Solana [SOL], now ranked fourth by market cap, set another all-time high of $257 on 7 November. In fact, to many, it seems like SOL won’t stop for quite some time. In the last year alone, the crypto-asset has accrued over 11,216% ROI to its HODLers.
After Solana flipped Cardano to take the fourth spot, there were speculations that BNB’s third spot wouldn’t be held strongly for long too and, SOL could eventually take over. But, what contributed to this hike and how will SOL’s trajectory look?
FUD fears no more
Solana’s trajectory so far has been monumental. In fact, in just three months, the altcoin rose by 945.66%. While the NFT hype was a key driver behind SOL’s price growth, its utility and growth in the DeFi space have favored the uptrend.
In the last week alone, Solana’s Total Value Locked increased sharply and hit a new ATH of $14.5 billion. Notably, DEXs continued to grow steadily at $7.4 billion while TVL of the asset sector increased strongly too.
At the same time, the lending sector’s TVL increased strongly and touched $1.77 billion, growing by 74.25%. All in all, this seemed to be a good sign for lending on Solana in the near future.
However, SOL’s path to the fourth spot hasn’t been too pleasant. Solana has had its share of defeats. Nonetheless, it seems like Solana has been largely unaffected by such FUDs.
More recently, the network was accused of sharing fraudulent figures about SOL’s circulating supply by Justin Bons, CEO of Cyber Capital. The FUD didn’t weaken SOL’s rally, however. In fact, an ATH followed soon after the claims were made.
Likewise, in September, Solana’s network outage, one which many feared would pull the asset down by many ranks, only fueled some short-term price turbulence. Put simply, seems like Solana has maintained some strong resistance against FUDs and social conundrums.
So, what’s behind the rally?
Solana has maintained low volatility, reaping steady ROIs for its holders in both the long term and the short term. Solana’s volatility was at 0.98, close to its lowest year-to-date (YTD) levels. Further, the asset has been comparatively low risk, with its high Sharpe ratio highlighting the same.
Solana also claims to be a more scalable and cheaper alternative to Ethereum. The Ethereum network, for instance, can only handle about 12-14 transactions a second. On the contrary, Solana claims to be able to handle 50,000 TPS, making it one of the quickest blockchains in the market.
Other than that, developments like the sales of the Tungsten Cube NFT on Solana that raised $100,000 last month further pushed the asset’s and blockchain’s value. Thus, while SOL’s growth in the future looks promising, entering the market is what’s going to be tricky since the alt is already oscillating close to its ATH.
A short-term correction, however, can present a good buy opportunity and an effective trading strategy would be support/resistance trading. However, doing your own research would be the best way to go.
Solana price positioned for new bull rally towards $275
- Solana price breaks out above bull flag, indicating uptrend continuation.
- Moving and holding above $220 is essential to continue bullish momentum.
- Failure to extend higher here could see new monthly lows.
Solana price has hugged the top of the Cloud (Senkou Span A) as its primary support level for the past week. The respect of Senkou Span A as support has resulted in Solana moving and closing above one of the two Ichimoku levels necessary to confirm a new uptrend.
Solana price must close above the $220 value area before testing $275
Solana price is up against its primary and final Ichimoku resistance level on the daily Ichimoku chart. The Kijun-Sen within the Ichimoku system represents medium-term support and resistance and is the primary level for intraday and intraweek trading strategies within the Ichimoku system. The Kijun-Sen at the $220 level is precisely where Solana finds itself pushing against.
A daily close of Solana price above $220 provides more protection from near-term downside movement than it does upside potential for a couple of reasons. First, a close above the Kijun-Sen would convert the Kijun-Sen from a resistance level to support. Second, because retests of breakouts from bull flags are extremely common, the combination of the Kijun-Sen and top of the bull flag create a double-support structure.
SOL/USDT Daily Ichimoku Chart
Solana price does have downside risks. The Composite Index has created a high above the previous high peak on November 21st, while the candlestick chart shows the current daily high is lower than the November 21st high. This creates a condition known as hidden bearish divergence – a warning that the current drive higher may fail.
It is essential that Solana price close above the November 21st open of $217, or the hidden bearish divergence may push Solana back into the bull flag and likely even lower to test the bottom of the Cloud (Senkou Span B) at $184.
Will Solana [SOL] give Ethereum [ETH] a run for the money?
Solana is showing a promising situation in terms of attracting more projects, and it seems the battle with Ethereum continues strongly. There are many projects announcing every day about migration from Ethereum to the Solana network.
It seems the gas price and scalability features of the latter are attracting them significantly. Although Ethereum itself is in a good position because of various sectors like DeFi, NFT, and metaverse running on it, Solana has been successful in hosting more projects and may give Ethereum a run for the money.
One of the latest projects announcing a migration to Ethereum is Crowny. Crowny is a platform that connects users to their loved brands. It rewards users for engaging with their lived brands and is growing fast in terms of attracting users. According to the latest announcement on Twitter, the platform is set to migrate from Ethereum to Solana on December 8th. The real reason behind this migration is lower costs per transaction on Solana compared to Ethereum.
Besides, the scalability features let Crowny and Raydium grow faster and attract more users. According to the announcement, the Crowny team believes in Solana’s various features:
“Solana blockchain offers extremely low costs per transaction and ensures limitless scalability for years to come. This cutting-edge architecture is all about speed. It’s the fastest blockchain around. As hardware improves, so does the network.”
Another good news for the Solana community comes from the famous decentralized web browser Brave. Brave browser announced some days ago that it partners with Solana to integrate that blockchain into the browser and make it the default for dApp support. It’s great news for Solana because Brave is currently one of the most famous browsers in the market. It can benefit developers on Solana who can provide their dApps to a bugger user-base in this scenario.
Brave has 42 million monthly active users and 1.3 million verified creators. The reason for choosing Solana is the same as Crowny. Lower transaction fees and supporting fast Web3 applications are great benefits of this blockchain. Brendan Eich, CEO, and co-founder of Brave said:
“With more and more users and creators requiring tools for fast and affordable access to the decentralized Web, this integration will seamlessly pave the way for the next billion crypto users to harness applications and tokens.”
More users and projects on Solana means more opportunities for growth in this ecosystem. When the migrations from Ethereum to Solana grow, it shows great benefits in the competition that can even result in higher deployments and higher prices for the SOL token.
This is causing users to choose Solana over Ethereum
Ethereum’s gas fees and speeds are costing not just users, but the ecosystem itself as more and more players are migrating to rival blockchains.
The latest stakeholder to make the move is Crowny – an app rewarding shoppers for various interactions with brands. The date for its migration to Solana is slated for 8 December.
The date for the Migration to @Solana is set!🚀
December 8th is when Crowny and @RaydiumProtocol make it happen, more details will follow!🔥 pic.twitter.com/Wzog22VoNc— Crowny 🔗 Our Beta App Is Live (@crownyio) November 29, 2021
In a Twitter thread, Crowny stated,
“Solana blockchain offers extremely low costs per transaction and ensures limitless scalability for years to come. This cutting edge architecture is all about speed. It’s the fastest blockchain around. As hardware improves, so does the network.”
Moving day is here
Choosing Solana over Ethereum isn’t a novel incident. In July 2021, Powerledger, an Australian company in the area of technology and energy, decided to move its platform from Ethereum to Solana.
Co-founder and executive chairman Dr. Jemma Green had commented,
“Our new blockchain platform based on Solana will be tens of thousands of times faster than Ethereum but also energy efficient. As we started this project to allow renewables to be scaled, part of our mission is to be light on our own carbon footprint.”
Another example is the privacy-protecting Internet browser Brave. The company announced a partnership with Solana at the Breakpoint Lisbon event in Portugal. Brave’s official release stated,
“High transaction fees seen on Ethereum (due to increased interest in crypto and DeFi) have held some users back from transacting. Solana is the fastest blockchain in the world and provides the opportunity to scale blockchain transactions for as little as $0.001 – $0.002 USD per transaction, providing significant cost savings for users.”
Furthermore, the Brave crypto wallet is set to integrate Solana in 2022, for decentralized app support.
Looking at these migrations and the reasons for the same, it appears that speed, fees, and energy efficiency are thorns on Ethereum’s side.
Time to pull out the roadmap
Needless to say, there’s a lot of pressure to bring Ethereum up to speed – literally. At the last All Core Devs meeting, Ethereum developers discussed diverse proposals to reduce transaction fees, which are also rising in rollups.
Developer Tim Beiko also noted that time was of the essence. He claimed that the proposals needed to ship before a fork in February.