A significant portion of Bitcoin’s supply was sold at a higher price than BTC is currently trading, which could be a bearish indicator for the largest digital asset according to the crypto analytics firm Glassnode.
Bitcoin is trading at $57,377.69 at time of writing and is down about 4.5% from where it was priced a week ago. BTC is also down nearly 17% from its all-time high of $69,044.77, which it reached about two weeks ago.
Glassnode notes that 15% of the Bitcoin supply has an on-chain cost basis greater than $57,000, which the firm argues is a potentially bearish indicator.
“15% of supply underwater has historically been sufficient to create reflexive downside if price cannot reclaim higher levels in a reasonable timeframe.”
The firm also analyzes the unspent transaction output (UTXO) realized price distribution (UPRD) metric.
“UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) shows at which prices the current set of Bitcoin UTXOs were created, i.e. each bar shows the amount of existing BTC that last moved within that specified price bucket. There are various clusters of coins from key levels throughout 2021, with the largest being the 1.9 Million BTC moved between $60k and $68k.
This overhead supply could provide resistance in the coming weeks should underwater holders look to cut their losses.”