% off Bitcoin’s market capitalization, based on the same S2F model.

Related: COVID-19 vaccine will spark Bitcoin ‘crash’ — Rich Dad Poor Dad author

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“Everybody hopes for the supercycle or the ‘hyperbitcoinization’ to start right now and that we do not have a big crash after next all-time highs,” the analyst told the Unchained podcast, adding.

“As much as I would hope that were true, that we don’t see that crash anymore, I think we will. […] I think we’ll be managed by greed right now and fear later on and see another minus 80% after we top out at a couple hundred thousand dollars.”

BTC/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

But not everyone thinks the next correction will be as dramatic as the previous ones. Dan Morehead, CEO of Pantera Capital, said in mid-October that the next Bitcoin price drop will be less than 80%, citing a consistent drop in selling sentiment after each halving cycle.

Last week, Bitcoin established a new record high at around $67,000 following a 53% rally in October so far. But the new highs prompted profit-taking among traders, resulting in retests of the $60,000 support level.

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Bitcoin

Mike Novogratz Expects Bitcoin to Stay Above $42,000

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Mike Novogratz says that it would be surprising to see Bitcoin below $40,000

Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz believes that the price of Bitcoin is not going to fall below $40,000.

The crypto mogul told CNBC host Joe Kernen earlier today that he would be surprised to see the biggest cryptocurrency revisiting the aforementioned price level.

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Novogratz is convinced that $42,000 will remain at the bottom of the ongoing correction.
 

I think $42,000 should hold, that should be the bottom of this move. It would surprise me if it went below $40,000.
 

Bitcoin suddenly collapsed 21% on Dec. 4, making crypto traders dust off their $20,000 charts.

The cryptocurrency managed to recover to $52,000 on Dec. 8, but it was rejected there.

At press time, Bitcoin is trading down 2.7%, slightly above the $49,000 level on cryptocurrency exchange Bitstamp.

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Novogratz claims that Bitcoin going below $40,000 would result in a significant sentiment shift, adding that such a dramatic drop would make him scratch his head.

The crypto boss remains optimistic due to the increasing number of people participating in the industry:

There’s so many more people participating on it. It’s hard for me to see if going below.

However, as reported by U.Today, growth investor Louis Navellier recently said that Bitcoin could drop to $10,000 if it were to lose the do-or-die $28,500 support level that managed to hold during a dramatic correction in summer.

After a streak of unsuccessful predictions in 2018, the hedge fund veteran made a prescient call about Bitcoin reclaiming its previous record high of $20,000 by the end of 2020.

Bitcoin is now up 73% in 2021, significantly underperforming some of the top altcoins.

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Ethereum

Top Trader Says Ethereum Looks Exceptionally Bullish, Unveils Targets for Bitcoin and Explosive Altcoin Terra

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A popular crypto analyst believes Ethereum (ETH), Bitcoin (BTC) and one altcoin are about to blast off and leave the recent market-wide slump in the dust.

The pseudonymous crypto strategist and trader Kaleo tells his 454,000 Twitter followers that ETH’s time to shine has arrived as the “king” of the layer-1 blockchain protocols.

The analyst says,

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“ETH is so bullish after the most recent flush it’s not even funny.

We’ve seen a major rotation play among the alt [Layer-1s] the past few months.

It only makes sense that the king of the L1s finally has a chance to suck liquidity from the rest of the market and have a run of its own.”

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Ethereum is about even on the day, trading for $4,346 at time of writing.

Kaleo next looks at Bitcoin and says he still believes the top crypto will reach at least $100,000 during the current cycle.

“I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again – I still expect to see Bitcoin have a parabolic move to top out at $100K+ this cycle.

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I’ll gladly start scaling out around $150K. I expect it to go higher, but I’m not concerned with nailing the top. Until then, just keep stacking.”

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Source: Kaleo/Twitter

BTC currently sits at $50,900 after having battled back from a flash-crash low around the $43,500 level on December 3rd.

Lastly, the crypto analyst lays out his price prediction for the Terra (LUNA) protocol, whose native token LUNA underpins a suite of decentralized stablecoins.

Kaleo tells his followers that Terra reaching the $100 threshold is inevitable.

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“LUNA going to $100 from here is only a matter of time.”

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Source: Kaleo/Twitter

LUNA has seen some wild price action in recent days, with the altcoin tumbling from $69.66 to $53.64 late last week before surging to $77.37 on Sunday.

The 10th-ranked crypto has since corrected but is back up 5% on the day to $70.74.

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Bitcoin SV Coin Struggling Near Vital DMA lines, In Sideways Consolidation

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  • Bitcoin SV coin is trading sideways over the larger time frame, with a substantial consolidation over the past few months. 
  • The crypto asset is currently placed under the narrow range of $100 to $200 while trying to suppress its 20, 50, 100, and 200-day lines.
  • The pair of BTC/BTC is trading at 0.003027 BTC with an intraday gain of +3.21%, and the ratio of BTC/ETH is CMP at 0.03489 ETH with a minor 24-hour change of +1.91%.  
Chart of BSV/USD by Tradingview

Bitcoin SV coin at the monthly chart is trading sideways, with solid consolidation. Currently, the coin is trying to suppress its all vital moving averages of 20, 50, 100, and 200-day lines. The overall short to long-term trend is still neutral, as it is struggling near all vital moving averages. Volume activity over the chart increases and needs to grow strongly for the breakout from the sideways pattern. The breakout from the sideways pattern will create a substantial upside in upcoming trading sessions, which needs supportive volume activity to grow. The sustainability above the breakout level of $200, with supportive volume activity, will boost more upside to $240 to $270. Support on the lower side is $125 and $100, whereas resistance on the higher side is $180 and $200.

Bitcoin SV coin is trading under the roller coaster at the 4-hour time frame

Chart of BSV/USD by Tradingview

Bitcoin SV coin is trading under the roller coaster at the 4-hour time frame. Meanwhile, the technical parameters presently showcase substantial volatility, with good volume activity. Volume activity at the weekly chart is higher and needs to maintain above its average volume activity. BSV price is trading at $149 with an intraday drop of -1.84%, and the volume to market cap ratio is 0.2866.

relative Strength Index (CAUTION): Bitcoin SV coin RSI is heading lower, after testing the overbought zone. The coin moves lower with a substantial upsurge from the lower levels and RSI at 54. 

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (CAUTION): The daily chart projects a caution trend with a bearish crossover at the 4-hour time frame. The buyer’s signal line (green) is heading towards the seller’s line (red) for the upcoming negative crossover.  

Support levels: $125 and $100

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Resistance levels: $180 and $200.

DISCLAIMER

The views and opinions stated by the author, or any people named in this article, are for informational ideas only, and they do not establish the financial, investment, or other advice. Investing in or trading crypto assets comes with a risk of financial loss.

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