Bitcoin is once again capturing the attention of the financial world, with market analysts drawing striking parallels between its current trajectory and the explosive bull run seen between 2015 and 2017. A key momentum indicator, the 3-week Stochastic RSI, suggests that the cryptocurrency is not nearing its end, but rather entering a highly anticipated final, euphoric phase of its cycle.
Market observers, including prominent analyst CryptoCon, highlight that Bitcoin’s Stochastic RSI structure is closely mirroring its past performance. The asset has reportedly completed “Phase 3,” a period historically associated with the initial surge to new all-time highs. This critical development indicates that the market is now poised to transition into “Phase 4,” which traditionally marks the “Cycle Top.” It’s a crucial distinction for investors: the first record high is often not the ultimate peak. The 2017 cycle, for instance, saw its true market top emerge many months after its initial early-year breakout in March of that year.
Cycle Top Phase (Phase 4) of the Stochastic RSI phases is inbound… but not complete.
— CryptoCon (@CryptoCon_) July 22, 2025
The data structure still mirrors the 2015 – 2017 cycle.
And to think, just a few months ago people were calling for the cycle to be over!
Bitcoin, and finally Altcoins, are picking up. pic.twitter.com/Kgym9FKop7
The Stochastic RSI cycle model, a widely used tool for gauging momentum, is characterized by four distinct peaks within each full Bitcoin cycle. Bitcoin’s journey from 2021 to 2025 has consistently followed this established structure. The impending “Phase 4,” often depicted as a red-marked section on analytical charts, is typically where exponential price movements and widespread market excitement truly take hold. Current RSI levels and price action, according to analysts, do not yet reflect the typical “overextended” behavior seen at a terminal high, suggesting significant upward momentum is still building, rather than cooling off. Observations of earlier premature cycle-end calls have often misjudged this underlying RSI framework.
Source: cryptocon
Adding further conviction to this outlook, the broader altcoin market is beginning to demonstrate renewed strength alongside Bitcoin. This synchronized movement signals a crucial “capital rotation” across the cryptocurrency ecosystem, a phenomenon frequently observed in the late stages of a bull market. As investor participation deepens, capital often flows from Bitcoin into various alternative cryptocurrencies, indicating a maturing market rather than one on the cusp of exhaustion. This increasing engagement reinforces the idea of a cycle that still has room to run.
In conclusion, Bitcoin’s current market cycle, guided by the historical insights provided by the Stochastic RSI, suggests that the journey to its ultimate peak is far from over. With patterns echoing those of previous monumental rallies, the crypto market appears to be gearing up for a final, potentially explosive, growth stage, inviting continued attention from investors seeking to navigate this dynamic landscape.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.