- Litecoin price consolidates below a crucial demand zone extending from $210 to $232.
- A decisive close above this barrier will propel LTC to $300.
- On-chain metrics reveal massive headwinds for the altcoin.
Litecoin price is in a tough spot as technicals hint at a bullish outlook if the altcoin can manage to close above one particular hurdle. However, on-chain metrics indicate that an ascent would be an uphill battle. Therefore, investors need to be careful with taking on LTC.
Litecoin price in an ambiguous situation
Litecoin price set up a swing high at $232 on September 5 and began its 40% descent. This downswing breached the previous swing low at $162, indicating a downswing is in play. Therefore, it is obvious to assume that a bunch of traders positioned themselves short on the October 21 swing high at $214.
The stop losses for these positions are placed above the $210 to $232 supply zone. A decisive daily close above $232 will put many investors that went short in a challenging situation and force them to buy back their positions at a higher price.
If Litecoin price stays above this barrier, it would be an indication to go long. A perfect retest of the $210 to $232 demand zone will likely propel Litecoin price to the next hurdle at $294. In some cases, the uptrend might extend to a psychological level at $300. This run-up from the current position would constitute a 55% gain.
LTC/USDT 1-day chart
Supporting this bullish outlook for Litecoin price is the 365-day and the 30-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) model. This on-chain metric is used to determine the average profit/loss of investors that purchased LTC over the past year or month.
From the looks of it, both time frames show that the MVRV is in the safe zone, suggesting that a sell-off from the holders is unlikely since they are not profitable.
LTC 30-day, 365-day MVRV chart
While the MVRV chart shows the possibility of an uptrend, IntoTheBlock’s In/Out of the Money Around Price (IOMAP) model shows that LTC will face resistance from a massive chunk of underwater investors.
At roughly $200, nearly 132,000 addresses that purchased 4.73 million LTC are “Out of the Money.” Beyond this, a similar cluster of underwater investors bought 12.59 million LTC at an average price of $265.09.
Therefore, clearing the demand zone’s upper limit at $232 will flip the first chunk of underwater investors profitable and serve as a tailwind. If this buying pressure persists and propels LTC past $265, it will solidify Litecoin price’s bullish thesis, i.e. a move to $300.
LTC IOMAP chart
However, a failure to flip $200 will provide bears an advantage and knock LTC down to the $162 support floor. If Litecoin price breaks down the $135 foothold, it will invalidate the bullish thesis and drag LTC down with it and perhaps visit $115.
Litecoin Forecast and Analysis December 3, 2021
LTC/USD are traded at the level of 204.06 and continue to move within the correction and the downward channel. The capitalization of the Litecoin cryptocurrency at the time of the publication of the forecast is $14,068,777,013. Moving averages indicate a short-term sideways trend in Litecoin. Prices went down from the area between the signal lines, which indicates pressure from the sellers of the asset and a potential continuation of the fall from the current levels. At the moment, we should expect an attempt to develop a correction in the value of a digital asset and a test of the support level near the area of 185.05. Where can we expect a rebound upward again and a continuation of the rise in the Litecoin rate with a potential target above the level of 255.05.
Litecoin Forecast and Analysis December 3, 2021
An additional signal in favor of raising the LTC/USD quotes will be a test of the support line on the relative strength index (RSI). The second signal will be a rebound from the lower border of the Head and Shoulders reversal pattern. Cancellation of the coin growth option will be a fall in the value of the asset and a breakdown of the 175.05 area. This will indicate a breakdown of the support area and a continued fall in the cryptocurrency rate with a potential target below 135.05. With the breakdown of the resistance area and closing of quotations above the level of 225.05, we should expect confirmation of the development of the bullish trend in Litecoin and the beginning of the development of the “Head and Shoulders” reversal pattern.
Litecoin Forecast and Analysis December 3, 2021 suggests an attempt to correct and test the support area near the level of 185.05. Where can we expect a rebound and continued growth in the LTC/USD price to the area above the level of 255.05. An additional signal in favor of an increase in Litecoin will be a test of the trend line on the relative strength index (RSI). Cancellation of the growth option will be a fall and a breakdown of the 175.05 area. This will indicate a continued fall in the cryptocurrency with a target below 135.05.
Litecoin price must hold critical support to avoid crash to $100
- Litecoin price action is precarious as it flirts with final support zones that would threaten a deep sell-off.
- $180 represents the most vital area of support for Litecoin, which it must hold.
- Recent whipsaws in Litecoin’s movement make upside potential difficult.
Litecoin price shows significant weakness on its daily chart, with the current support at $200 showing signs of failure.
Litecoin price could retest its final and most substantial level of support at $180
Litecoin price is currently trading against some strong support at the $200 level, though the support is unlikely to hold and more downside is expected. $200 is not just an important and natural psychological number, but it is also the 50% Fibonacci retracement. The daily Tenkan-Sen (blue moving average) is just above the $200 level at $205.
While those levels all indicate a collection of strong near-term support, the position of the Chikou Span and the Cloud warn that $200 may not hold. The Cloud up ahead shifts, abruptly, much higher over the next two trade days.
Additionally, by Sunday (December 5th), if Litecoin is still trading in the same value area, the Chikou Span will slide below the candlesticks, and Litecoin price will shift below the Cloud. Consolidation: here is not a supportive condition but rather a bearish warning sign.
$180 is the strongest and final support zone for Litecoin price. The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 2021 Volume Point Of Control all reside within the $180 level. Failure to hold $180 could trigger a move to retest the June 2021 lows at the $100 value area.
LTC/USD Daily Ichimoku Chart
Litecoin price must close above the daily Kijun-Sen and Cloud at the $240 value area to invalidate any near-term bearish expectations. Traders should look for any major bullish spike that would result from the daily candlesticks respecting Senkou Span A (top of the Cloud) as support. Sharp and fast moves higher on Saturday and Sunday would be expected in that event.
Litecoin price analysis: LTC steps down to $205 as bears pierce through bullish momentum
- Price dropped down to $205.6 level.
- Litecoin price analysis supports the bears.
- Support is still stable at $198.5.
The Litecoin price analysis shows the price is headed down as a downshift in price trend has been recorded today. The bearish strike has impacted the cryptocurrency value as a decrease in price has been observed. The bearish impulse has taken the LTC/USD value down to the $205.6 limit, as bears managed to make an entry amid the recent bullish momentum. So, overall the cryptocurrency has been following a decreasing trend for today.
LTC/USD 1-day price chart: Price takes a turn downwards
The one-day Litecoin price analysis is showing unexpected results for the coin today, as a downward movement has been recorded. The bearish strike has been quite of an impact as the price has moved down to the $205.6 level in the last 24 hours. The price function had been quite stable during the past week as a continuous upwards trend was observed. The moving average indicator (MA) is present at a value of $205.98, just above the price level.
The red candlestick in the 1-day price chart is signaling a decrease in the price of LTC/USD today. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) curve has come down to index 46 because of the bearish intervention. The Bollinger bands’ values have changed during the day as well, and now the upper band is showing a $264 value, and the lower band is showing a $176 value.
Litecoin price analysis: Recent developments and further technical indications
The four hours Litecoin price analysis is predicting a restoration of the upward trend again as the price has started to climb again in the past few hours. Although the LTC/USD has been facing a strict decline earlier today, the price has turned towards the upside in the last eight hours. However, the LTC price is still below the moving average value, which stands at $209.
The volatility has been mild on the 4-hour chart, which is why the Bollinger bands average has not changed much and is present at $207, representing resistance for LTC. Meanwhile, the upper Bollinger band is present at the $217 mark, and the lower Bollinger band is at the $196 mark representing support for LTC. The RSI is trading at index 48 on an upwards slope, hinting at the restoration of buyers’ momentum.
The overall indications for the cryptocurrency are on the bearish side because of the larger trend to be downwards. There are 10 indicators that are standing on the neutral position, 11 indicators are on the selling position, and five indicators on buying position, out of a total of 26 technical indicators available for analysis.
Litecoin price analysis conclusion
The Litecoin price analysis suggests after getting hit by the bears, LTC is regaining the momentum as the price has been traveling upwards during the last few hours. We expect the recovery to follow for a few hours more before facing resistance at the $207 level again.