Bitcoin (BTC) miners have once again turned into net sellers of bitcoin, with miner inventories dropping to levels not seen since early September. However, miners aren’t necessarily turning bearish “en masse,” although some are looking to offload “excess inventory,” according to an analyst.
According to the bitcoin data and research platform ByteTree, about 30% more BTC was sold than mined on Thursday, as more Bitcoin miners sent part of their holdings to the market.
The difference between the two lines above is shown here. At 130, this means the miners have distrubuted (likely sold) 30% more BTC than they mined. pic.twitter.com/6Kkvk7zraC— Charlie Morris (@AtlasPulse) November 12, 2021
The fresh round of selling from miners was also visible in data that tracks miner inventories. As of Friday at 13:03 UTC, miners’ inventories fell to their lowest level since September 11 this year, with BTC 1,521,397 currently held by miners.
The current number represents a drop from a peak of BTC 1,523,766 reached on November 8, when the bitcoin price stood at around USD 45,000.
Worth noting, however, is that about BTC 1.5m were mined during the early days of bitcoin, and have never entered the market.
Bitcoin miners’ inventory, last 12 weeks:
Commenting on the findings, Charlie Morris, Founder of ByteTree and Chief Investment Officer of ByteTree Asset Management, told Cryptonews.com that the selling now comes after a period of accumulation for miners.
“The miners have been accumulating BTC since early September which has served them well,” Morris said. He added that “some have decided to take profits,” while noting that this is “not huge, but tells us sentiment is shifting.”
“Miners sell BTC every day as they have costs to pay and want to bank profits. Prices are high and so they see an opportunity,” Morris said.
And given that the bitcoin price earlier this week just barely managed to reach a new all-time high, Morris said that the selling could also be related to some miners who had bet on a higher price spike now finding themselves on the wrong side of that bet.
“Perhaps they assumed the recent [all-time high] would see a price spike. It hasn’t happened and so they are selling more than they recently have,” the ByteTree founder said. “They aren’t turning bearish en masse, just at the margin. Recall they have been building excess inventory,” Morris noted, adding that the selling could potentially tell us something about what to expect next:
“Historically they have been good market timers.”
At 13:03 UTC, BTC traded at USD 64,082, down 1.8% for the past 24 hours and up 4% for the week.
Bitcoin Senator Rallies For Support Against Powell’s Renomination As Federal Reserve Chair, Here’s Why
Popular Bitcoin Senator, Senator Cynthia Lummis is reportedly soliciting for the support of her fellow Republicans in her stance against Jay Powell after the latter got renominated to chair the Federal Reserve.
Bitcoin Senator Wary of Crypto-unfriendly Nominees
As reported by Decrypt who first broke the news, a source in Lummis’ office says her reasons border on her belief that there is an unlawful treatment of crypto-based institutions in her home state, Wyoming.
Meanwhile, the Bitcoin senator is not only against the nomination of Powell. The source still claims that Senator Lummis is also asking her Republican colleagues to help block Leal Brainard’s nomination as well. Brainard is another nominee of President Biden’s for the Fed positions.
Lummis’ skepticism might be as a result of the Special Purpose Depository Institutions or SPDIs as they are otherwise called. They are a new type of crypto-based bank that Wyoming lawmakers granted a special operational license to, just last year.
Two crypto-based companies that received the license in 2020 include Kraken exchange and Avanti — the stablecoin issuer. However, the Federal Reserve’s decision to not approve their applications for central bank-issued accounts has placed a hold on their banking ambitions.
Speaking about the Federal Reserve’s delay in a Wall Street Journal feature article by Lummis on Wednesday, she says it is an intentional and unlawful obstruction. She added that the Fed’s reasons are ambiguous at best. According to the Bitcoin Senator, Lummis claimed that the Wyoming entities have met all requirements for being a bank under the Federal Reserve Act.
Lummis insists that Powell and Brainard are only avoiding their legal obligations in their continued treatment of SPDIs and like many other U.S lawmakers, she wants to know why.
Could Lummis’ Pressure Affect Powell’s Confirmation?
As Lummis continues to apply even more pressure on her colleagues, the possible extent to which this pressure can truly go in affecting the confirmation process of both Powell and Brainard, remains to be seen.
But with the chair of the Senate Banking Committee, Sherrod Brown, reportedly holding a vote on the pair sometime this month, both of them could be confirmed.
Also, there’s a possibility of a potential tight vote now that some progressive Democrats — most notably Elizabeth Warren — are saying they will not be voting for Powell.
PlanB’s Floor Model First Miss: Bitcoin Price Closed Way Below $98K In November
PlanB’s floor model was wrong about BTC’s November closing price. The stock-to-flow model, though, is still on track.
Bitcoin’s closing price for November below $60,000 meant that PlanB’s floor model, which was particularly accurate until now, was finally broken.
At the same time, though, the analyst confirmed that the more popular stock-to-flow model was still valid as BTC is on track towards $100,000.
PlanB’s Floor Model Fails
PlanB is among the most popular analysts in the cryptocurrency space, predominantly known for the Bitcoin stock-to-flow model, which he published in early 2019. However, he also posted another model, which he referred to as the “worst-case scenario,” in July this year.
Also known as the floor model, it’s based on technical aspects, such as the 200-day moving average, and saw BTC closing August at $47,000, September at $43,000, and October at $63,000.
The first two months were spot on. BTC closed in October at $61,000, which was still very near to the model’s predicted price, and PlanB said it was “good enough” for him.
However, November’s closing actual closing price of way below $60,000 was quite different from what the model envisioned – $98,000. As such, the analyst admitted that this was the model’s first miss after nailing the previous few months.
Floor model first miss (after nailing Aug,Sep,Oct). No model is perfect, but this is a big miss and the first in 10y! Outlier/black swan? I will give Floor model 1 more month.
S2F model unaffected and on track to $100K.
Watch out for trolls confusing Floor and S2F model! https://t.co/tj6SSwSzKR— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) December 1, 2021
S2F on Track
As mentioned above, the floor model works separately from the stock-to-flow model, which sees the stock as the size of existing reserves (or stockpiles) and the flow as the annual supply of new bitcoins to the market.
It’s actually even more bullish as the original version sees bitcoin tapping $100,000 by the end of the year. The upgraded stock-to-flow cross-asset model, which introduced different phases of bitcoin’s development, predicted a price tag of $288,000 until 2024.
Although bitcoin still struggles below $60,000 at the time of this writing, PlanB believes that the original S2F hasn’t been broken as the asset is on its way towards $100,000. If BTC is indeed to go into a six-digit price territory, it would have to increase its USD value by more than 66% in the next 30 days.
CashApp Added Bitcoin Taproot Support, Here’s Why It Is Important
CashApp now supports the updated version of Bitcoin
The widely known Cash App mobile payment service developed by Square, which is being used to transfer money with the usage of a mobile app, now fully supports the Bitcoin taproot update.
The mobile payments service is currently available in the U.S. and the U.K. but is still reporting 70 million annual transactions between users and generating $1.8 billion in gross profit.
The taproot upgrade was highly anticipated by the Bitcoin network and the cryptocurrency community in general. Previously, the update went into effect on Nov. 14, 2021, at block 709,632.
Previously, the announcement appeared on the app’s website that has described numerous benefits that users will experience after the implementation of the update. One of the main advantages is increased privacy and reduced transaction fees.
The two-week period has been chosen to confirm the functionality of the updated version of the currency. As for now, the update has been activated for all customers. Taproot-enabled wallets are now available for both receiving and sending.