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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Downside Risks Deepen – 12 October 2022



Bitcoin (BTC/USD) plumbed lower lows early in the Asian session as the pair sank below the 19000 figure and traded as low as the 18950.01 level before reversing some recent losses.  Selling pressure accelerated when BTC/USD was unable to sustain a break above the 19535 level, and then reversed when BTC/USD tested technical support around the 18934.49 level.   Below current price activity, traders continue to anticipate large Stops below the 178031770116966, and 16503 areas, significant technical levels related to historical upside pressure around the 3858 and 9819 areas. Additional significant technical areas on the downside include the 16990.1414500.15, and 10432.73 areas.

Upside retracement levels related to recent depreciating ranges include the 204762102421703, and 21805 areas.   Following the recent sharp decline, the 20433 area has emerged as an area of consistent technical resistance and is technically related to selling pressure that commenced around the all-time high of 69000.   Above recent price activity, upside retracement levels in the depreciating range from 31549.21 to 17567.45 include the 2620828249, and 28557 areas.  Additional upside price objectives and areas of potential selling pressure include the 25552263232641126901271262745528426, and 29669 areas.  Traders are observing that the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) is bearishly indicating below the 200-bar MA (4-hourly) and above the 100-bar MA (4-hourly).  Also, the 50-bar MA (hourly) is bearishly indicating below the 100-bar MA (hourly) and below the 200-bar MA (hourly).

Price activity is nearest the 100-bar MA (4-hourly) at 19465.08 and the 50-bar MA (Hourly) at 19338.12.

Technical Support is expected around 16990.14/ 14500.15/ 10432.73 with Stops expected below.

Technical Resistance is expected around 25256.96/ 27455.20/ 32383.96 with Stops expected above.  

On 4-Hourly chart, SlowK is Bearishly below SlowD while MACD is Bearishly below MACDAverage.

On 60-minute chart, SlowK is Bullishly above SlowD while MACD is Bearishly below MACDAverage.     

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