- Solana price dropped 9% during market-wide sell-offs in response to uncertainty involving the Evergrande fiasco.
- Buyers stepped in and rallied Solana back above the daily Tenkan-Sen.
- Upside potential is limited while downside risks remain.
Solana price was at more risk of a catastrophic move lower during Wednesday’s selling pressure than most cryptocurrencies. It is a testament to Solana’s strength and bullish sentiment that not only was the retracement limited, but Solana continued to trade near its all-time highs. Two trade possibilities are now present.
Solana bounces hard after market-wide sell-off, but the near-term direction is not clear
Solana price has a theoretical long setup with a buy stop order at $252.50, a stop loss at $242.50 and a profit target at $297.50. However, the entry has some conditions to trigger. At least a triple-top or split triple-top must form at $250 for the entry to become valid. The reason for this is due to the extended column of Xs in the current X column. Therefore, a pullback is necessary to confirm that any breakout above $250 would likely be sustainable. Additionally, while the projected profit target is at $297.75, the psychological number of $300 will likely be the most likely to get hit.
SOL/USDT $2.50/3-box Reversal Point and Figure Chart
The long side of the trade will be invalidated if the current X-column hits the entry before a triple-top develops or if Solana price moves below $220.
On the short side of the market, a hypothetical short entry is developing based on a Pole Pattern. The short entry idea would be a sell stop order at the three-box reversal of the current X-column (currently at $230 at the time of publishing), a stop loss of four boxes and a projected profit target at $155 – but the downside profit may be limited to the support structure on the uptrend angle at $180.
SOL/USDT $5.00/3-box Reversal Point and Figure Chart
If Solana reaches the $300 value area, then the hypothetical short entry idea is invalidated.
$2.6 Billion Bug in Solana Program Library Disclosed: Details
Researchers from Neodyme, a boutique team focused on security audits, noticed a critical vulnerability in Solana’s codebase
In their latest blog post, crypto security researchers from Neodyme shared the design of an attack that may be profitable for “expensive” tokens integrated into Solana (SOL) ecosystem.
“One Lambo per hour”
As per the announcement shared in Neodyme’s social network and blog, its members noticed a bug in the token-lending contract of the Solana Program Library. As such, it affected numerous Solana-based DeFi protocols.
We recently discovered a critical bug in the token-lending contract of the solana-program-library (SPL). This blog post details our journey from discovery, through exploitation and coordinated disclosure, and finally the fix.— Neodyme (@Neodyme) December 3, 2021
Aggregated total value locked (TVL) at risk was over $2,600,000,000. The design of the hypothetical attack was quite simple: while depositing n fractional tokens, a user is able to withdraw n+1 fractional tokens.
With Solana’s native token, SOL, it will not be effective economically, as 1 Lamport (the smallest fraction of SOL, like Satoshi for Bitcoin, Wei for Ether and Drop for XRP) is only worth about $0.000000220.
However, for Ether and Bitcoin, this scenario can be very profitable. With some technical upgrades, the attack can be executed about 300 times per second. In this case, losses can be dramatic:
We can get this transaction included about 300 times per second, stealing $7500 per second or about $27 million an hour (that is one Lamborghini Huracan every minute).
In automated mode, this attack becomes profitable even for FTT and RAY tokens.
On Dec. 2-4, Neodyme’s representatives contacted a number of decentralized finance protocols (DeFis) on Solana, e.g., Larix, Solend, Tulip, Accumen, Soda and so on.
All teams fixed the bugs in their architecture. Yesterday, software engineer Jordan Audet-Sexton shared in GitHub that the issue is fixed in Solana’s main codebase as well.
Here’s What’s Next for Ethereum Rivals Solana and Avalanche, According to Analyst Nicholas Merten
Prominent crypto analyst Nicholas Merten is taking a look at two layer-1 digital assets stacked up against the Ethereum (ETH) trading pair.
In a new strategy session, the host of DataDash tells his 486,000 YouTube subscribers where he thinks smart contract platforms Avalanche (AVAX) and Solana (SOL) are headed.
According to Merten, it is better to compare both coins to ETH rather than the US dollar or Bitcoin (BTC) as Ethereum’s greater success in recent years makes it a better barometer than Bitcoin.
“If you’re really looking to see if your play is outpacing others in the market, you want to take a look against Ethereum. It is the second-largest cryptocurrency in this space and it has been outpacing Bitcoin around 380% to 400% in this cycle alone since 2019.
So we want to be able to find plays that are outpacing Ethereum because Ethereum is a really solid bet. It’s a really good medium-risk, medium-reward play.”
Looking at Avalanche, Merten says that a local top might be in for the AVAX against ETH after the altcoin’s massive rally in the last few months.
“Avalanche has done phenomenally well against Ethereum. If you take a look back here since August, it’s up 422% against Ethereum. Great rally, even after the [recent] pullback here…
When I look at this chart I definitely like seeing an asset that performs well against Ethereum, but each time it’s come up to this range [0.034 ETH or $139.21] historically, it’s been dragged down…
I think that again we might see some kind of repetition, or at least a revisit down to the previous support range [0.014 ETH or $57.32], which means that’s it probably going to go down a little over 35% to 40% against Ethereum. A pretty decent decline.
At time of writing, AVAX is down 1% on the day to $107.20.
As for Solana’s price action against Ethereum, Merten notes that the pair is flashing a bearish pattern after printing massive rallies in the last 18 months.
“But to be completely frank as a trader, Solana’s had many rallies in the past. It’s had one back here [from July to August of 2020], 336% rally in price. Then back here [December of 2020], if you want to take from the lows, in this case, 1,000% move, massive multiples in price.
We take a look here as well, from the recent rally here [August 2021] into September, very similar to history, a little over 350% to 400%. Not a bad rally.
But to be completely frank, we’ve been stagnant since September generally. The trend is starting to fade here. We don’t have that same momentum, and it’s seeing if it can hold out against Ethereum.
If you break below this range here [0.046 ETH or $188], I think it’s very favorable that Ethereum is going to start to outpace Solana as well as other major layer-1 plays.”
Solana is currently down nearly 10% and trading at $203.79.
Solana Price Analysis: SOL spikes to $170, swift retracement to follow?
- Solana price analysis is bullish today.
- Rejection was seen at $170.
- SOL/USD set to retrace previous loss next.
Solana price analysis is bullish today as further downside was rejected at $170 after a strong decline over the last 24 hours. Therefore, we can assume SOL/USD has set a new low, and recovery will be seen over the next 24 hours.
Overall, the cryptocurrency market has seen a strong decline over the last 24 hours. The market leaders, Bitcoin and Ethereum, have seen a strong decline of 16.94 and 14.65 percent, while Solana (SOL) has lost around 19 percent.
Solana price movement in the last 24 hours: Solana drops further, finds support at $170
SOL/USD traded in a range of $181.46 – $239.12, indicating extreme volatility over the last 24 hours. Trading volume has increased by 75 percent, totaling $6.48 billion, while the total market cap trades around $58.9 billion, ranking the coin in 5th place overall.
SOL/USD 4-hour chart: SOL looks to recover?
On the 4-hour chart, we can see bullish momentum returning for the Solana price action today as bears are finally exhausted.
Solana price saw strong bullish momentum push the price higher for most of the week after support was found around $185 last weekend. However, yesterday, SOL/USD peaked at $244, leading to a drop lower during the second half of the day.
Overnight, bearish momentum continued pushing lower, with the $185 previous low broken. Further downside followed in the morning as bears briefly touched the $170 mark.
However, from there, a quick reaction higher was seen this morning and is currently still in play. Likely we will see the Solana price action continue higher later in the day, as bulls are eager to regain some of the loss seen earlier.
Solana Price Analysis: Conclusion
Solana price analysis is bullish today as we saw quick rejection from the $170 mark this morning. Therefore, a new swing low has been set, likely leading to recovery over the next 24 hours.
While waiting for Solana to move further, see our articles on the Best Crypto Wallet 2021, Decred Wallet, and Ripple vs SEC.